Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Kake, AK
March 28, 2024 3:50 AM AKDT (11:50 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:31 AM Sunset 7:33 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM Moonset 7:09 AM |
PKZ034 Frederick Sound- 319 Am Akdt Thu Mar 28 2024
Today - NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Patchy fog through the day.
Tonight - NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Fri - Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less.
Fri night - S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Sat - SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Sun - SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Mon - S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
PKZ005
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Area Discussion for - Juneau, AK
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FXAK67 PAJK 280332 CCA AFDAJK
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 217 PM AKDT Wed Mar 27 2024
SHORT TERM
Overall clear skies and dry weather after a morning of radiational fog over portions of the AK panhandle. Northerly winds and offshore flow developed due to a low south of Haida Gwaii extended an inverted trough over the AK Panhandle. Marine winds overall less than 20 kts over coastal waters and inner channels. Due to drying and the northerly flow not anticipating as much wide spread dense fog as seen Wednesday morning, but with residual moisture and cooling fog development is probable again.
Southern areas will have some high to mid level cloud deck extending up form the low to the south, but low chances of any precip making it in. Local thermal winds and afternoon sea breezes for Thursday. Thursday night will be another cold one with large diurnal temperature swing but with the additional drying much less chance of fog. Little change made to inherited forecast as models remain in good alignment.
LONG TERM
/Friday through Monday/...Extremely minor changes to the overall long term package. A warm frontal band is still expected to move into the region late Friday night and extend over the panhandle Saturday morning. With this trough, expect some temperatures to drop and snow chances to increase. Expect these chances to remain mostly marginal and quickly diminished with the incoming warm front Saturday morning. Behind the warm front on Saturday, a stronger warm front pushes in from a strong low near Kodiak Island. Along with warmer temperatures, moderate rainfall, mainly targeted at the NE gulf coast, will push in alongside the front. Behind the front, continued onshore flow and deep moisture will ensure upslope rainfall will continue through the weekend.
Ensemble guidance indicate that 1.0 to 1.5 inches of rainfall is expected for the Yakutat area in a 24 hour period, with a higher percentage of models near the 1.5 inch mark. There does exist a 10% chance of above 2 inches of rainfall in 24 hours, but this scenario was not weighted heavily. Rainfall rates are expected to be around 0.10 - 0.12 per hour at the heaviest.
For changes, brought up QPF slightly to reflect above discussion on rainfall totals. Furthermore, brought up winds Saturday night in the inner channels to reflect the stronger trough moving into the Yukon. There is increasing potential for gusts up to 50 mph in Skagway as the trough passes north, and small craft winds up to 30 knots in Lynn Canal. Otherwise, warm temperature will keep conditions mild and more importantly, keep precipitation type as mostly rain for sea level communities.
AVIATION
We had some areas of low clouds and fog form up early this morning, but most sites were seeing ceilings and visibilities lifting by 19Z. Expect the same pattern tonight with patches of fog forming after 10Z lingering until around 18Z. We took a few sites down to IFR in restricted visibilities for essentially the same time period (Yakutat, Gustavus, Juneau, Petersburg, and Wrangell). Otherwise, expect VFR through the evening with just some high cloudiness streaming in across the southern areas of the Panhandle tonight.
AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ641-661>664.
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 217 PM AKDT Wed Mar 27 2024
SHORT TERM
Overall clear skies and dry weather after a morning of radiational fog over portions of the AK panhandle. Northerly winds and offshore flow developed due to a low south of Haida Gwaii extended an inverted trough over the AK Panhandle. Marine winds overall less than 20 kts over coastal waters and inner channels. Due to drying and the northerly flow not anticipating as much wide spread dense fog as seen Wednesday morning, but with residual moisture and cooling fog development is probable again.
Southern areas will have some high to mid level cloud deck extending up form the low to the south, but low chances of any precip making it in. Local thermal winds and afternoon sea breezes for Thursday. Thursday night will be another cold one with large diurnal temperature swing but with the additional drying much less chance of fog. Little change made to inherited forecast as models remain in good alignment.
LONG TERM
/Friday through Monday/...Extremely minor changes to the overall long term package. A warm frontal band is still expected to move into the region late Friday night and extend over the panhandle Saturday morning. With this trough, expect some temperatures to drop and snow chances to increase. Expect these chances to remain mostly marginal and quickly diminished with the incoming warm front Saturday morning. Behind the warm front on Saturday, a stronger warm front pushes in from a strong low near Kodiak Island. Along with warmer temperatures, moderate rainfall, mainly targeted at the NE gulf coast, will push in alongside the front. Behind the front, continued onshore flow and deep moisture will ensure upslope rainfall will continue through the weekend.
Ensemble guidance indicate that 1.0 to 1.5 inches of rainfall is expected for the Yakutat area in a 24 hour period, with a higher percentage of models near the 1.5 inch mark. There does exist a 10% chance of above 2 inches of rainfall in 24 hours, but this scenario was not weighted heavily. Rainfall rates are expected to be around 0.10 - 0.12 per hour at the heaviest.
For changes, brought up QPF slightly to reflect above discussion on rainfall totals. Furthermore, brought up winds Saturday night in the inner channels to reflect the stronger trough moving into the Yukon. There is increasing potential for gusts up to 50 mph in Skagway as the trough passes north, and small craft winds up to 30 knots in Lynn Canal. Otherwise, warm temperature will keep conditions mild and more importantly, keep precipitation type as mostly rain for sea level communities.
AVIATION
We had some areas of low clouds and fog form up early this morning, but most sites were seeing ceilings and visibilities lifting by 19Z. Expect the same pattern tonight with patches of fog forming after 10Z lingering until around 18Z. We took a few sites down to IFR in restricted visibilities for essentially the same time period (Yakutat, Gustavus, Juneau, Petersburg, and Wrangell). Otherwise, expect VFR through the evening with just some high cloudiness streaming in across the southern areas of the Panhandle tonight.
AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ641-661>664.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
FFIA2 - Five Finger, AK | 32 mi | 51 min | N 2.9G | 40°F | 29.70 | |||
PGXA2 | 46 mi | 28 min | NNW 11G | 42°F | 39°F | |||
CDEA2 - Cape Decision, AK | 60 mi | 29 min | ENE 6G | 44°F | 29.69 | 37°F | ||
PLXA2 - 9451054 - Port Alexander, AK | 61 mi | 51 min | N 1G | 43°F | 45°F | 29.69 |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
PAFE KAKE,AK | 12 sm | 54 min | ENE 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 30°F | 28°F | 93% | 29.72 |
Tide / Current for Entrance Island, Keku Strait, Alaska (sub)
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Entrance Island, Keku Strait, Alaska (sub), Tide feet
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Hamilton Bay, Kupreanof Island, Keku Strait, Alaska, Tide feet
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