Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Plantation Island, FL

LONG TERM
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 1229 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025

The status quo of surface and mid-level ridging will prevail into the middle portion of the work-week with shower activity peaking along the east coast of the region during the morning hours before focusing each afternoon and evening across the western half of SoFlo. Interestingly, the latest run of NASA's Dust Aerosol Optical Thickness model shows that a slight weakening of the surface ridge across the western Atlantic waters may allow for some light concentrations of Saharan Dust to lift northwards into the region during the mid to late portion of the work week. It remains to be seen however if this will have any influence on rain chances as the forecasted plume appears quite diluted in nature. Temperatures will remain mainly in the low 90s during this period with heat indices in the upper 90s to low 100s, especially across inland areas that are away from the moderating influences of the ocean.

The latest deterministic GFS and European models continue to hint at the potential of an inverted trough/TUTT propagating westward across or near the Greater Antilles during the second half of the work week. While it remains to be seen if this feature will actually materialize (and track close enough to South Florida to influence our local weather), it could help finally erode persistent mid-level ridging established across the region and bring cooler temperatures aloft (-9C to -10C, steeper low and mid level lapse rates) that may support more robust convection both during nocturnal and diurnal hours.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1249 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025

SE winds 5-10 kts this morning increasing to 10-15 kts after 16Z.
An afternoon westerly gulf breeze is expected at APF. VCTS is in at APF this afternoon into early evening for SCT thunderstorms in the area.

MARINE
Issued at 1229 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Moderate southeasterly winds during the day expected through mid- week as high pressure continues to sit over the western Atlantic waters. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms remain possible each day, which may result in locally hazardous winds and seas. Outside of convection, seas over the next several days generally 2 ft or less.

BEACHES
Issued at 1229 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Rip current risks will remain elevated along the Atlantic coast as onshore winds remain with us for the remainder of the work week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 79 90 80 89 / 10 40 20 30 West Kendall 76 91 76 91 / 10 40 20 40 Opa-Locka 79 92 80 92 / 10 30 20 30 Homestead 78 90 79 90 / 20 40 30 40 Fort Lauderdale 79 89 80 88 / 10 30 20 30 N Ft Lauderdale 79 90 79 89 / 10 30 20 30 Pembroke Pines 81 93 81 93 / 10 30 10 30 West Palm Beach 79 90 78 90 / 0 20 10 30 Boca Raton 79 91 79 91 / 10 30 10 30 Naples 74 91 75 92 / 40 60 40 70

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.