Saturday, June24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Saxman, AK

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 4:57AMSunset 10:16PM Saturday June 24, 2017 3:23 AM PDT (10:23 UTC) Moonrise 5:14AMMoonset 9:55PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ036 Clarence Strait- 646 Pm Akdt Fri Jun 23 2017
Tonight..SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Sat..SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 2 ft or less near ocean entrances. Rain in the afternoon.
Sat night..SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Sun..SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Sun night..NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Mon..NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Tue..NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Wed..NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Saxman, AK
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location: 55.33, -131.63     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak67 pajk 240013 cca
afdajk
southeast alaska forecast discussion... Corrected
national weather service juneau ak
413 pm akdt Fri jun 23 2017

Synopsis A weather front approaching from the southwest will
reach the outer coast of the panhandle by Saturday morning then
spread inland through the day. The associated low pressure system
will slowly weaken over the SE gulf on Sunday as a ridge builds in
front the west.

Short term Clouds assoc with the triple point ahead of
tomorrows system have already started to move into the southern
outer coast late this afternoon. Echos are showing up on the radar
with these clouds, but likely only virga so far. On the contrary,
a band of clouds moved over the skagway haines valleys this
afternoon from the east, and this caused some showers up the
chilkat valley. These showers seem to be moving relatively quickly
to the west and thus expect clouds to decrease going into the
evening up north. Other clouds over the juneau to hoonah have
been noted this afternoon with some gravity waves due to winds
aloft flowing over the mountains.

The system mentioned above will cause increasing clouds overnight
from SW to NE and rain will spread inland Saturday morning. Expect
rain to reach as far inland a juneau in the mid to late morning,
but some models would suggest even earlier. The extreme northern
and southern portions of the panhandle are progged to receive the
least rainfall with this system while the sitka and icy strait
corridor could have some moderate rainfall. The assoc low
pressure center will move into the eastern gulf during Saturday
and cause rain to transition to showers in the late afternoon
behind the main front. Expect bands of showers to continue
wrapping around the low and affecting the panhandle through much
of Sunday. However the low should weaken going into the evening as
it is pushed e-se by a building ridge to the west. Therefore,
expect numerous showers to become scattered to isolated from north
to south through Sunday afternoon evening.

Relatively light winds today at the surface have taken until late
afternoon to be more sea breeze driven. Expect some variable winds
of around 10 kt to turn out of the SE overnight as the low front
take over as the synoptic driving force. Overall sely winds will
prevail, but on the light side the further away from the low
center you get. Near the low and out of cross sound have winds
increasing 25-30kt tonight. Once the low weakens on Sunday and the
ridge builds in from the west, will see winds largely turn around
to the nw.

Models were in good agreement through the short term so only minor
adjustments were needed.

Long term Monday through Friday... As of 930 pm thu... Period
begins with models in fairly good agreement depicting an upper low
over the central gulf drifting E across the central panhandle
into mon. As expected, there are minor differences in position
and or timing of this feature moving inland, but overall agreement
minimizes impacts of these differences on the fcst. This feature
is relatively weak as only the SREF mean slp indicates a closed
sfc circulation while all other guidance depicts an open wave just
off S baranof Mon morning. Chc pops will persist Mon before he
upper low pushes E of aor tue. Although the low will be inland,
expect enough instability on the back side of it to see some isold
showers Tue over E cwa. Ridge will build over the gulf and push e
over the panhandle Tue into wed. Model solutions continue to
diverge by mid week, mainly with the strength and timing of the
system pushing into the W gulf. How long the ridge persists over
se will depend on this next system's approach. Expect dry weather
to continue Wed before increasing sky cover and precip chances
late next week. Temps will be slightly below normal Mon then
slightly above normal mid next week as supported by naefs low
level t standard dev swinging from 1-2 below to 1-2 above normal
during the first half of the week. Given model spreads in the
extended it's difficult to determine how long the ridge will
maintain dry wx across se. Therefore, elected to stay close to wpc
guidance for the latter half of next week with cooling temps and
increasing precip chances. Inherited forecast represented this
well with very little change before trending toward wpc.

Ajk watches warnings advisories
Public... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory for pkz022-042-043-051-052.

Ferrin bc
visit us at http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KECA2 - 9450460 - Ketchikan, AK 0 mi54 min Calm G 1.9 54°F 54°F1024.6 hPa
LCNA2 - Lincoln Rock, AK 75 mi74 min SE 6 G 8.9 57°F 1022.3 hPa49°F
46145 - Central Dixon Entrance Buoy 79 mi84 min E 5.8 G 7.8 55°F 54°F1 ft1023.4 hPa (-1.8)

Wind History for Ketchikan, AK
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ketchikan, Ketchikan International Airport, AK4 mi31 minSE 510.00 miMostly Cloudy54°F48°F83%1024.3 hPa
Annette Island Airport, AK20 mi31 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy54°F46°F77%1023.9 hPa
Metlakatla, Metlakatla Seaplane Base, AK23 mi28 minN 510.00 miLight Rain56°F48°F77%1023.3 hPa

Wind History from AKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW4NW5NW5NW5NW4N5NW7NW5NW9NW8NW64SE7E10SE9SE6SE6S5SE4SE5SE5SE5S5SE5
1 day agoSE4SE5S3CalmSE6SE4E5E5CalmCalmSE3CalmN35NW9NW10N8N8NW6NW4NW5NW6NW4W5
2 days agoSE5SE10SE6SE4SE5E6S3SE5E7SE9SE104SE11SE15SE10E15SE10SE9SE8SE8SE7SE8SE7SE5

Tide / Current Tables for Ketchikan, Tongass Narrows, Alaska
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Ketchikan
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Sat -- 01:02 AM AKDT     18.57 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:05 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 05:14 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:35 AM AKDT     -4.42 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:01 PM AKDT     15.87 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:39 PM AKDT     1.16 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 09:32 PM AKDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:54 PM AKDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
17.418.617.514.29.23.6-1.1-3.9-4.2-22.1711.514.715.914.811.97.94.11.61.33.16.610.9

Tide / Current Tables for Coon Island, George Inlet, Revillagigedo Channel, Alaska
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Coon Island
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:54 AM AKDT     18.47 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:04 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 05:13 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:27 AM AKDT     -4.42 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:53 PM AKDT     15.77 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:31 PM AKDT     1.16 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 09:32 PM AKDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:55 PM AKDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
17.618.517.113.58.42.9-1.6-4.1-4-1.52.77.611.914.915.814.411.37.33.71.51.43.57.111.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.