Thursday, September20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mud Bay, AK

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 7:02PM Thursday September 20, 2018 12:21 AM AKDT (08:21 UTC) Moonrise 5:15PMMoonset 12:09AM Illumination 78% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ012 Northern Lynn Canal- 227 Pm Akdt Wed Sep 19 2018
Tonight..N wind increasing to 20 kt late. Seas building to 4 ft.
Thu..N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Thu night..N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Fri..N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Fri night..N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Sat..S wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft.
Sun..S wind 15 kt. Seas building to 4 ft.
Mon..S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mud Bay, AK
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location: 59.17, -135.4     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak67 pajk 192206
afdajk
southeast alaska forecast discussion
national weather service juneau ak
206 pm akdt Wed sep 19 2018

Short term Wednesday to Friday clear and dry remains the
general description for the eastern gulf and southeast alaska. A
ridge axis over the north pacific is tipping the northern edge
across the gulf. One stream of moisture with a short wave aloft
south of the gulf of alaska will be tracking eastward toward
northern vancouver island. Further west will be the system we are
watching that will be causing weather is approaching the western
aleutians Wednesday evening. That system is not expected until
the weekend in the panhandle.

Winds not expected to be that strong again in the forecast area
with winds mainly under 20 kt for the outer waters and the inner
waters. With a general light offshore flow in the north and lighter
westerly in the southern sections seas generally 5 ft or less
across the gulf.

Have reissued a frost advisory for the yakutat, kake and
petersburg areas again for tonight as it looks like those areas
may cool down to 30 to 34 degrees with light winds.

Local patchy fog may form near tidal flats and areas of lighter
winds towards morning. Forecast confidence is above average.

Long term Friday through Tuesday ... Confidence is increasing
for a change in the weather pattern within the extended forecast
as rain is looking more likely to return to SE alaska later this
weekend. An upper level ridge will slowly shift eastward into the
gulf, pushing an upper trough into the western us canada by
Saturday. A strong jet over the top of the ridge will help drive a
weather front across the gulf Saturday bringing rain to the ne
gulf coast and at least into the n'rn panhandle Saturday night.

The general upper level pattern of a trough in the bering sea and
a ridge over the gulf is progged to persist into early next week,
but model details really begin diverging Sunday onward. Better
agreement among the models though has allowed thinking of a return
to a more seasonably wet pattern to be possible. Operational
models along with wpc guidance was consulted to nudge pop in an
upward trend starting Saturday evening through mid-week.

Friday may be the last full day of dry weather and above normal
temperatures across the panhandle. A shortwave feature may try to
sneak in ahead of the ridge Friday night over the panhandle, but
likely only to increase cloud cover. More zonal, onshore flow sets
up over the gulf Saturday likely to persist through the long term
period. Forecaster confidence is average through the weekend.

Aviation No significant hazards pertaining to aviation
expected tonight and Thursday at this time.

Ajk watches warnings advisories
Public... Frost advisory from 1 am to 9 am akdt Thursday for akz017-026.

Marine... None.

Bezenek ddh
visit us at http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
HAXA2 5 mi29 min SSW 5.1 G 8 42°F 1017.7 hPa33°F
ERXA2 17 mi29 min NNE 6 G 8 45°F 1018.8 hPa
EROA2 - Eldred Rock, AK 17 mi57 min N 8 G 8.9 48°F 1016.1 hPa39°F
SKXA2 20 mi28 min N 5.1 G 8 41°F 1018.6 hPa31°F
SKTA2 - 9452400 - Skagway, AK 20 mi39 min 42°F 44°F1018.7 hPa
LIXA2 47 mi29 min NNW 7 G 9.9 43°F 1017.5 hPa36°F
BLTA2 - Bartlet Cove AK 56 mi55 min ESE 1 G 2.9 43°F

Wind History for Juneau, AK
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Haines - Haines Airport, AK8 mi27 minN 010.00 miFair42°F36°F79%1018.8 hPa
Skagway, AK22 mi28 minNNE 510.00 miFair41°F35°F79%1018.9 hPa

Wind History from AHN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmW4W13W12NW6NW11
G16
E3CalmW12W14W13NW13NW12NW9NW6W6SE3E4CalmE3CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoNW4NW4NW5CalmNW7NW7W9NW11NW10
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W12W13NW12NW13NW9SE4SE5SE3SE3CalmCalmCalmCalm3NW6
2 days agoNW9W11W9W13NW7W13NW10W11W14W14W11W12NW10W6CalmS3SE5E3E3CalmCalmCalmN4NW4

Tide / Current Tables for Chilkat Inlet, Lynn Canal, Alaska
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Cove Point, Berner's Bay, Lynn Canal, Alaska
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.