Sunrise 6:19 AM   Sunset 7:55 PM Moonrise 8:04 PM   Moonset 5:33 AM

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PZZ530 San Pablo Bay, Suisun Bay, The West Delta And The San Francisco Bay North Of The Bay Bridge- 835 Am Pdt Wed Apr 24 2024
Today - SW winds 5 to 10 knots - .increasing to 10 to 15 knots this afternoon. A slight chance of very light drizzle this morning. Tonight - W winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Thu - W winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Thu night - W winds 10 to 20 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Fri - W winds 10 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Fri night - W winds 10 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Sat - W winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Sun - W winds 10 to 15 knots.

PZZ500 835 Am Pdt Wed Apr 24 2024
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay - Greater farallones - .and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries - .
winds will be gentle to moderate across the waters through this afternoon as a low pressure system exits to the east. Tonight and tomorrow, winds will prevail as a moderate northwesterly breeze. A cold front will traverse across the region on Friday, bringing strong and gusty northwesterly winds with gale force gusts likely through the weekend. Moderate period northwesterly swell will continue to move through the waters through Saturday.

FXUS66 KMTR 241718 AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 1018 AM PDT Wed Apr 24 2024

New AVIATION, MARINE

SYNOPSIS
Issued at 1228 AM PDT Wed Apr 24 2024

A deep marine layer and expansive cloud coverage will keep temperatures cool through Thursday before a cold front brings strong wind on Friday. Clearer skies and slightly warmer temperatures are expected this weekend.

SHORT TERM
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 1228 AM PDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Stratus coverage is quite expansive early this morning due to a deep marine layer. Some light drizzle is possible along windward facing slopes this morning, although there hasn't been any measurable precipitation so far. The cloud cover will keep morning temperatures near normal, with high temperatures 5-10 degrees below normal this afternoon.

The weather pattern is fairly dynamic over the next few days. A persistent low pressure system off the coast of San Francisco will finally weaken and open up into a trough late today, bringing the return of NW flow. The supporting upper-level cut-off low will evacuate to the east on Thursday, allowing a small amplitude ridge to become established. This high pressure will squish the marine layer from around 4,000 ft on Wednesday to around 1,500 ft on Thursday. This change will bring lower, but less expansive cloud coverage and the potential for morning fog. This regime won't last long as a new cold front and associated trough move will move through on Friday.

LONG TERM
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 1228 AM PDT Wed Apr 24 2024

The Weather Prediction Center forecasts the cold front to move through Friday morning, with a slight chance for light rain on either side. The biggest impact from this system will be strong NW wind behind the front. Our official forecast has gale force wind gusts along the coast of Sonoma, Marin, and Big Sur on Friday afternoon and evening. NBM probabilities are above 95% of confirming the previous sentence. All of this has led me to strongly consider a wind advisory. While there is still some uncertainty if the threshold will be hit between Marin and Monterey counties (roughly a 30% chance), I'd rather have the advisory out with as much lead time as possible to allow the Rocky Creek slip-out repair crew time to secure the crane for high winds. The downside of the early issuance is that the coverage may need to be expanded over the next 24 hours if the rest of the coast or inland areas start trending higher in the guidance.

Winds will remain strong through the night Friday before gradually decreasing through the weekend. The cold front will also usher in a dryer airmass with much less cloud coverage expected this weekend, especially for inland areas. This will allow temperatures to return to normal through the weekend and into early next week.

Some super long range guidance is starting to hint at a potential storm during the first weekend in May. While there have been some aggressive deterministic runs lately, the current ECMWF and GEFS ensemble means both keep the total precipitation under 1/2" at San Francisco. Even that would be a lot for May, however, which typically averages about 1/2" for the entire month. The Climate Prediction Center is also taking note of this and showing slightly wetter than normal conditions in the 8-14 day outlook (May 1-7). This is just something to keep an eye on for now.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1014 AM PDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Currently VFR at all terminals. Winds will be breezy out of the west through the TAF period with speeds increasing into the next TAF cycle. The exiting upper-level cut-off low will allow for a ridge to briefly build, thus allowing for the marine layer to compress and ceilings to significantly drop from marginal MVFR to potentially low-end MVFR. Stratus will make a return to all terminals overnight and linger through the end of the 24-hour TAF period.

Vicinity of SFO...Currently VFR with breezy southeasterly flow.
Winds will be breezy and prevail out of the west by this afternoon.
MVFR stratus will return to the terminal overnight with latest models/guidance showing it slow to scatter out tomorrow morning.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals...Currently VFR with drainage flow at both terminals. Winds will become breezy and prevail out of the west through the TAF period. Stratus will return to both terminals overnight with highest confidence in MVFR being the result.

MARINE
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 1014 AM PDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Winds will be gentle to moderate across the waters through this afternoon as an upper-level cut-off low exits to the east.
Tonight and tomorrow, winds will prevail as a moderate northwesterly breeze. A cold front will traverse across the region on Friday, bringing strong and gusty northwesterly winds with gale force gusts likely through the weekend. Moderate period northwesterly swell will continue to move through the waters through Saturday.

MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM to 9 AM PDT Thursday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm.

Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM to 3 PM PDT Thursday for Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.

Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 9 AM PDT Thursday for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.

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San Francisco
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Wed -- 12:03 AM PDT     5.62 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:21 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:33 AM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:35 AM PDT     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:28 PM PDT     4.30 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:14 PM PDT     2.26 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:54 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:03 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

San Francisco, California, Tide feet

Golden Gate Bridge .8 mi E .
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:42 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:13 AM PDT     -3.13 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 06:21 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:33 AM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:45 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 11:42 AM PDT     3.10 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 03:02 PM PDT     -0.01 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:40 PM PDT     -1.79 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 07:54 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:32 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 09:03 PM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:26 PM PDT     2.27 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Golden Gate Bridge .8 mi E ., San Francisco Bay, California Current, knots

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