Wednesday, June28, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Angle Inlet, MN

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:10AMSunset 9:31PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 2:01 PM CDT (19:01 UTC) Moonrise 10:01AMMoonset 12:13AM Illumination 22% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Angle Inlet, MN
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location: 61.03, -89.35     debug

Area Discussion for - Grand Forks, ND
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Fxus63 kfgf 281744
area forecast discussion
national weather service grand forks nd
1244 pm cdt Wed jun 28 2017

Issued at 1241 pm cdt Wed jun 28 2017
precipitation rates decreasing over the grand forks area as
evident on IR imagery showing warming cloud tops, with coldest
cloud tops moving over kittson roseau counties. Expect heaviest
rain to not be from northwest polk to central roseau counties.

Latest hrrr guidance doing decent handling placement of
categorical pops and no changes since 11 am (additional) grid
update. Will be making phone calls to local le officials to
determine status of street flooding prior to expiring urban flood

Update issued at 859 am cdt Wed jun 28 2017
forecast challenge for this morning is monitoring area for any
ponding as areas around grand forks county have received over two
inches of rainfall. Areas of concern are between manvel and
mekinock as between northwood and thompson. Mostly raised gravel
roads in these areas and several calls around the area indicate
the roads are handling these rain amounts. At this point will
spread westward our categorical areas for rainfall and have
increased QPF amounts over grand forks county.

Update issued at 638 am cdt Wed jun 28 2017
forecast in good shape with minor changes to match current
coverage of convective system. Dry slot starting to fill in over
the last hour as 850-700mb moisture convergence has increased
above the central and northern valley as the system wraps up.

Models in good agreement with activity being progressive and
moving east this morning.

Short term (today and tonight)
issued at 336 am cdt Wed jun 28 2017
non-severe mature convective complex moving across the area this
morning with widespread rainfall. Rainfall accumulations expected
to range generally from a quarter to half inch with some higher
locations seeing upwards an inch mainly in NW mn where the shower
threat persists today. Models in good agreement with the evolution
of the system. The stratiform rain band which extends back to the
west across the devils lake basin this morning will slowly move
to the east as the sfc low along the sd nd border tracks to the
east. Ahead of the low an elevated axis of moisture and
instability exists with pwats near an inch and a half and mu capes
around 1000 j kg. As 850mb convergence and warm advection lift
into NW mn convective redevelopment will be possible through about
noon across the eastern half of the fa. Temps will be highest in
the west with more Sun than clouds and cooler in the east ranging
from near 70 under the clouds to near 80 in the west.

Thermal profile changes little in the wake of the sfc low, as a
result lows are expected to be in the mid 50s for Thursday

Long term (Thursday through Tuesday)
issued at 336 am cdt Wed jun 28 2017
Thursday will start off dry with increasing chances for showers
and storms in the afternoon from west to east with approach of
the next short wave inducing NW flow aloft. Temps ahead of the
system will rise into the mid and upper 70s Thursday. With the
upper low overhead Friday any clear areas will fill in with
clouds rapidly and temps will struggle to reach 70 with scattered
showers across the entire fa.

Saturday to Tuesday... Split flow was across north america with
the northern stream over northern canada and southern stream over
southern canada northern states. Long wave trough over the
northern plains shifts to the new england states. Low amplitude
long wave ridge over the west coast shifts over the northern
plains and flattens by the end of the period.

The ECMWF was trending slower while the GFS was vacillating. The
ecmwf was faster early in the period and becomes slower by the end
of the period compared to the gfs. Upper low over the area will
produce showers for Sat sat evening.

Little change to high temperatures on sat, Sun and tue. Mon highs
were increased by one degree from yesterdays run.

Aviation (for the 18z tafs through 18z Thursday afternoon)
issued at 1241 pm cdt Wed jun 28 2017
predominantly MVFR around the area although some patchy ifr will
continue ESP in vcnty of shra. Challenge once this clears tonight
and high pressure moves over the region will be fog potential,
which latest MOS guidance is already picking up on. No mention
attm but will update with 21z amd if confidence increases.

Fgf watches warnings advisories
Nd... None.

Mn... None.

Update... Speicher
short term... Jk
long term... Jh jk
aviation... Speicher

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for Jack Bay, Valdez Arm, Alaska
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Jack Bay
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Wed -- 01:05 AM AKDT     Moonset
Wed -- 04:13 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 04:43 AM AKDT     12.30 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:03 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:17 AM AKDT     -1.81 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:01 PM AKDT     11.35 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:25 PM AKDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:41 PM AKDT     2.35 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Grand Forks, ND (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Duluth, MN
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.