Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for South Point, TX
July 26, 2024 5:40 PM CST (23:40 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:26 AM Sunset 6:07 PM Moonrise 11:23 PM Moonset 11:12 AM |
PMZ028 Oaxaca E Of Puerto Angel Within 300 Nm Offshore Including The Gulf Of Tehuantepec- 114 Pm Pdt Fri Jul 26 2024
Tonight - N of 14n, sw winds 10 kt, shifting to nw late. S of 14n, variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 11 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night.
Sat - N of 14n, N winds 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable winds less than 5 kt. S of 14n, variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 10 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the day.
Sat night - N of 14n, variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming nw 10 kt late. S of 14n, variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 11 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night.
Sun - NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 15 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the day.
Sun night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 12 seconds.
Mon - NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 12 seconds.
Mon night - E to se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Eriod 13 seconds.
Tue - E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to sw swell. Period 11 seconds.
Tue night - E to se winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to sw swell. Period 11 seconds.
Wed - N winds 15 to 20 kt N of 14n, and E 10 kt S of 14n. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S swell. Period 12 seconds.
Wed night - N winds 15 to 20 kt N of 14n, and ne to E 10 kt S of 14n. Seas 5 to 7 ft in S to sw swell. Period 12 seconds.
PMZ005
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Area Discussion for - Brownsville, TX
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FXUS64 KBRO 261911 AFDBRO
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 211 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Saturday night)
Issued at 206 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024
Deep tropical moisture remains across the region. A swath of clouds and radar reflectivity lie over the Mid-Valley this afternoon, with a few extant showers. A mid-level weakness is aloft, resulting in lingering instability, and one more day of robust, albeit non-severe convection will be on tap for Saturday. The area is in a general thunderstorm outlook and a marginal excessive rain outlook through Saturday night. The NAM fills in the CWA with precip coverage much of Saturday, though accumulation will generally be on the lower side. Brief heavier showers could still lead to short term spikes in rainfall and possible nuisance type flooding. Recent rains have been mostly beneficial, with Brownsville rainfall totals for the year now several inches above normal.
Otherwise, mostly cloudy to overcast skies and light winds will continue. High temps on Saturday will range from the mid 80s to near 90. Overnight lows will be mainly in the mid 70s. Rip current risk will remain low.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through next Friday)
Issued at 206 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024
Lingering moisture and weak forcing could support isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms Sunday. The upper level trough will move further east Sunday, as an upper level ridge takes hold over the Central US by Monday. This will support drier conditions and warmer temperatures through the remainder of the period, as the ridge looks to strengthen through the period. Rain chances look to remain near zero Monday through Friday.
Clearing skies and continued southerly to southeasterly flow will allow afternoon how temperatures to climb back into the mid to upper 90s through the period. Heat indices look to top out around 108-110 each afternoon, remaining just below Heat Advisory criteria. Low temperatures look to be in the upper 70s to low 80s through the period.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1111 AM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024
VFR conditions at the TAF sites. Very light winds and a few mid clouds. Deep moisture is still transiting the region, just a bit upstream over the mid-valley right now. HRRR suggests some showers may get going over the lower valley later this afternoon.
Guidance is suggesting generally VFR conditions with possible lowering and thickening to MVFR overnight. Would expect VFR through late this evening otherwise, except near hit and miss showers or thunderstorms.
MARINE
Issued at 206 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024
Tonight through Saturday night...Due mainly to high pressure across the North Gulf, light to moderate winds and low to moderate seas will prevail through Saturday night. Unsettled weather will continue into Saturday night with scattered showers and isolated tstorms.
Enhanced winds and seas will be possible near any convection. I do not expect SCEC nor SCA conditions.
Sunday through next Friday...High pressure looks to remain over the Northern Gulf through the period, supporting generally light to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas. The interaction of the aforementioned high and a strengthening thermal low over Northern Mexico could result in tighter pressure gradients Tuesday and Wednesday along the Lower Texas Coast. This will likely result in higher winds along the Laguna Madre, and may require Small Craft Should Exercise Caution headlines for the Laguna Madre Tuesday and Wednesday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 76 89 78 92 / 50 60 50 30 HARLINGEN 73 88 76 92 / 50 60 40 30 MCALLEN 76 90 78 95 / 40 60 30 20 RIO GRANDE CITY 76 89 76 94 / 40 60 30 20 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 79 86 81 88 / 50 60 40 20 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 75 88 77 91 / 40 60 40 20
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 211 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Saturday night)
Issued at 206 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024
Deep tropical moisture remains across the region. A swath of clouds and radar reflectivity lie over the Mid-Valley this afternoon, with a few extant showers. A mid-level weakness is aloft, resulting in lingering instability, and one more day of robust, albeit non-severe convection will be on tap for Saturday. The area is in a general thunderstorm outlook and a marginal excessive rain outlook through Saturday night. The NAM fills in the CWA with precip coverage much of Saturday, though accumulation will generally be on the lower side. Brief heavier showers could still lead to short term spikes in rainfall and possible nuisance type flooding. Recent rains have been mostly beneficial, with Brownsville rainfall totals for the year now several inches above normal.
Otherwise, mostly cloudy to overcast skies and light winds will continue. High temps on Saturday will range from the mid 80s to near 90. Overnight lows will be mainly in the mid 70s. Rip current risk will remain low.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through next Friday)
Issued at 206 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024
Lingering moisture and weak forcing could support isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms Sunday. The upper level trough will move further east Sunday, as an upper level ridge takes hold over the Central US by Monday. This will support drier conditions and warmer temperatures through the remainder of the period, as the ridge looks to strengthen through the period. Rain chances look to remain near zero Monday through Friday.
Clearing skies and continued southerly to southeasterly flow will allow afternoon how temperatures to climb back into the mid to upper 90s through the period. Heat indices look to top out around 108-110 each afternoon, remaining just below Heat Advisory criteria. Low temperatures look to be in the upper 70s to low 80s through the period.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1111 AM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024
VFR conditions at the TAF sites. Very light winds and a few mid clouds. Deep moisture is still transiting the region, just a bit upstream over the mid-valley right now. HRRR suggests some showers may get going over the lower valley later this afternoon.
Guidance is suggesting generally VFR conditions with possible lowering and thickening to MVFR overnight. Would expect VFR through late this evening otherwise, except near hit and miss showers or thunderstorms.
MARINE
Issued at 206 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024
Tonight through Saturday night...Due mainly to high pressure across the North Gulf, light to moderate winds and low to moderate seas will prevail through Saturday night. Unsettled weather will continue into Saturday night with scattered showers and isolated tstorms.
Enhanced winds and seas will be possible near any convection. I do not expect SCEC nor SCA conditions.
Sunday through next Friday...High pressure looks to remain over the Northern Gulf through the period, supporting generally light to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas. The interaction of the aforementioned high and a strengthening thermal low over Northern Mexico could result in tighter pressure gradients Tuesday and Wednesday along the Lower Texas Coast. This will likely result in higher winds along the Laguna Madre, and may require Small Craft Should Exercise Caution headlines for the Laguna Madre Tuesday and Wednesday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 76 89 78 92 / 50 60 50 30 HARLINGEN 73 88 76 92 / 50 60 40 30 MCALLEN 76 90 78 95 / 40 60 30 20 RIO GRANDE CITY 76 89 76 94 / 40 60 30 20 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 79 86 81 88 / 50 60 40 20 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 75 88 77 91 / 40 60 40 20
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.
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Brownsville, TX,
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