Monday, September27, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Saddle Rock, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 6:44PM Monday September 27, 2021 4:13 AM EDT (08:13 UTC) Moonrise 10:27PMMoonset 1:16PM Illumination 66% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 357 Am Edt Mon Sep 27 2021
Today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Tue night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely, mainly in the evening.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 357 Am Edt Mon Sep 27 2021
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure slides offshore late today ahead of an approaching cold front. The cold front moves through the area Tuesday into Tuesday night. A series of weak fronts move through the region Wed into Thu, with canadian high pressure building in for late week into the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Saddle Rock, NY
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location: 40.81, -73.8     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 270521 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 121 AM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure south of the area continues to build in through Monday. A cold front moves through on Tuesday into Tuesday night. High pressure builds in and remains to the north and west of the area through at least the beginning of next weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. The forecast is mostly on track. Just needed to adjust low temps downward by a few degrees in some spots based on latest trends.

High pressure moves south of the area tonight with slowly diminishing winds. Clear skies and cool conditions will be expected as a NW flow advected drier air into the region. Lows tonight will be in the lower 50s to locally upper 40s for the interior and Pine Barrens Region with areas along the immediate coast mostly 55-60.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/. High pressure to the south will slide off the East Coast. A low pressure system in southern Canada drags a cold front across western NY which will begin to the approach the area from the west late in the afternoon. A tight pressure gradient between these two systems will result in a brisk W/SW flow tomorrow with sustained winds 15 to 20 mph and gusts locally up to 30 mph. Other than some gusty winds, conditions will be clear and dry with high temperatures in the middle to upper 70s and possibly low 80s in and around the NYC metro, about 5 to 10 degrees above average.

SW flow ahead of the approaching cold front will allow for a subtle increase in moisture for tomorrow night. This combined with gradually increasing cloud cover will prevent low temperatures from dropping as cool as the previous night. Lows will generally be in the upper 50s to middle 60s. There is a slight chance of showers late in the overnight, mainly after 2AM.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. A cold front moves through the forecast area during the day Tuesday into Tuesday night. There continues to be some timing differences with the passage of the front. All the global models push it off shore by early Tuesday night, with the ECMWF a few hours slower than most other models. There is also uncertainty in the potential for the development of weak low pressure systems along the front, leading to possibly some briefly moderate rainfall. This is seen in both the ECMWF and the NAM. The GFS and Canadian both bring the front through with relatively little rain. In either case, the front is progressive enough and PWATS remain below 2" where flash flooding does not look to be a concern as of yet. There looks to be some surface instability ahead of the front, so kept the mention of isolated thunderstorms during the day Tuesday.

Thereafter, Canadian high pressure builds in from the northwest Wednesday, and remains to the north and west of the area into the beginning of next weekend. A weakening cutoff low over central Quebec will dive south Tuesday night into Wednesday and be situated somewhere over northern New England early Wednesday night. Although there remains uncertainty with models in regards to where the low will track thereafter, models agree with an upper level trough being over or just east the Northeast US into the beginning of next weekend. Model solutions diverge for the second half of the weekend in regards to a frontal system over the middle of the country, but in all solutions, high pressure remains in control across the northeast and mainly dry conditions are expected from Tuesday night through next weekend.

Seasonably cool temperatures are expected from Wednesday onward with high pressure remaining to our west and a persistent north to northwest flow. Highs will generally be in the 60s to around 70, with lows in the 40s and 50s.

AVIATION /05Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Southern high pressure gradually slides off the SE US coast today, with a cold front approaching tonight.

VFR through the TAF period.

SW winds 10 kt or less in the morning, increasing through the morning, and eventually at 15-20 kt with gusts around 25 kt in the aft/early eve. Gusty winds may persist through the eve push for south coastal terminals.

. NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

Timing of gusts onset early this afternoon and taper off this evening may be off by 1 to 2 hrs. Peak SW gusts to 25 kt likely late aft/early eve, a few gusts to 30 kt possible.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. Late Tonight. VFR. SW winds subsiding to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Tuesday. Mainly VFR, with brief MVFR possible in showers. An isolated thunderstorm possible afternoon into evening. Wednesday-Friday. VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. Small Craft headlines remain up on the ocean waters through Monday for 5 ft seas. Winds are also expected to increase once again Monday late morning and afternoon out ahead of a cold front. Two things of note; 1: There will be a period where seas fall below SCA criteria tonight into Monday before increase once again during the day and 2: There is a chance that small craft advisories may need to be expanded to some of the non- ocean waters for Monday for gusts.

5 ft waves are expected on the ocean waters for Tuesday as a cold front moves through. However, they will slowly diminish through the day, coming below 5 ft by late Tuesday or early Tuesday night. Thereafter, winds and waves are forecast to remain below SCA criteria with high pressure building over the waters.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts are expected through next Saturday.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. On Monday, winds W-SW at 15 to 25 kt promote a high risk of rip currents. SE swells decrease slightly on Monday but will still be around 9 sec period. These factors point to the likelihood of a high risk of rip currents at the ocean beaches.

For Tuesday, despite a developing offshore flow, a high risk of rip currents is likely with 2 ft long period ese swells and residual 4 to 5 ft southerly winds waves.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . High Rip Current Risk through this evening for NYZ075-080-081- 178-179. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ350- 353-355.

SYNOPSIS . JP/MW NEAR TERM . JC/MW SHORT TERM . MW LONG TERM . JP AVIATION . JC MARINE . JP/MW HYDROLOGY . JP/MW TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . JM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 2 mi56 min W 6 G 8 67°F 1015.8 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 6 mi59 min WSW 9.7 66°F 52°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 14 mi56 min 64°F 72°F1015.5 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 15 mi59 min W 14 G 18 66°F 51°F
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 18 mi56 min W 14 G 16 62°F 1014.9 hPa
BGNN6 22 mi56 min 60°F 74°F1015 hPa
MHRN6 22 mi56 min SSW 7 G 13
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 26 mi56 min W 12 G 15 64°F 70°F1015.7 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 31 mi34 min W 16 G 19 71°F1014.4 hPa
44069 39 mi59 min W 14 G 18 67°F 78°F54°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 41 mi56 min NNW 1.9 G 1.9 58°F 74°F1013.9 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY5 mi23 minW 410.00 miA Few Clouds67°F43°F42%1014.5 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY9 mi23 minno data10.00 miFair62°F46°F56%1014.8 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY10 mi23 minWSW 710.00 miA Few Clouds62°F50°F65%1015.2 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ14 mi23 minSW 410.00 miFair56°F47°F72%1014.6 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY19 mi78 minW 310.00 miFair56°F46°F70%1014.3 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY21 mi21 minW 410.00 miFair60°F46°F60%1014.8 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ21 mi23 minSW 510.00 miA Few Clouds59°F46°F62%1015 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLGA

Wind History from LGA (wind in knots)
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1 day agoW5NW8N5NE4NE4N3CalmNE4NE6NE5N3NE4E4CalmSE6S4S3S6SW5SW5W6W5W4W5
2 days agoNW9NW6N5W6W6NW6W9NW9W8NW7W8W7W12W11W10W6W6NW5NW6NW4N3NW4W3W5

Tide / Current Tables for Throgs Neck, New York
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Throgs Neck
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Mon -- 04:00 AM EDT     6.43 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:00 AM EDT     1.58 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:16 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:07 PM EDT     6.95 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:43 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:27 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:46 PM EDT     1.50 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.82.94.76.16.46.35.94.93.321.61.82.33.24.86.46.96.86.35.64.22.61.71.5

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:18 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:57 AM EDT     -0.53 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 06:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:25 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:14 AM EDT     0.77 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 01:16 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:33 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:20 PM EDT     -0.53 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 06:43 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:49 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:27 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:40 PM EDT     0.78 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.1-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.5-0.4-0.10.10.20.40.80.60.2-0.1-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.200.10.30.7

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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