Sunday, June24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pelican, AK

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 3:49AMSunset 10:11PM Saturday June 23, 2018 9:11 PM AKDT (05:11 UTC) Moonrise 4:15PMMoonset 1:28AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ022 Cross Sound- 312 Pm Akdt Sat Jun 23 2018
Tonight..W wind 15 kt becoming E late. Seas 3 ft early in the evening then 2 ft or less.
Sun..E wind 10 kt. Seas building to 3 ft in the afternoon.
Sun night..W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Mon..W wind increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
Mon night..W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Tue..SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
Wed..S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
Thu..S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pelican, AK
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location: 57.85, -136.42     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak67 pajk 232240
afdajk
southeast alaska forecast discussion
national weather service juneau ak
240 pm akdt Sat jun 23 2018

Short term Vertically stacked low continues to lift slowly
north towards the southern gulf this afternoon. This has weakened
the pressure gradient sufficiently over the panhandle to allow for
mainly light winds with the exception of some thermally driven 15
to 20kt s'ly winds in taiya inlet. Marine stratocumulus deck
continues across much of the panhandle but with cloud bases
between 4 and 6 kft its been a pleasant Saturday most areas.

Weakening warm frontal feature will lift north through the
panhandle this evening. Most of the lift is in the h7 to h5 layer
so probably no more than an increase in mid level clouds with
this feature. A second, more low level frontal system will move
into the southern panhandle late tonight and fall apart as it
lifts north through the panhandle Sunday. Increasing height falls
and upper diffluence will focus most of the precip with this
system over the southern panhandle, mainly along and south of
frederick sound. A few periods of light rain or shower activity
are likely on Sunday over the north and central panhandle but
limited thermal advection and SE low level flow will greatly limit
precip amounts. Scattered showers will continue over the southern
panhandle into early Monday morning as the mid levels cool with
the approach of the mid level low.

The vertically stacked system mentioned above will weaken and
shift eastward into bc on Monday as a surface ridge builds over
the gulf. NAM hints at some easterly wave activity making its way
from the yukon into the skagway haines area during the day but
most other guidance keeps the wave activity to our north. Kept
scattered showers mentioned in the north but limited to isolated
coverage at best for much of the rest of the panhandle Monday.

Increasing onshore flow should continue the stratocumulus deck we
have seen over the past few days but overall Monday should be a
pleasant day. Increasing w'ly flow will allow for some enhanced
marine winds of 20 to 25 kts by late afternoon in cross sound,
making its way into icy strait by early evening. Brisk w'lies are
also likely near CAPE decision and possibly clarence strait Monday
afternoon. Overall models are in good agreement with the
exception of e'ly wave activity for Monday Monday night. Minimal
changes were made to the inherited forecast.

Long term Tuesday through Saturday ... An upper level low will
continue its trek as it swings inland from haida gwaii over to
british columbia Monday while a flattening ridge moves in over the
gulf. Zonal flow pattern will continue over the gulf through
Tuesday. Isolated to scattered showers are possible Monday and
Tuesday. Also watching the mid level low possibly redeveloping
over northern bc which could send an easterly wave over the inner
coastal mountains.

A surface ridge builds in over the eastern gulf Tuesday night
with surface winds over the gulf backing from westerly to
southerly into Wednesday and Thursday. The models continue to
suggest a frontal feature will slide into the central gulf
Wednesday. The front will likely shear and stall in the eastern
gulf. The upper low near the aleutians will continue to drive
weather across the gulf through later in the week, so left chance
of rain across the panhandle.

The operational models continue to follow along a similar line of
thinking as with the wpc solution. Minimal changes were made to
the forecast using a GFS ec blend for adjusting pop. Also nudged
winds on Friday towards the wpc.

Ajk watches warnings advisories
Public... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory due to seas for pkz041.

Del ddh
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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ELFA2 - 9452634 - Elfin Cove, AK 24 mi41 min 51°F 47°F1016.9 hPa
CSPA2 - Cape Spencer, AK 27 mi61 min N 4.1 G 13 51°F 1018.3 hPa48°F
BLTA2 - Bartlet Cove AK 50 mi45 min S 1.9 G 4.1 54°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elfin Cove - Elfin Cove Seaplane Base, AK25 mi2.4 hrsN 020.00 miLight Showers Rain52°F46°F82%1016.9 hPa

Wind History from AEL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--------------------------Calm--4--NW6--Calm--Calm--Calm
1 day ago----------------------Calm--Calm--6--6--W7--Calm--NW7
2 days ago----------------------Calm--Calm--NW7--NW10--Calm------Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Canoe Cove, North Pass, Lisianski Strait and Inlet, Alaska
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Canoe Cove
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Sun -- 02:46 AM AKDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:04 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 05:27 AM AKDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:46 AM AKDT     7.36 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:07 PM AKDT     2.67 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:27 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:11 PM AKDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:18 PM AKDT     9.90 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
8.774.92.70.90012.64.56.17.17.36.85.64.33.22.734.15.87.69.19.8

Tide / Current Tables for Dry Pass, Hill Island, Chichagof Island, Alaska
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Dry Pass
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:46 AM AKDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:04 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 05:28 AM AKDT     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:43 AM AKDT     7.46 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:08 PM AKDT     2.77 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:26 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:10 PM AKDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:15 PM AKDT     10.00 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
8.87.14.92.810.10.11.12.74.66.27.27.46.85.74.43.32.83.14.25.97.79.210

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.