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PMZ021 Southern Gulf Of California- 800 Am Pst Fri Dec 1 2023
Today..NW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 14 seconds.
Tonight..NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 14 seconds.
Sat..NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 13 seconds.
Sat night..NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 8 seconds.
Sun..NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 5 seconds.
Sun night..NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 6 seconds.
Mon..NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 7 seconds.
Mon night..NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 10 seconds.
Tue..NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 13 seconds.
Tue night..NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 12 seconds.

PMZ005
No data

FXUS64 KMAF 011112 AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 512 AM CST Fri Dec 1 2023

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today through Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 340 AM CST Fri Dec 1 2023

Feel like you almost blew away yesterday? It was a windy one out there for sure, with Pine Springs gusting to nearly 70 mph and Carlsbad to almost 65 mph! Luckily, today won't be nearly as bad as Thursday w.r.t the winds, but it'll still be quite breezy for December as an shortwave tracks across this afternoon. A cold front pushed into the CWA this morning, bringing dry air and colder temperatures to the northern portions of the region. Strong southwesterly winds aloft will develop by the afternoon as the shortwave moves across, and highs today will actually be near normal thanks to warm downsloping winds mitigating the cooler temps behind the front. Temperatures this afternoon will look similar to Thursday, topping out in the 60s for most, and those along the Rio Grande hitting the 70s. While wind speeds will be below advisory/warning criteria this afternoon, it is still a good idea to make sure to bring in trash cans and tie down loose objects.

The pattern for Saturday will be very similar to today, as a large upper trough moves across the Central Plains and surface troughing develops over the Panhandle. As such, another round of breezy westerly winds develop while colder air is pushed southward with the passing trough. We again will see the strong downsloping winds combating the cooler air, so expect another afternoon in the upper 50s to low 60s for most. The trough looks to stay too far north on Saturday at this point to warrant any wind products, but parts of SE New Mexico and the far northern Permian Basin may see wind speeds nearing Wind Advisory criteria. Stay tuned.

-Zuber

LONG TERM
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 340 AM CST Fri Dec 1 2023

The long-term forecast continues to be rather prosaic, bone-dry and warming to above-normal for this time of year. Sunday, an upper trough will be moving into the MS Valley, leaving West Texas and Southeast New Mexico under northwest flow aloft. As next week progresses, an upper ridge will build in from the west, resulting in a gradual warming of the region. A dry front will backdoor the area Tuesday, shaving a couple of degrees off Tuesday's highs, and another couple off Wednesday's. Temperatures rebound Thursday, with highs 7-9F above normal and the warmest day this forecast. Grids stay dry.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 509 AM CST Fri Dec 1 2023

VFR conditions will prevail. Winds are light and variable this morning but will become solidly southwesterly just after sunrise.
SW winds become gusty this afternoon, first at the NM terminals and then the TX terminals. Gusts up to 30kts possible, especially for KCNM and KHOB beginning around 16/17z. Gusts should die out at all terminals by 00z-02z.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 66 42 64 36 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 61 38 61 33 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 70 46 70 40 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 67 43 65 39 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 54 35 53 33 / 0 10 0 0 Hobbs 61 37 59 33 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 61 34 58 29 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 64 43 62 37 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 64 43 62 38 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 66 40 65 34 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
NM...None.

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La Paz
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Fri -- 06:47 AM MST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:33 AM MST     1.05 meters High Tide
Fri -- 10:44 AM MST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:32 PM MST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:19 PM MST     -0.02 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 09:33 PM MST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

La Paz, Baja California Sur, Mexico (2), Tide feet

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