Monday, October18, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Medford, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 6:08PM Monday October 18, 2021 3:34 PM EDT (19:34 UTC) Moonrise 5:37PMMoonset 4:52AM Illumination 94% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ345 South Shore Bays From Jones Inlet Through Shinnecock Bay- 327 Pm Edt Mon Oct 18 2021
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with occasional gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..NW winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with occasional gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 327 Pm Edt Mon Oct 18 2021
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A surface trough moves south of the waters this evening. Meanwhile, high pressure centered over the southeastern states will slowly move east through Tuesday night, moving off the southeastern coast Wednesday. A cold frontal passage is likely on Fri and into Sat.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Medford, NY
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location: 40.85, -73     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 181736 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 136 PM EDT Mon Oct 18 2021

SYNOPSIS. A weak surface trough will move across this afternoon. High pressure will then build to the south of the area into mid week, and is likely to be followed by a cold frontal passage Thursday night into Friday morning.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Updated the probabilities across portions of Connecticut and eastern Long Island as shortwave energy rotates into the region and a weak low level shortwave also moves through the area. Also increased cloud cover as cumulus have built up with daytime heating and increased lift.

With the upper trough axis to the east today and additional energy rotating through the western side and increased daytime heating, showers will be possible once again. A weak 850 shortwave will also be moving into the region in the afternoon. So, the best chances will be mainly in the afternoon, and across the eastern portions of the region. Heights begin to slowly rise late in the day. Several CAMs show showers enough shower activity across southeastern Connecticut and eastern Long Island to warrant low end chance POPs. Additionally, some of these showers could be associated with gusty winds of 30 to 40 mph. Again, this would be for those aforementioned eastern areas, with the highest chances for eastern Long Island.

Temperatures today will continue to run slightly below seasonal normals as the northwesterly flow continues to filter in cooler air.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Heights continue to rise slowly through tonight as the upper trough moves into the northern New England coast and Canadian Maritimes and the surface high builds toward the southeastern states.

Temperatures tonight will be slightly below seasonal normals.

No major changes have been made to Tue-Wed and the NBM was followed. High pres south of the region along with increasing heights will produce mild and dry wx Tue and Wed.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. Heights begin to fall ahead of the next sys on Thu, but shwrs are progged to hold off until Thu ngt. Chances for shwrs thru Fri with the fropa, with the best chances thru the first part of the day Fri per the 12Z model timing of the front. A prefrontal trof may shunt the moisture offshore Thu ngt into early Fri, keeping the actual fropa dry. Too far out to be confident in any of the smaller scale details though.

Colder temps over the weekend, and the model trend has been colder. The GFS is now down to -6C at H85 on Sun. As a result, the fcst was blended towards the colder MEX guidance thru the period.

AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. High pressure slowly builds in from the west today.

VFR. Winds should prevail right around 310 magnetic this afternoon, generally sustained 15-20 kt with gusts 25-30 kt. Winds diminish this evening, remaining gusty until around midnight.

. NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

For all terminals, sustained winds could vary 5 kt higher to 5 kt lower than forecast in a short period of time. Winds probably at or north of 310 most of the time through the evening push for KLGA and KJFK, while at KEWR, winds at or south of 310 magnetic.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. Tuesday through Thursday. VFR. WNW gusts around 20 kt on Tuesday. Friday. MVFR with any morning showers, otherwise VFR. Saturday. VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. No changes to winds and seas at this time.

Marginal SCA conditions will remain on all ocean waters through tonight as a strong and gusty northwest to west flow continues between low pressure across eastern Canada and high pressure across the mid section of the country. Gusts across the Long Island bays and portions of eastern Long Island Sound may occasionally reach SCA levels late this morning into this afternoon. Gusts may briefly fall below 25 kt this morning before increasing Monday afternoon. The development of showers across the eastern sound, portions of the central sound, Peconic and Gardiners Bays and the eastern ocean zone may briefly bring gusty winds of 30 to 35 kt.

Winds look to remain above SCA lvls on Tue for the central and easter ocean zone, so SCA was extended through Tuesday for theses areas. However, winds across the western ocean zone will decrease enough on Tue that the SCA was not expanded here.

Seas on the ocean will be close to 5 ft both today and Tuesday, especially ern zones. Increasing swly flow on Thu ahead of a cold front with a sca possible, especially on the ocean. A cold frontal passage on Fri with conditions again near sca lvls.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts are expected through Sun.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ355. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Tuesday for ANZ350-353.



AVIATION . JC


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 24 mi46 min NW 5.1G9.9 57°F 69°F1008.2 hPa
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 27 mi94 min WNW 18G23 58°F 68°F2 ft
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 30 mi46 min NW 13G18 54°F 68°F1008.2 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 32 mi49 min WNW 21G31 59°F 44°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 39 mi49 min WNW 18 59°F 46°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 41 mi46 min N 15G17 57°F 1010.6 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 42 mi34 min 23G29 66°F1008.5 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY6 mi38 minWNW 17 G 2810.00 miLight Rain58°F41°F53%1008.5 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY8 mi38 minN 10 G 187.00 miLight Rain51°F45°F80%1008.7 hPa
The Gabreski Airport, NY20 mi41 minN 12 G 214.00 miRain50°F45°F83%1009.2 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY23 mi41 minNW 13 G 2210.00 miPartly Cloudy59°F39°F48%1009.2 hPa
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT24 mi42 minNNW 910.00 miPartly Cloudy59°F43°F56%1008.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KISP

Wind History from ISP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW9W12W10
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G26
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1 day agoS14
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SW8NW10NW12NW12NW7W8W9NW9NW7W6W6W7W8NW11W11NW14
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2 days agoS9S7S6S6S4S6S6S6S7SW9S7SW9S8S7S6S7S10S14S16
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Tide / Current Tables for Patchogue, Long Island, New York
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Patchogue
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:40 AM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:52 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:06 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:24 AM EDT     0.78 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:05 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:36 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:39 PM EDT     0.79 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Mount Sinai Harbor, Long Island Sound, New York
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Mount Sinai Harbor
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:38 AM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:52 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:32 AM EDT     6.60 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:04 PM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:36 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:56 PM EDT     6.38 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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