Saturday, December14, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Goodland, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 5:38PM Saturday December 14, 2019 4:10 AM EST (09:10 UTC) Moonrise 8:11PMMoonset 9:18AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 321 Am Est Sat Dec 14 2019
Today..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west northwest in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Showers likely in the morning. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tonight..North northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..East northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots nearshore and east 5 to 15 knots offshore. Seas around 2 feet. Period 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of light showers.
Tuesday night..West winds around 5 knots becoming north 5 to 15 knots late in the evening. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Light showers likely in the evening, then chance of light showers after midnight.
Wednesday..NEarshore, north winds 5 to 15 knots becoming 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon, seas 2 to 3 feet. Offshore, north winds 15 to 20 knots, seas 2 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Chance of light showers.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 945 Pm Cst Fri Dec 13 2019
Synopsis..Patchy fog over the marine area this evening, then areas of dense fog will possibly likely redevelop over the near shore waters of alabama and northwest florida later tonight. A moderate offshore flow is expected late tonight through Saturday afternoon as a surface ridge of high pressure to the west shifts east. Southerly winds will develop Sunday then build through early next week in response to a strong cold front approaching from the west.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Goodland, FL
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location: 25.84, -81.57     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 140812 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 312 AM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

Short Term (Today through Sunday Night). Latest sfc analyses and model initial data depict a cluster of 3 low pressure systems moving over the eastern seaboard, with an associated sfc frontal boundary extending from the Carolinas down to the central Gulf region. Behind the front, a dome of high pressure is establishing over the SE states, which is gradually filtering into the northern portions of the FL peninsula. Meanwhile, abundant low level moisture still lingers over SoFlo, which also remains in the warm sector of the frontal event. But there is still a persisting layer of drier air in the mid levels as depicted by the 00z MFL sounding data.

With the described synoptic scenario in place, winds will continue to veer SW ahead of the front, while its parent low migrates further to the NE and into the west Atlantic during the weekend. Model guidance seem to finally push the front across SoFlo today, and past the FL Keys by Sunday. Expect abundant cloud cover, scattered showers, and perhaps a thunderstorm or two with the FROPA, with the bulk of the weather occurring during the afternoon hours. Overall thermodynamic and dynamic support remains marginal, with best lifting/instability remaining well north of the area. Also, the aforementioned dry layer aloft will continue to limit vertical development of individual cells. Therefore, no significant thunderstorm activity is anticipated attm, and if some storms do form, it will likely happen during the late morning/early afternoon hours and mainly around the Lake/Glades county area where the best of the remaining frontal dynamic lifting will reside.

Winds continue to veer to a NW/N flow tonight in the wake of the FROPA, then NE by Sunday. A modest cooling trend will establish across the peninsula with a rather brief cold/drier air advection event on Sunday. Low temperatures Sunday morning are expected to drop some 15-17 degrees compared to the previous morning, into the low 50s north/interior areas, and to near 60 along the east coast metro areas. But by Sunday afternoon, temps will bounce back into the upper 70s to near 80. Weather conditions on Sunday should be great, with a relatively stable air mass establishing across SoFlo as broad high pressure expands over the region.

Long Term (Monday through Friday Night). East to southeast winds are expected Monday as the surface high pressure over the region begins to slide eastward out over the Atlantic in response to a deepening area of surface low pressure near the ArkLaTex. Dry air remaining in the wake of the front and mid-level ridging nosing over South Florida will keep conditions dry for Monday, although the return of easterly flow will kick off a gradual moisture return with some Atlantic showers possible starting Monday night.

Breezy southeasterly to southerly winds and increasing rain chances are expected on Tuesday as a cold front associated with the aforementioned surface low pushes southeastward into the state. Scattered to widespread showers and a few thunderstorms are expected on Tuesday afternoon, with the greatest chance around Palm Beach county and the Lake with deep southwesterly steering flow in place. Additional showers will be possible along the actual cold front when it finally pushes through the area Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, with breezy north to northeasterly flow expected across the area on Wednesday and Wednesday night. Cooler and drier conditions are expected in the wake of the front, with high temperatures on Wednesday forecast in the upper 60s west of the Lake to the upper 70s across far South Florida. Since this depends on the front clearing the area Wednesday morning, any slowing of the front could have significant impacts to the high temperature forecast on Wednesday. Low temperatures Wednesday night are forecast to be the coldest of the period and range from the mid 40s west of the Lake to the upper 50s right along the East Coast.

Northeasterly to easterly flow returns on Thursday as surface high pressure over the southeastern CONUS pushes eastward, kicking off another gradual moisture return over the area. Forecast gets quite interesting at the end of the period as strong trough digging across the southern Plains helps a surface low develop over the northwestern Gulf on Friday and then drags it quickly across the Gulf as the trough itself digs even further south over the western Gulf. As the surface low pressure system approaches the Florida West Coast, the mid-level trough is still digging southeastward over the eastern Gulf, and at the same time South Florida becomes positioned in the right rear quadrant of an upper-level jet streak, indicating the potential for strong lifting through the mid and upper levels as this front approaches. Right now it appears the limiting factor may be the available moisture, as it could be tough to get enough moisture return after the midweek front. However, this is the tail-end of the forecast period so we have plenty of time to keep an eye on how the trends are evolving over the next several days.

Marine. Small Craft Advisory conditions continue over the Palm Beach coastal waters today with seas remaining elevated in the Gulf Stream. Northerly winds are expected behind a frontal passage tonight with advisory levels possibly continuing over the Palm Beach waters. Hazardous boating conditions are expected to begin improving in the wake of the front. However, another stronger front will push through around middle of next week and may create hazardous marine conditions at that time.

Aviation. VFR should prevail through around 13-14Z, then periods of MVFR are possible as a decaying frontal boundary moves across South Florida. Best chances of vis/cigs impacts will be between 17-21Z as the bulk of the weather associated with the front reaches the terminals. With low confidence on thunderstorm activity today, TAFS will only carry VCSH/SHRA at this time and will amend if necessary. Some gusty periods are possible as winds veer the SW and then NW by this evening.

Beach Forecast. A high risk of rip currents remains over the Atlantic beaches through at least this evening as lingering swell continues to affect the coast. Rough surf will also be possible for the Palm Beaches. Rip currents should improve some during the rest of the weekend before elevating again early next week with breezy east flow.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 82 58 77 66 / 40 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 84 61 78 68 / 30 0 0 0 Miami 85 61 79 68 / 30 0 0 0 Naples 80 58 79 62 / 60 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM . Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for AMZ650-670.

GM . None.

Marine . 17/AR Aviation . 17/AR Beach Forecast . 17/AR Short Term . 17/AR Long Term . 32/MM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 16 mi146 min WSW 4.1 71°F 1011 hPa71°F
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 19 mi71 min 76°F
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 22 mi71 min 76°F
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 24 mi59 min S 7 G 8.9 74°F 73°F1010.2 hPa
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL 29 mi71 min 75°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 33 mi71 min 75°F
HREF1 39 mi71 min 74°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 40 mi71 min 74°F
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 42 mi77 min SSW 8.9 G 11 75°F 1010.9 hPa
SREF1 42 mi71 min 74°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 43 mi71 min 75°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 44 mi71 min 73°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 44 mi131 min 75°F
CWAF1 48 mi131 min 76°F
NRRF1 49 mi71 min 75°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL24 mi18 minSSW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F72°F90%1009.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAPF

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4NE6CalmCalmE3SE3SE6S6S6S8SW8SW5SW4S4S6S6S10S10SW5SW7S8SW7S7S8
1 day agoNE8NE9NE10NE11NE10NE7E866NE5SE8CalmCalmSW3S4SW3NE4N4NE7NE6E6CalmCalmNE3
2 days agoNE3E4CalmCalmE4CalmS3S6SW9W9W7W7W5W5N3E5SE4NE6NE12NE12
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Tide / Current Tables for Round Key, Florida
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Round Key
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:06 AM EST     4.48 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:04 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:32 AM EST     -0.81 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 09:17 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 03:03 PM EST     3.87 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:11 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:21 PM EST     1.08 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.14.54.33.72.71.60.6-0.3-0.7-0.8-0.30.61.72.83.63.93.632.21.51.11.21.82.6

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Romano, Florida
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Cape Romano
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:55 AM EST     3.60 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:05 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:24 AM EST     -0.91 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 09:17 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 02:52 PM EST     3.12 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:37 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:11 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:13 PM EST     1.21 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.43.63.42.8210.2-0.5-0.9-0.8-0.30.51.42.32.93.12.92.41.91.41.21.31.82.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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