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GMZ657 Expires:202311300400;;604140 Fzus52 Kmfl 291501 Cwfmfl
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service miami fl 1000 am est Wed nov 29 2023
atlantic coastal waters from jupiter inlet to ocean reef out to 60 nm and gulf coastal waters from east cape sable to chokoloskee out 20 nm and chokoloskee to bonita beach out 60 nm...including the waters of biscayne bay and lake okeechobee.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves...along with the occasional height of the average highest 10 percent of the waves.
gmz656-657-676-300400- coastal waters from chokoloskee to bonita beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from east cape sable to chokoloskee fl out 20 nm- waters from chokoloskee to bonita beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- 1000 am est Wed nov 29 2023
Rest of today..N ne winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less near shore and 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft well offshore. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tonight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 0 to 1 ft near shore and 2 to 3 ft well offshore. Period 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thu..E winds 5 to 10 kt. NEar shore, gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and 2 to 3 ft well offshore. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thu night..E winds 5 to 10 kt near shore...except E 10 to 15 kt well offshore. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and around 2 ft well offshore. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Fri and Fri night..E se winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sat and Sat night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sun..S se winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Bay and inland waters light chop.

GMZ600 933 Am Cst Wed Nov 29 2023
Synopsis..A moderate northerly flow will persist through today as a high pressure ridge drifts east across the marine area. Southeasterly to southerly flow will return and gradually increase late this week as high pressure shifts eastward and the next cold front approaches from the west.

FXUS62 KMFL 291115 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 615 AM EST Wed Nov 29 2023

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 207 AM EST Wed Nov 29 2023

Wednesday will see the drier air remain over the Florida Peninsula and northerly winds keeping cooler air in place as we are essentially due south of the surface high pressure center in the southeastern U.S. As this surface high advects eastward into the Atlantic on Thursday, winds will shift to an easterly direction and we will start to see some moisture returning due to a mid-to-upper level ridge amplifying and starting to push northward from the Caribbean. With the region still being dominated by high pressure and most of the deeper moisture advection holding off until near the weekend, both Wednesday and Thursday are expected to stay dry but with increasing cloud cover on Thursday. Temperatures will stay on the cooler side in the 70s for Wednesday and then increase on Thursday into the low 80s as warm air advection begins.

LONG TERM
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 207 AM EST Wed Nov 29 2023

High pressure centered off to the north will continue to shift into the western Atlantic through the end of the week. While mainly dry conditions will continue through Friday, this will cause the wind to gradually shift and become east southeasterly during this time frame. The wind shift will also usher in a warming trend as high temperatures will rise into the upper 70s to around 80 on Thursday. Friday's high temperatures will rise into the lower 80s across the east coast to the mid 80s across interior portions of Southwest Florida.

Heading into the upcoming weekend, a mid level ridge will push northward towards the region from the Carribean. This will allow for the east to southeasterly wind flow to continue along with the warming trend with temperatures. At the same time, a frontal boundary will slowly push through the Southeastern portion of the country and into Northern and Central Florida on Saturday and Sunday. While South Florida will remain in the warm sector throughout the weekend, moisture advection will be taking place during this time frame. While many areas will remain dry through the weekend, there will be a slight chance of showers along the breeze mainly over eastern areas. High temperatures on Saturday and Sunday will generally range from the mid 80s along the east coast to the upper 80s over interior portions of Southwest Florida.

The latest guidance remains in disagreement with handling the timing and intensity of the front off to the north early next week. While models generally agree in pushing the front through South Florida, the timing differences are still rather significant as some of the models push it through on Monday, and others push it through a day or two later. Since this is towards the end of the forecast period combined with the disagreement in guidance, uncertainty remains rather high for this time frame. The latest forecast takes a blend of the models and keeps a slight chance of showers in the forecast for early next week with warm temperatures continuing. This will continue to be monitored as the week progresses.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 609 AM EST Wed Nov 29 2023

VFR conditions prevail through the period with mainly dry conditions expected. Northerly winds will begin to veer more northeasterly this evening and easterly by Thursday afternoon.

MARINE
Issued at 207 AM EST Wed Nov 29 2023

A moderate northerly wind flow continues on Wednesday which will shift to an easterly direction on Thursday and eventually southeasterly by Friday. Seas of 3-4ft are expected in the Atlantic for the next couple days and 2-3ft in the Gulf.

BEACHES
Issued at 207 AM EST Wed Nov 29 2023

A moderate risk of rip currents remains in place through Wednesday for the Atlantic beaches, with a high risk likely by the end of the week as the wind flow becomes more easterly.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 76 64 79 71 / 0 0 0 10 West Kendall 76 61 80 68 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 77 63 80 70 / 0 0 0 10 Homestead 76 64 80 70 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 76 65 79 71 / 0 0 0 10 N Ft Lauderdale 76 64 79 70 / 0 0 0 10 Pembroke Pines 76 63 80 70 / 0 0 0 10 West Palm Beach 75 62 78 69 / 0 0 0 10 Boca Raton 76 64 79 70 / 0 0 0 10 Naples 73 56 81 65 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.

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Chokoloskee
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Wed -- 02:05 AM EST     3.38 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:53 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:09 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 10:28 AM EST     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:12 PM EST     2.76 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:33 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:34 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:52 PM EST     0.86 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Chokoloskee, Florida, Tide feet

Round Key
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:45 AM EST     4.52 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:53 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:26 AM EST     -0.61 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:10 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 02:52 PM EST     3.69 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:34 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:35 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:50 PM EST     1.43 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Round Key, Florida, Tide feet

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