Thursday, October28, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Hutchinson Island South, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:28AMSunset 6:42PM Thursday October 28, 2021 5:18 PM EDT (21:18 UTC) Moonrise 11:58PMMoonset 1:16PM Illumination 45% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 339 Pm Edt Thu Oct 28 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday evening...
Tonight..Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots towards daybreak. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A dominant period 4 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 7 feet. A dominant period 12 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 7 feet. A dominant period 12 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..West winds 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet.
Monday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Monday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 339 Pm Edt Thu Oct 28 2021
Synopsis.. Southerly winds and benign seas will continue to increase as a squall line moves through the local waters into this evening. Boating conditions will remain hazardous through Friday night with strong southwest to west winds and seas building further well offshore. Conditions will slowly improve by the beginning of the workweek.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Tuesday, october 26th. 39 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hutchinson Island South, FL
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location: 27.29, -80.23     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 282037 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 437 PM EDT Thu Oct 28 2021

DISCUSSION.

Thru tonight . Increased shear is producing numerous broad rotational structures in cells this afternoon assocd with a broken squall line ahead of a strong cold front. The band will continue to push SE early this evening with individual cells racing toward the E/NE. After coordination with SPC and TBW, have expanded the tornado watch to include Brevard, Indian River and Okeechobee counties and locally extended (in time) to 7 pm. Meanwhile, we will continue to clear counties across the north behind the line. It is possible we will be able to clear all counties before 7 pm.

The front will push across central FL tonight and the main convective line will push south of Martin county by late evening. Have kept the forecast dry behind the front but there may be isolated showers pushing east from the Gulf across northern sections. Min temps will range mainly in the mid to upper 60s.

Friday (Previous) . The strong cold front and associated line of thunderstorms is forecast to be south of the Treasure Coast by sunrise on Friday. Drier air filters in behind the front, with PWATs forecast to drop below 1" across the area. However, model soundings show all of the moisture concentrated between 700-850mb, and latest guidance is insistent on rather high rain chances for Friday, especially along/north of I-4. Looking at the synoptic picture, a very large cutoff low will be centered over the TN River Valley, with the base of the low across the northeastern Gulf Coast. A jet streak rounding the base of the low will maintain strong winds aloft, preventing significant vertical mixing of the narrow low-level moisture layer with the drier air above it.

This should allow scattered showers to develop in the eastern Gulf/Tampa Bay area and progress eastward across the peninsula. These showers will be racing northeastward at around 35-45 mph, and any downpours could be accompanied by gusty winds. As a result, looking at a 30-40 percent chance of rain from Melbourne northward, and a 20 percent chance for the Treasure Coast. No lightning storms are expected. Cooler across the norther areas as highs reach around 80 degrees, increasing to the mid 80s for the Treasure Coast.

Saturday-Sunday . A few showers could linger into Saturday, though rain chances are only around 15 percent. Then, conditions should dry out on completely by Sunday as the large cutoff low moves into the western Atlantic causing a reinforcing cold front to move across Central FL on Saturday night. Breezy conditions continue into Saturday with west winds around 15 mph and some higher gusts.

As promised, the first real cool down of the fall season arrives this weekend. The initial surge of cooler air is expected for areas north of I-4 on Friday night into Saturday morning where lows drop into the upper 50s, and low 60s elsewhere. For Saturday afternoon, highs remain in the mid/upper 70s from Kissimmee to Titusville northward, and around 80 degrees from Melbourne south.

Cooler still for Saturday night into Sunday morning as lows drop into the mid to upper 50s for most, except low 60s for the immediate Space/Treasure Coast. Highs on Sunday in the upper 70s and up to around 80 degrees in the Treasure Coast.

Monday-Wednesday . High pressure builds across the region for the first half of next week, maintaining mostly dry conditions. Near normal temperatures are forecast with highs in the low 80s, and overnight lows in the low to mid 60s.

AVIATION. A strong cold front will continue to move into east-central Florida with a line of strong storms forming ahead of the frontal boundary. Widespread showers and lightning storms are likely to continue this afternoon with TEMPO groups for all TAF sites. Best chance for strong storms will shift from northwest to southeast through this evening with TEMPO groups for Thunderstorms from 18Z-21Z at LEE and from 23Z-02Z at SUA as the front moves to the east-northeast. Winds will be breezy from the south-southwest with potentially damaging gusts in some storms. VFR conditions are expected overnight behind the front but breezy west-southwest winds may gust up to 25kts at times.

MARINE. Friday-Saturday (previous) . Hazardous boating conditions continue Friday as tight pressure gradient maintains SW/WSW winds 20-25 knots behind the cold front. Seas 4-6 feet nearshore and up to 7 feet offshore. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through Friday night. Boating conditions improve a bit on Saturday, however small craft will probably need to exercise caution due to west winds around 15-20 knots. Seas 3-5 feet.

Sunday-Monday . A reinforcing cold front will move through the area Saturday night, causing winds to veer NW at 10-15 knots on Sunday. Seas diminish to 2-3 feet nearshore and 4-5 feet offshore. High pressure builds into the region on Monday with northeast winds around 10 knots and seas 2-3 feet.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 65 80 59 76 / 20 30 30 10 MCO 68 81 63 78 / 20 30 30 10 MLB 69 83 63 79 / 40 20 20 20 VRB 70 87 63 82 / 60 20 20 20 LEE 66 80 61 75 / 20 30 30 10 SFB 67 79 61 75 / 20 30 30 10 ORL 67 79 63 75 / 20 30 30 10 FPR 69 85 61 80 / 70 20 20 20

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . Tornado Watch until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for Coastal Volusia- Inland Volusia-Northern Lake-Orange-Osceola-Seminole- Southern Lake.

AM . Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm.

Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Saturday for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.



Volkmer/Kelly/Leahy/Sedlock/Fehling


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 18 mi52 min 81°F2 ft
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 48 mi48 min SW 9.9G19 87°F 83°F1007.3 hPa72°F
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 77 mi18 min SSW 20G24 84°F 1009 hPa (-0.9)
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 80 mi48 min SSW 11G15 81°F 80°F1006.5 hPa

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL7 mi26 minSSW 9 G 157.00 miA Few Clouds88°F72°F59%1007.8 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL16 mi25 minSW 810.00 miA Few Clouds84°F72°F67%1007 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUA

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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2 days agoW6W45SW7SW5SW5SW5SW7SW6SW6SW4----NW6W7W6--W8W8W10W16
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Tide / Current Tables for Eden, Nettles Island, Indian River, Florida
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Eden
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:00 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:38 AM EDT     1.08 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:36 AM EDT     0.82 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:16 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:06 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Thu -- 05:33 PM EDT     1.16 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for North Fork, St. Lucie River, Florida
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North Fork
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:01 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:31 AM EDT     1.08 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:33 AM EDT     0.82 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:16 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:06 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Thu -- 05:26 PM EDT     1.16 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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