Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for North Key Largo, FL
January 15, 2025 6:19 AM EST (11:19 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:08 AM Sunset 5:54 PM Moonrise 7:45 PM Moonset 8:34 AM |
AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 400 Am Est Wed Jan 15 2025
Today - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. A moderate chop.
Tonight - NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt after midnight. A moderate chop.
Thu - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Light chop.
Thu night - SE winds around 5 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Light chop.
Fri - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne late. Light chop.
Fri night through Sun - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. A moderate chop.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 400 Am Est Wed Jan 15 2025
Synopsis -
north to northeast winds behind a cold front will lead to hazardous winds and seas in the atlantic today, with cautionary winds expected in the gulf. Conditions improve once winds weaken and veer from the east/northeast on Thursday, while seas gradually subside. However, cautionary conditions could prevail through the end of the week.
gulf stream hazards: northeast winds around 20 kts along with 5 to 7 foot seas.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jan 14, 2025 - .
21 nautical miles north northeast of fowey rocks. 7 nautical miles north northeast of port everglades. 3 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
north to northeast winds behind a cold front will lead to hazardous winds and seas in the atlantic today, with cautionary winds expected in the gulf. Conditions improve once winds weaken and veer from the east/northeast on Thursday, while seas gradually subside. However, cautionary conditions could prevail through the end of the week.
gulf stream hazards: northeast winds around 20 kts along with 5 to 7 foot seas.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jan 14, 2025 - .
21 nautical miles north northeast of fowey rocks. 7 nautical miles north northeast of port everglades. 3 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
NEW! Add second zone forecast
Ocean Reef Harbor Click for Map Wed -- 03:08 AM EST -0.35 feet Low Tide Wed -- 07:08 AM EST Sunrise Wed -- 08:34 AM EST Moonset Wed -- 09:25 AM EST 2.52 feet High Tide Wed -- 03:39 PM EST -0.05 feet Low Tide Wed -- 05:53 PM EST Sunset Wed -- 07:44 PM EST Moonrise Wed -- 09:35 PM EST 2.31 feet High Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Ocean Reef Harbor, Key Largo, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
1 |
1 am |
0.3 |
2 am |
-0.1 |
3 am |
-0.4 |
4 am |
-0.2 |
5 am |
0.2 |
6 am |
0.9 |
7 am |
1.6 |
8 am |
2.2 |
9 am |
2.5 |
10 am |
2.5 |
11 am |
2.1 |
12 pm |
1.6 |
1 pm |
0.9 |
2 pm |
0.4 |
3 pm |
0 |
4 pm |
-0 |
5 pm |
0.2 |
6 pm |
0.8 |
7 pm |
1.4 |
8 pm |
1.9 |
9 pm |
2.3 |
10 pm |
2.3 |
11 pm |
2 |
Caesar Creek Click for Map Wed -- 01:43 AM EST -2.32 knots Max Ebb Wed -- 05:20 AM EST 0.00 knots Slack Wed -- 07:08 AM EST Sunrise Wed -- 08:23 AM EST 1.62 knots Max Flood Wed -- 08:34 AM EST Moonset Wed -- 11:18 AM EST -0.00 knots Slack Wed -- 02:19 PM EST -1.81 knots Max Ebb Wed -- 05:43 PM EST 0.00 knots Slack Wed -- 05:52 PM EST Sunset Wed -- 07:44 PM EST Moonrise Wed -- 08:20 PM EST 1.14 knots Max Flood Wed -- 10:58 PM EST -0.00 knots Slack Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Caesar Creek, Biscayne Bay, Florida Current, knots
12 am |
-1.6 |
1 am |
-2.2 |
2 am |
-2.3 |
3 am |
-2 |
4 am |
-1.3 |
5 am |
-0.3 |
6 am |
0.6 |
7 am |
1.3 |
8 am |
1.6 |
9 am |
1.6 |
10 am |
1.1 |
11 am |
0.3 |
12 pm |
-0.7 |
1 pm |
-1.4 |
2 pm |
-1.8 |
3 pm |
-1.7 |
4 pm |
-1.3 |
5 pm |
-0.6 |
6 pm |
0.2 |
7 pm |
0.8 |
8 pm |
1.1 |
9 pm |
1.1 |
10 pm |
0.7 |
11 pm |
-0 |
Area Discussion for Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 150820 AFDMFL
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 320 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2025
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, BEACHES
SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 305 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2025
A broad area of high pressure extending across much of the southeastern US will build over South Florida today, allowing for benign sensible weather. Aloft, a weakening shortwave will remain draped across north/central Florida. Winds will remain from the north/northeast at 15-20 kts today as an enhanced pressure gradient between the surface high and a weak boundary remains stalled over the Florida Straits persists. This will help keep temperatures in the upper 60s and low 70s across much of the region, with partly cloudy skies and no mentionable chances for rain.
Winds veer from the east/northeast on Thursday as the high continues to expand, all the while the pressure gradient eases up across the region. At the same time, the aforementioned weakening shortwave will exit over the western Atlantic, dragging with it a trailing plume of enhanced 500mb vorticity across the peninsula. This subtle plume of energy could take advantage, so to speak, of a slight uptick in precipitable water once winds veer from the east, resulting in low-end chances for precipitation, mainly over the Atlantic waters and the immediate East Coast metro. Temperatures will once again remain in the upper 60s to mid 70s across much of the region.
LONG TERM
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 305 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2025
The surface high will drift eastward on Friday, allowing for surface winds to start veering from the south/southeast as the weekend starts. Temperatures and moisture will increase accordingly, with highs along the East Coast peaking in the low-mid 70s on Friday, then in the upper 70s - low 80s Saturday and Sunday.
Global models and ensembles continue to show a broad upper level trough and associated cold fronts developing over the weekend and approaching the Florida peninsula near the start of next week. As a result, we could see an uptick in chances for isolated precipitation between Sunday and Tuesday.
Models hint at high pressure building back behind the fronts, with a cooler drier air mass advecting southward towards the end of the period.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 210 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2025
VFR expected to prevail at all terminals during the TAF period, but with possible extended periods of cigs in the 5-10K ft.
Northerly winds 5-10 kts becoming predominately NE 10-15 kts with higher gusts after 15Z.
MARINE
Issued at 305 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2025
Winds will gradually weaken and veer from the north/northeast today as a cold front sags south of our area and stalls out over the Florida Straits. Hazardous conditions will be likely through the evening over the local Atlantic waters as winds remain in the 15-20 kt range and seas gradually drop below 7 ft. As a result, a Small Craft Advisory remains in place across the Atlantic waters through 21Z today. SCEC conditions could persist into Thursday.
BEACHES
Issued at 305 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2025
The risk of rip currents increases for all beaches along the Atlantic coast today as a northeasterly swell builds across the Atlantic waters behind a cold front. Conditions may improve as we head into the weekend and the swell subsides.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 74 63 73 60 / 0 10 10 20 West Kendall 75 58 75 56 / 0 10 10 20 Opa-Locka 75 61 75 57 / 0 10 10 20 Homestead 75 61 75 58 / 0 0 10 20 Fort Lauderdale 73 63 72 58 / 0 10 10 20 N Ft Lauderdale 73 62 72 58 / 0 10 10 10 Pembroke Pines 76 61 76 58 / 0 10 10 20 West Palm Beach 72 60 70 56 / 0 10 10 10 Boca Raton 74 61 72 57 / 0 10 10 10 Naples 73 56 70 54 / 0 10 10 10
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk from 7 AM EST this morning through this evening for FLZ168-172-173.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ650- 651-670-671.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 320 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2025
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, BEACHES
SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 305 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2025
A broad area of high pressure extending across much of the southeastern US will build over South Florida today, allowing for benign sensible weather. Aloft, a weakening shortwave will remain draped across north/central Florida. Winds will remain from the north/northeast at 15-20 kts today as an enhanced pressure gradient between the surface high and a weak boundary remains stalled over the Florida Straits persists. This will help keep temperatures in the upper 60s and low 70s across much of the region, with partly cloudy skies and no mentionable chances for rain.
Winds veer from the east/northeast on Thursday as the high continues to expand, all the while the pressure gradient eases up across the region. At the same time, the aforementioned weakening shortwave will exit over the western Atlantic, dragging with it a trailing plume of enhanced 500mb vorticity across the peninsula. This subtle plume of energy could take advantage, so to speak, of a slight uptick in precipitable water once winds veer from the east, resulting in low-end chances for precipitation, mainly over the Atlantic waters and the immediate East Coast metro. Temperatures will once again remain in the upper 60s to mid 70s across much of the region.
LONG TERM
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 305 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2025
The surface high will drift eastward on Friday, allowing for surface winds to start veering from the south/southeast as the weekend starts. Temperatures and moisture will increase accordingly, with highs along the East Coast peaking in the low-mid 70s on Friday, then in the upper 70s - low 80s Saturday and Sunday.
Global models and ensembles continue to show a broad upper level trough and associated cold fronts developing over the weekend and approaching the Florida peninsula near the start of next week. As a result, we could see an uptick in chances for isolated precipitation between Sunday and Tuesday.
Models hint at high pressure building back behind the fronts, with a cooler drier air mass advecting southward towards the end of the period.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 210 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2025
VFR expected to prevail at all terminals during the TAF period, but with possible extended periods of cigs in the 5-10K ft.
Northerly winds 5-10 kts becoming predominately NE 10-15 kts with higher gusts after 15Z.
MARINE
Issued at 305 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2025
Winds will gradually weaken and veer from the north/northeast today as a cold front sags south of our area and stalls out over the Florida Straits. Hazardous conditions will be likely through the evening over the local Atlantic waters as winds remain in the 15-20 kt range and seas gradually drop below 7 ft. As a result, a Small Craft Advisory remains in place across the Atlantic waters through 21Z today. SCEC conditions could persist into Thursday.
BEACHES
Issued at 305 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2025
The risk of rip currents increases for all beaches along the Atlantic coast today as a northeasterly swell builds across the Atlantic waters behind a cold front. Conditions may improve as we head into the weekend and the swell subsides.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 74 63 73 60 / 0 10 10 20 West Kendall 75 58 75 56 / 0 10 10 20 Opa-Locka 75 61 75 57 / 0 10 10 20 Homestead 75 61 75 58 / 0 0 10 20 Fort Lauderdale 73 63 72 58 / 0 10 10 20 N Ft Lauderdale 73 62 72 58 / 0 10 10 10 Pembroke Pines 76 61 76 58 / 0 10 10 20 West Palm Beach 72 60 70 56 / 0 10 10 10 Boca Raton 74 61 72 57 / 0 10 10 10 Naples 73 56 70 54 / 0 10 10 10
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk from 7 AM EST this morning through this evening for FLZ168-172-173.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ650- 651-670-671.
GM...None.
Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KHST
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KHST
Wind History Graph: HST
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of southeast
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Miami, FL,
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