Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mud Bay, AK

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 3:52AMSunset 10:09PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 4:09 AM AKDT (12:09 UTC) Moonrise 9:21AMMoonset 11:34PM Illumination 20% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ012 Northern Lynn Canal- 328 Am Akdt Wed Jun 28 2017
Today..S wind 15 kt increasing to 20 kt late in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft building to 4 ft.
Tonight..S wind 20 kt decreasing to 15 kt early in the evening. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 3 ft.
Thu..S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Thu night..SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Fri..S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Sat..S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Sun..S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mud Bay, AK
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location: 59.17, -135.4     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak67 pajk 272218
afdajk
southeast alaska forecast discussion
national weather service juneau ak
218 pm akdt Tue jun 27 2017

Short term Tuesday night through Thursday night... A high
pressure system located across the central gulf will move inland
tonight. A low pressure system will move into the southwest gulf
by Wednesday night. A series of short waves will spiral around the
low pressure system advecting moisture across portions of the
panhandle this week. Chances for showers will increase across the
northern panhandle tonight. Mostly cloudy skies will prevail
across most of the region the next few days. Models remain in good
agreement today.

Small craft advisories will prevail across northern lynn canal
through this evening.

By Thursday models stay in good agreement with minor differences in
advancing the precip into the panhandle, with the NAM being slower
and more conservative to bringing it onshore than the others. Timing
of the healthy precip with the associated front is early Thursday
morning west of yakutat and then will spread southeast across most
of the panhandle through the day.

Temperatures will be a bit cooler on Thursday for the max
temperature as clouds will have returned to a substantial thick
overcast layer. On the flip side the Thursday night lows will
generally be a few degrees warmer, with less loss due to radiational
cooling.

Winds over land will stay generally ranging around 5 to 15 mph with
a southerly flow. Inside waters follow suit with winds around 10 kt
or less, with the exception of the north-south orientated waters
with 10 to 15 kt. The strongest winds will be on the outside waters
with 30 kt small crafts moving across the gulf and then falling
short of the outer coastline and diminishing.

Long term Friday through Tuesday... As of 1000 pm mon... An
upper level ridge located east of the southeastern alaska region
with an associated surface high pressure will remain over the
area, influencing conditions for Friday into Saturday. Deep layer
onshore flow and plenty of moisture will fuel a sustained cloud
low level deck. Multiple shortwave troughs will then progress east
out of the gulf, originating from a broad area of low pressure
located over the central gulf, impacting the region through this
weekend. Long range models are in general agreement for
accumulating amounts of precipitation through this weekend into
Monday. As the systems make their approach, timing of
precipitation will become clearer. Pops were analyzed using mainly
the GFS model ensemble and then trended more with wpc guidance.

Pressure and wind updates blended towards GFS through Friday, then
towards wpc through the remainder of the long range period.

Overall confidence is average.

Ajk watches warnings advisories
Public... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory for pkz012.

Small craft advisory due to seas for pkz051-052.

Bm fritsch
visit us at http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SKTA2 - 9452400 - Skagway, AK 20 mi57 min 55°F 51°F1019.6 hPa
BLTA2 - Bartlet Cove AK 56 mi43 min S 1.9 G 6 51°F 1021.3 hPa

Wind History for Juneau, AK
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Haines - Haines Airport, AK8 mi75 minE 510.00 miOvercast54°F46°F75%1020.3 hPa
Skagway, AK22 mi76 minSSW 11 G 1810.00 miOvercast57°F45°F64%1019.5 hPa

Wind History from AHN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE8NE7
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1 day agoW3W3Calm4CalmSE6E8SE10E7E10SE8SE11
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2 days agoNW9NW12NW10NW6W10NW11NW7W56SE8SE7SE9SE7SE9
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E9E44E3SE4E4E5Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Chilkat Inlet, Lynn Canal, Alaska
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Chilkat Inlet
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:13 AM AKDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:50 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 04:40 AM AKDT     17.11 feet High Tide
Wed -- 10:20 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:07 AM AKDT     -1.97 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:40 PM AKDT     16.10 feet High Tide
Wed -- 10:19 PM AKDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:38 PM AKDT     2.41 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.6710.914.516.61715.411.97.42.9-0.5-2-1.11.9610.213.615.71614.511.68.14.82.8

Tide / Current Tables for Cove Point, Berner's Bay, Lynn Canal, Alaska
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Cove Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:10 AM AKDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:53 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 04:42 AM AKDT     16.94 feet High Tide
Wed -- 10:20 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:08 AM AKDT     -2.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:42 PM AKDT     15.95 feet High Tide
Wed -- 10:13 PM AKDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:39 PM AKDT     2.46 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.56.810.814.216.416.915.311.97.42.9-0.5-2-1.11.75.81013.415.515.914.511.68.14.92.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.