Monday, September27, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Sackets Harbor, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 6:53PM Monday September 27, 2021 2:34 AM EDT (06:34 UTC) Moonrise 9:25PMMoonset 12:38PM Illumination 67% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ045 Expires:202109270315;;223060 Fzus51 Kbuf 261938 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 338 Pm Edt Sun Sep 26 2021 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz044-045-270315- Sodus Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 338 Pm Edt Sun Sep 26 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through Monday evening...
Tonight..West winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers late. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Monday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. Showers likely in the morning, then just a chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Monday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Partly to mostly Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..North winds 10 knots or less. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
LOZ045


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sackets Harbor, NY
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location: 43.95, -76.17     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 270558 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 158 AM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021

SYNOPSIS. A series of frontal boundaries will produce showers at times today through Tuesday morning. After this, expect fair and mainly dry weather through the rest of the work week as Canadian high pressure builds across our region.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. A warm front will move from southwest to northeast across the area through mid-morning. This boundary is ill-defined at the surface, but there is a sharp mid-level thermal gradient which is providing the focus for some showers across northwestern NY during the early morning hours. This area should intensify east of Lake Ontario as a mid- level shortwave catches up to it this morning. Meanwhile, the rest of Western NY from Lake Ontario will dry out quickly where with the vast majority of the day rain-free with frequent breaks of sunshine.

It will be breezy today, especially across the Niagara Frontier where the clearing will help winds aloft mix to the surface with wind gusts up to 40 mph from mid- morning through early afternoon. Areas south of Lake Ontario will be in the warm sector, allowing temperatures to climb into the lower to mid 70s today. There may be a few lingering showers east of Lake Ontario which will be closer to the frontal boundary.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. The cold front will move slowly south across the area Monday night through Tuesday morning. There will be little in the way of large scale synoptic support aloft associated with the front, as the next mid level shortwave does not cross the area until during the day Tuesday and after the surface cold front is already southeast of our area. The front will produce a few showers as it moves from north to south across the area Monday night, but limited forcing and moisture will keep rainfall amounts light. A few showers may linger into Tuesday morning across the Southern Tier and western Finger Lakes. Drier mid levels and subsidence in the wake of the front will then allow for a return to mainly dry weather by Tuesday afternoon.

Surface high pressure will build into the central Great Lakes Tuesday night, then drift south to the Ohio Valley Wednesday and Wednesday night. This will keep the bulk of the area dry. The one exception may be east and southeast of Lake Ontario. A mid level closed low over Quebec will dig southward towards northern New England, with the western periphery of the circulation and deeper moisture possibly clipping the eastern Lake Ontario region. The NAM and to some extent the GFS are farther westward and deeper with this feature than the ECMWF/GEM solutions. Given the model differences, only made minor adjustments for now to introduce slight chance POPS and more clouds late Tuesday night through Wednesday east of Lake Ontario. If the circulation does make it as far west as the NAM/GFS solution there may be a few lake effect showers east/southeast of Lake Ontario as well.

Temperatures will be seasonably cool through the period. Highs Tuesday and Wednesday will be in the mid to upper 60s for the lower elevations of Western NY and lower 60s for higher terrain. It will be cooler east of Lake Ontario, closer to a mid level cold pool. Highs will be in the lower 60s for lower elevations and mid 50s for higher terrain Tuesday and Wednesday. Lows Tuesday night and Wednesday night will be in the upper 40s on the lake plains and lower 40s for interior areas, with some upper 30s possible in Lewis County.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Long range model guidance remains consistently inconsistent with the pattern through the end of the upcoming week. Model consensus has an upper level low centered over Maine Thursday before guidance diverges with different solutions. The ECMWF keeps this upper low spinning across New England into the weekend, while the GFS and Canadian favor moving this system northeast across the Canadian Maritimes by Friday. Either way it will be cool and (mainly) dry across our area, however if the western ECMWF solution is correct then there may be some lake enhanced clouds and showers south of Lake Ontario Thursday.

For the start of the weekend, it's the GFS/GGEM that suggest the next shortwave may bring some showers while the ECMWF builds a surface high across the area with dry weather. Will carry slight chance PoPs for Saturday and Sunday given the plausible solution of the GFS/GEM.

Otherwise, temperatures will remain on the cool side through the end of the week with highs in the low to mid 60s and a slight warm up Saturday and Sunday with highs in the mid to upper 60s. Lows Thursday night through Friday night will drop into a range of 40s. The first frost of the season is possible across the coolest of the interior valleys lows in the 30s possible.

AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Showers will be focused along a mid-level frontal boundary which will move from SW-NW across the area through noon today. These will not be heavy enough to result in any vsby restrictions for the most part, with the exception of KART where showers will be heavier and there will be more low level moisture with MVFR/IFR flight conditions.

The rest of the area south of Lake Ontario will be in the warm sector today with breezy but widespread VFR flight conditions.

Increasing cloud cover with cigs lowering to MVFR in spots tonight as a cold front drops southward across the area. Scattered showers possible.

Outlook .

Tuesday . Mainly VFR with a chance of showers across the Southern Tier and interior Finger Lakes. Wednesday through Friday..Mainly VFR.

MARINE. Breezy west-southwesterly flow will maintain widespread SCA-level conditions today across eastern portions of both lakes. Winds will then subside tonight with northerly flow in the wake of a passing cold front.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for NYZ007. Beach Hazards Statement until 8 AM EDT this morning for NYZ006. Beach Hazards Statement until 5 AM EDT early this morning for NYZ005. Beach Hazards Statement through this afternoon for NYZ010-019- 085. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for LEZ040- 041. Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for LOZ044-045.



SYNOPSIS . Apffel/JJR/PP NEAR TERM . Apffel SHORT TERM . Hitchcock LONG TERM . EAJ AVIATION . Apffel/PP MARINE . Apffel/JJR/PP


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ALXN6 - 8311062 - Alexandria Bay, NY 29 mi46 min 72°F1009.3 hPa
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 38 mi46 min S 8.9 G 12 59°F 1011.2 hPa51°F
45135 - Prince Edward Pt 39 mi34 min SW 14 G 18 66°F 67°F3 ft1010.1 hPa (-0.9)
OBGN6 - 8311030 - Ogdensburg, NY 63 mi52 min 54°F 68°F1008.7 hPa
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 89 mi34 min SW 8.9 G 12 62°F 1012.5 hPa (-0.4)

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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S9
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Watertown, Watertown International Airport, NY9 mi38 minS 410.00 miMostly Cloudy56°F50°F81%1010.3 hPa
Fort Drum / Wheeler-Sack U. S. Army Airfield, NY24 mi38 minSSE 810.00 miFair51°F48°F88%1010.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KART

Wind History from ART (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW5NW4CalmCalmS4SE4S5SW10W11
G18
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W9W8W6CalmCalmS3S4
1 day agoCalmCalmE3E3NE4NE3CalmS6S7SW8SW11
G14
SW7SW6SW7S5S4S3S5S6W9W9W9W4W8
2 days agoS5S4S5S6S5S4S12
G17
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S9SW10
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G19
S8SW3S3S5S5SW5S3CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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