Thursday, December5, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
"Islamorada, Village of Islands ", FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:52AMSunset 5:32PM Thursday December 5, 2019 4:54 PM EST (21:54 UTC) Moonrise 1:41PMMoonset 12:55AM Illumination 65% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ042 Hawk Channel From Ocean Reef To Craig Key Out To The Reef- Hawk Channel From Craig Key To West End Of Seven Mile Bridge Out To The Reef- Hawk Channel From West End Of Seven Mile Bridge To Halfmoon Shoal Out To The Reef- 433 Pm Est Thu Dec 5 2019
Tonight..Northeast to east winds near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light chop.
Friday..Northeast to east winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop.
Friday night and Saturday..North to northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop.
Saturday night..Northeast to east winds increasing to near 10 knots early. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters becoming a light chop.
Sunday..Northeast to east winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop. Isolated showers.
Sunday night..Northeast to east winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop. Isolated showers.
Monday..East to southeast winds near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light chop. Isolated showers.
Monday night..East to southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop. Isolated showers.
Tuesday..East to southeast winds near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light chop. Isolated showers.
Tuesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop. Isolated showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near "Islamorada, Village of Islands ", FL
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location: 25, -80.53     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 052001 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 301 PM EST Thu Dec 5 2019

Discussion.

Short Term (Tonight through Friday Night): the only noteworthy feature this afternoon are veils of cirrus racing across the South Florida skies as the area remains under the influence of high pressure centered over the SE CONUS. Temperatures tonight will be a few degrees warmer, with upper 40s to low 50s across most of the region. The only exception being the east coast metro areas, which will be near 60.

Through the day tomorrow, the surface high will continue to slide eastward into the western Atlantic, veering winds further out of the east to southeast. The return of an easterly component to the flow will moderate the airmass and induce a gradual warming trend across the region. Afternoon temperatures are forecast to climb into the upper 70s across most of the area and low 80s over the southwestern portions.

.Long Term (Saturday-Thursday): Saturday, the dominant high pressure across the SE states will continue to migrate further east and into the West Atlantic. This will bring east to south east winds, which will be veering ahead of an approaching front. The parent low will be migrating across the southern states during the weekend, with the latest global models depicting the best dynamical support remaining to the north of SoFlo. Therefore, only a very modest increase in moisture and a few showers are expected for the Saturday through Monday timeframe.

With the described synoptic scenario in place, temperatures should continue to climb back to near normals with morning lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s by Sunday. Afternoon highs will likely hit the upper 70s to lower 80s.

For next week, model solutions show an amplifying mid-upper level trough across the eastern seaboard, which will once again veer flow to the south and southwest ahead of an associated frontal boundary moving thru the SE US and the peninsula. This will bring increased moisture advection from the south and increasing chances of showers from Tuesday and into the middle of the week. There are still some inter and intra-model differences regarding timing and overall intensity of this potential FROPA, so will refrain from departing from the consensus attm.

Marine. Generally dry conditions should continue into next week as high pressure remains across the region. Winds will begin to veer from northerly to easterly as high pressure slowly slides eastward tomorrow into the weekend. Seas will be generally 3 feet or less across local South Florida waters. The minor northerly swell over the Atlantic nearshore waters will gradually diminish through the day tomorrow.

Aviation. High pressure will keep dry, VFR conditions through the TAF period. Northerly flow may briefly swing out of the NNE this afternoon. Winds then become light and variable overnight with an increase out of the E to SE around 8 knots tomorrow.

Fire Weather. Conditions will improve tomorrow as easterly winds return, allowing minimum RH values to moderate back above 40.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 57 77 60 78 / 10 10 10 10 Fort Lauderdale 60 77 62 78 / 10 0 0 10 Miami 60 78 61 80 / 0 0 0 10 Naples 53 76 58 77 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.

Marine . 11/HVN Aviation . 11/HVN Fire Weather . 11/HVN Short Term . 11/HVN Long Term . SG/AR


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BNKF1 - Butternut Key, FL 6 mi54 min 71°F
BOBF1 - Bob Allen, FL 8 mi54 min 72°F
WRBF1 - Whipray Basin, FL 12 mi54 min NNE 6 71°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 13 mi54 min 71°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 13 mi114 min 72°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 13 mi114 min 69°F
PKYF1 - Peterson Key, FL 13 mi54 min 73°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 15 mi114 min 71°F
TBYF1 15 mi54 min 71°F
JBYF1 15 mi54 min 70°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 16 mi54 min 70°F
THRF1 16 mi114 min 71°F
LRKF1 - Little Rabbit Key, FL 16 mi114 min 71°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 16 mi114 min 70°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 17 mi54 min 71°F
BKYF1 18 mi54 min 71°F
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 18 mi54 min 71°F
GBTF1 - Garfield Bight, FL 18 mi54 min 71°F
JKYF1 - Johnson Key, FL 20 mi54 min 72°F
LONF1 - Long Key, FL 21 mi24 min 69°F 1017.4 hPa60°F
MDKF1 21 mi54 min 70°F
MUKF1 - Murray Key, FL 23 mi54 min 74°F
WWEF1 27 mi114 min 69°F
LRIF1 28 mi54 min 71°F
NRRF1 31 mi54 min 67°F
CWAF1 33 mi114 min 71°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 36 mi114 min 69°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 36 mi54 min 67°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 37 mi54 min 71°F
VCAF1 - 8723970 - Vaca Key, FL 37 mi54 min NE 5.1 G 8 69°F 73°F1018.3 hPa (-0.4)
SREF1 39 mi54 min 72°F
SMKF1 - Sombrero Key, FL 40 mi24 min NE 8.9 G 13 70°F 59°F
HREF1 41 mi54 min 71°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 41 mi54 min 68°F
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 47 mi54 min N 9.9 G 12 70°F 78°F1018.5 hPa (-0.4)
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 49 mi54 min 66°F

Wind History for Vaca Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
The Florida Keys - Marathon International Airport, FL33 mi61 minNNE 810.00 miFair71°F57°F63%1018 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMTH

Wind History from MTH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN5N3N4N4NE4N4CalmCalmN4N6N6N6NE6NE8NE9NE8N10NE12NE10NE10NE10NE8NE8N8
1 day agoNW7NW4NW3NW4N7NW7NW4NW6NW7NW7NW8W11N6NW3W5W6W7W6NW8NE8N5N5N5NW5
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Tide / Current Tables for Tavernier Creek, Hwy. 1 bridge, Hawk Channel, Florida
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Tavernier Creek
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:55 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 03:33 AM EST     1.27 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:52 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:47 AM EST     0.45 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:40 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:52 PM EST     1.34 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:32 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 10:22 PM EST     0.37 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.91.11.31.31.210.80.60.50.50.50.70.91.11.31.31.31.10.90.70.50.40.4

Tide / Current Tables for Long Key, east of drawbridge, Florida Current
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Long Key
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:36 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 12:57 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 03:56 AM EST     0.61 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:37 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:53 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:35 AM EST     -0.80 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 12:54 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 01:41 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:18 PM EST     0.70 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:33 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:05 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 10:10 PM EST     -0.90 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.20.20.40.60.60.50.3-0.2-0.6-0.8-0.8-0.7-0.400.40.60.70.70.50-0.4-0.8-0.9-0.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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