Friday, December6, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Kaneohe, HI

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 5:50PM Friday December 6, 2019 8:37 AM HST (18:37 UTC) Moonrise 2:29PMMoonset 2:06AM Illumination 74% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PHZ116 Kaiwi Channel- 330 Am Hst Fri Dec 6 2019
Today..East winds 15 knots. Wind waves 4 feet. North swell 7 feet and north 3 feet. Occasional rain in the morning, then slight chance of rain in the afternoon.
Tonight..East winds 15 knots. Wind waves 4 feet. North swell 7 feet and north 3 feet. Isolated showers.
Saturday..East winds 15 knots in the morning becoming variable less than 10 knots. Wind waves 4 feet. North swell 8 feet and north 3 feet. Isolated showers in the morning.
Saturday night..Winds variable less than 10 knots becoming southwest 10 knots after midnight. Wind waves 3 feet in the evening then 2 feet or less. North swell 8 feet.
Sunday..Winds variable less than 10 knots. Wind waves 2 feet or less. North swell 6 feet. SWell northwest 3 feet.
Sunday night..North winds 10 knots. Wind waves 2 feet or less. North swell 5 feet and northwest 5 to 6 feet. Isolated showers.
Monday..East winds 10 knots. Wind waves 3 feet. North swell 3 to 4 feet and northwest 6 to 8 feet. Isolated showers.
Tuesday..East winds 15 knots. Wind waves 4 feet. North swell 3 feet and northwest 8 to 9 feet. Isolated showers.
PHZ100 330 Am Hst Fri Dec 6 2019
Synopsis for hawaiian coastal waters.. Surface high pressure centered far to the north will support moderate trade winds, with winds beginning to slowly weaken later today and tonight. A trough aloft near the state and moving from the west will increase showers today, with a slight chance of Thunderstorms this morning.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kaneohe, HI
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location: 21.42, -157.78     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXHW60 PHFO 061402 AFDHFO

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Honolulu HI 402 AM HST Fri Dec 6 2019

SYNOPSIS. Thick layered clouds, bringing clouds and light to moderate rain to the region, will clear from west to east throughout today and into tonight as an upper level feature moves to the east. In its wake, high pressure to the north will allow moderate trades to filter back in, along with clouds and showers over windward areas. Light winds and drier conditions are expected over the weekend, with more clouds over interior parts of the islands during the afternoon hours.

DISCUSSION. No significant changes to the forecast this morning. Did make some tweaks to the Sky grids for the first 36 hours or so, but no significant changes.

The upper level shortwave continues to move over the region, with the bulk of the showers over Maui County and the Oahu this morning. The trailing end is over Kauai. Anticipating improving conditions over Kauai this morning, spreading to Oahu by this afternoon and to Maui later tonight.

Winds at the Big Island summits did drop a little overnight, as expected, but have already rebounded to advisory levels. Summits winds are expected to strengthen today as the upper level shortwave swings through. The current Wind Advisory is through 6pm, but will monitor the situation in the event it needs to be extended. The main batch of clouds and showers is just starting to moving over the northern portion of the Big Island this morning. While the summits have received some bouts of snowfall overnight, expect a more widespread area will likely move over the summits in the next couple of hours. The Winter Weather Warning continues until 6pm.

The above mentioned upper level short-wave trough should swing out of the area by tonight, allowing for improving conditions in the form of fewer clouds and showers. However a weak ridge over the islands will keep light winds over the region, which will also likely mean some land and sea breezes.

A weakening front is expected to approach from the north, dissipating as it stalls near Kauai and Oahu late Sunday into Monday. A high pressure system north of the region will support a brief return of trade winds Sunday into Tuesday, with front remnants helping to boost trade wind shower activity.

Another front approaching during the middle of next week could weaken winds again, and current guidance shows this front could bring strong and cool northeast winds behind it. The GFS is a little faster with the fronts arrival, but the ECMWF bring more rain to the region. Have trended the end of the forecast towards the GFS solution for now, but will be monitoring future runs to nail down the details.

AVIATION. A quick-moving upper-level trough is passing over Hawaii. There has been stratiform showers from Kauai to Maui poised to be over the Big Island soon. Ceilings recently started getting low on Lanai and Maui so AIRMET Sierra has been posted for mountain obscuration on those islands. The AIRMET may need to be expanded for other areas, so will continue to monitor and it the need arises, issue another AIRMET accordingly. We are already beginning to see the end of the shower activity move into coastal waters just northwest of Kauai.

Icing is another concern with the thick nature of these clouds. Issued an AIRMET for icing from the freezing layer at 14Kft to FL220. This is moderate icing over all islands and we will start canceling these for each island as the showers move to the southeast.

Turbulence is also possible over the island but will hold off on issuing an AIRMET for upper level turbulence until we actually see the need for it. We have only had a few reports of light turbulence thus far and the models are dissipating the intensity of the turbulence over Hawaii for the next several hours.

MARINE. High pressure far north of the islands will maintain moderate trade winds, but expect a downward trend starting later today and into tonight.

A trough moving overhead from the west will induce showers across the state through the day. A slight chance of thunderstorms is in the forecast northeast of the islands, with portions of the northern coastal waters included in the threat.

Overlapping long-period swells from the north, and then the north- northeast, will result in large surf for north and east facing shores of most islands. The north swell has been building and will reach the 8-foot High Surf Advisory (HSA) level for east facing shores today, but should remain below the north shore advisory level until later this evening. As the swell shifts around to the north-northeast this weekend, swell and surf heights will increase further and peak tonight through Saturday night, with advisory level surf along north facing shores, and possibly warning levels for east facing shores. Headed into next week, advisory level surf is possible with a couple of northwest swells beginning Sunday night into Monday.

HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. High Surf Advisory until 6 PM HST Sunday for Kauai Windward-Oahu Koolau-Olomana-Molokai Windward-Maui Windward West-Windward Haleakala-Big Island North and East.

Wind Advisory until 6 PM HST this evening for Big Island Summits.

Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM HST this evening for Big Island Summits.



DISCUSSION . M Ballard AVIATION . Chevalier MARINE . Kinel


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MOKH1 - 1612480 - Mokuoloe, HI 1 mi62 min SSE 1.9 G 4.1 71°F 77°F1013.3 hPa
51207 4 mi38 min 80°F7 ft
51210 4 mi38 min 79°F6 ft
51202 - Mokapu Point, HI (098) 5 mi38 min 79°F7 ft
OOUH1 - 1612340 - Honolulu, HI 9 mi56 min Calm G 1.9 71°F 80°F1013.2 hPa
51211 13 mi68 min 80°F3 ft
51212 21 mi38 min 81°F3 ft
51201 - Waimea Bay, HI (106) 25 mi32 min 76°F7 ft

Wind History for Mokuoloe, HI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kaneohe, Marine Corps Air Station, HI2 mi71 minN 010.00 miLight Rain72°F68°F87%1012.5 hPa
Daniel K Inouye International Airport, HI9 mi45 minN 010.00 miLight Rain71°F66°F87%1013.1 hPa
Wheeler Air Force Base / Oahu, HI14 mi1.7 hrsW 410.00 miLight Drizzle66°F65°F99%1012.4 hPa
Oahu, Kalaeloa Airport, HI17 mi45 minENE 310.00 miLight Rain71°F68°F90%1014 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for PHNG

Wind History from HNG (wind in knots)
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E5E7E9E9E7E9E6NE9E9E8E8E9E7NE9E9CalmCalmSW5CalmW5E3
1 day agoE7E10E9E8E8E8E6E6E9NE9NE12E12E7
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2 days agoE13
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Tide / Current Tables for Waikane, Kaneohe Bay, Oahu Island, Hawaii
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Waikane
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:06 AM HST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:15 AM HST     0.97 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:55 AM HST     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:05 AM HST     1.63 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:29 PM HST     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:17 PM HST     0.31 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:48 PM HST     Sunset
Fri -- 11:48 PM HST     1.89 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.71.51.41.21111.21.41.51.61.61.41.20.90.60.40.30.40.60.91.31.61.8

Tide / Current Tables for Waimanalo, Oahu Island, Hawaii
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Waimanalo
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:06 AM HST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:24 AM HST     0.66 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:54 AM HST     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:36 AM HST     1.13 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:28 PM HST     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:26 PM HST     0.09 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:48 PM HST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.110.90.70.70.70.80.911.11.110.90.60.40.20.10.10.20.50.811.2

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of Hawaii    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Molokai, HI
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.