Monday, May29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kivalina, AK

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 4:34AMSunset 11:19PM Monday May 29, 2017 3:18 AM AKDT (11:18 UTC) Moonrise 7:31AMMoonset 2:01AM Illumination 16% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kivalina, AK
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location: 67.73, -164.59     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak69 pafg 290924
afdafg
northern alaska forecast discussion
national weather service fairbanks ak
124 am akdt Mon may 29 2017

Discussion
The 00z model suite initialized well against the 00z surface
analysis and verified well against the 06z surface analysis.

Model spread remains minimal through the middle of this week on
system position and strength however there remains significant
differences in 850 mb temperatures over the eastern half of the
the state by mid week. The differences in temperatures aloft will
impact both surface temperatures and stability and chances for
showers and thunderstorms later in the week over the central and
eastern portions of the interior where fire weather concerns will
likely be the focus of concern.

Aloft at 500 hpa, a 535 dam upper level low over bristol bay will
move north to merge with a weakening upper level low over the
southern chukchi sea and west coast of the north slope tonight.

Upper level lift combined with a weak trough over the western
interior will combine to produce a swath of rain over the western
interior from near holy cross north to near ambler. One quarter to
one half of an inch of rain is expected to fall over the next 24
hours with local amounts reaching three quarters of an inch. Main
stem rivers remain a low stage so no significant hydro issues are
expected with the inbound rain. An upper level ridge will briefly
retreat to the east over the yukon as the upper level low over
western alaska moves to the north and will then move back to the
west over the eastern interior Tuesday and the central interior
Wednesday.

Eastern and central interior temperatures will continue to climb
with temperatures reaching the lower 70s by mid week. As the
gradient between the upper level ridge and low increases today a
trough over the southern interior will increase in strength. Winds
will increase again this afternoon along the northern slopes of
the alaska range especially near alaska range passes. Near red
flag conditions are expected in these areas. See fire weather
sections for more details.

Western interior can expect isolated thunderstorms today along a
line from the lower yk delta northeast to mcgrath, galena, bettles
and arctic village. Numerous showers and expected over much of
the west coast and western interior as the upper level low moves
to the north.

Tranquil weather is expected over the west coast and north slope.

Partly cloudy skies over the western capes will continue into
Tuesday while the mostly clear conditions on the north slope will
give way to low ceilings, for and drizzle tonight and will
continue through tomorrow.

Fire weather
Fire weather concerns will increase this week as temperatures
rise, and fuels dry under the influence of wind, warm, and mostly
sunny conditions. The main area of concern today will be along
the north slopes of the eastern alaska range, particularly along
the richardson highway from isabel pass north to delta junction.

Minimum rh values are expected to drop into the 20s this
afternoon. Sustained winds are expected to top out around 25 mph
with gusts to around 40 mph through this evening, with the
strongest winds expected late this afternoon. Will need to
closely monitor today as meteorological conditions locally flirt
with red flag conditions. Meteorological conditions will be
similar along the parks highway north of mckinley park flirting
with meteorological red flag conditions today, but fuels are not
dry at this time to for red flag concerns.

Winds will be lower, but breezy over the rest of the interior
with minimum rh values in the 20 to 30 percent range, however
temperatures today and Tuesday will not reach red flag criteria
and are not likely to meet red flag criteria for wind other that
locally for a brief period of time. Temperatures will gradually
warm with daytime highs in the lower to mid 70s by the middle of
the week. Fuels will continue to dry and will need to closely
monitor through the week as we transition from a cool and wet
pattern to a warm and dry pattern.

Hydrology
24 hour rainfall totals in the one quarter to one half inch range
with isolated amounts up to three quarters of an inch are
expected over the western interior extending north to the south
faces of the brooks range today and tonight. Main stem river level
are low so no hydro issues are expected with this rainfall.

Afg watches warnings advisories
Brisk wind advisory for pkz240-pkz245.

Ccc may 17


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
RDDA2 - 9491094 - Red Dog Dock, AK 30 mi48 min NW 5.1 G 6 32°F 1013.8 hPa

Wind History for Red Dog Dock, AK
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kivalina, Kivalina Airport, AK2 mi25 minWNW 1010.00 miFair30°F0°F%1013.8 hPa

Wind History from AVL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE7E7NE7NE7E8E7SE7SW4SW5S7SW7SW3W8W9W7W7W7W9W10NW7------W10
1 day agoSE7SE5SE8SE9SE9SE8SE8S7S9S8S9S11S7S7S7S5S4SW4SW5CalmNE4NE4NE5E5
2 days agoS15S12S14S14S11S12S12S11S13S11S10S10SE11S10S9S7S6S4S5SE7SE6SE8--SE6

Tide / Current Tables for Kivalina, Alaska
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Kivalina
Click for MapNote: NOS uses UTC-11 for LST; AKST (since 1983) is UTC-9

Mon -- 03:56 AM AKDT     1.06 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:00 AM AKDT     Moonset
Mon -- 09:31 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:04 AM AKDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:58 PM AKDT     0.90 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:11 PM AKDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.50.811.110.80.50.30.1-000.20.40.70.80.90.80.70.40.1-0.1-0.2-0.1

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
npac_satellite

GOES Local Image of Alaska    EDIT
Geos

Ground Weather Radar Station Nome, AK
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.