Sunday, August25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Indian Creek, FL

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7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
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Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 7:48PM Sunday August 25, 2019 12:49 PM EDT (16:49 UTC) Moonrise 12:48AMMoonset 2:46PM Illumination 24% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 1015 Am Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
Rest of today..South southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds increasing to 8 seconds after midnight. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet along the coast and 2 to 3 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers. Chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..West northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet along the coast and 2 to 3 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..West northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet along the coast and 2 to 3 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..West winds around 5 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..West winds around 5 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers in the morning. Chance of Thunderstorms
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1015 Am Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
Synopsis.. A weak area of low pressure will continue moving off to the northeast away from the state early this week, leaving light west-southwest flow across south florida. A small northeasterly swell may arrive for the atlantic waters in the wake of the system mid to late week, bringing seas to 3 to 4 feet. Showers and storms can be expected each day, with the highest coverage moving offshore the atlantic coast in the afternoons.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of aug 24, 2019 at 1200 utc... 6 nautical miles east southeast of fowey rocks. 13 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 12 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 11 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Indian Creek, FL
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location: 25.88, -80.14     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 251402
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
1002 am edt Sun aug 25 2019

Update
The area of low pressure that was over south florida yesterday has
lifted out to the northeast of florida this morning, remaining
disorganized as it drifts away. It continues to be monitored by nhc
for additional development, with a medium chance in the next 48
hours and a high chance in the next five days.

While this system will no longer be directly impacting us, it leaves
behind a well defined trailing low-mid level trough across central
and south florida. Satellite imagery and radar this morning show two
large scale convergence bands associated with this feature; one
aligned from jupiter-lake okeechobee-naples, and the other from
grand bahama-biscayne bay-cape sable.

Showers and storms are already picking up in coverage along the
aforementioned convergence bands late this morning, and expect
activity to continue to increase as we head into midday and peak
heating. The east coast seabreeze is a little uncertain given the
prevailing SW flow, but feel speeds are generally light enough for a
weak boundary to develop just inland from the coast by early
afternoon. This will lead to a pile up of activity along the east
coast mid to late afternoon, especially across palm beach and
broward.

With a moist tropical atmosphere still in place, and the best rain
chances across areas that saw heavy rainfall yesterday, flooding
remains the main threat.

Prev discussion issued 740 am edt Sun aug 25 2019
aviation...

lingering influence from yesterday's weak low pressure system
keeping prevailing SW flow, though very light. East coast
seabreeze uncertain, but expect at least a S to ssw backing 16z-
18z. Ongoing shra likely to expand after 15z, though kapf may see
vcnty activity to start cycle. Shra tsra shift towards east coast
late afternoon, with activity winding down towards sunset. Light
and variable winds overnight.

Prev discussion... Issued 405 am edt Sun aug 25 2019
discussion...

a weak low pressure system, which has been wandering around the
region for the last couple of days, should begin it journey off to
the northeast, along with a 500mb low. As the system exits the
area, models are indicating some weak ridging at 500mb, and a
fairly neutral sfc pattern over south florida. There is still a
bermuda high sitting well to the east north east, which will help
to shift the surface wind to the southwest behind the system.

However, pwats should continue to run over 2 inches for a couple
more days. This with daytime heating should allow for mainly
afternoon showers and thunderstorms to affect the area. The models
are not showing much in the way of a sea breeze today, at least
not for the atlantic coast. With the SW flow, the eastern half of
the cwa, especially around the lake and in broward and palm beach
counties, look to have the best chances for convection today. With
the are still fairly saturated, the flooding of roadways and low
laying areas may still be subject to flooding. The GFS is
indicating that the 500mb temperatures should be around -6c and
cape should be between 1500 and 2000 j kg. Again, conducive for
diurnal convection today. Monday looks to be very similar to
Sunday, with perhaps a somewhat stronger SW flow.

Tuesday, the pattern begins to change a little, with some drier
air trying to work is way in and a weak high trying to build over
the keys. However, the GFS is showing the drier air may have some
trouble totally covering the area. Even so, pwats may drop to
below 2 inches for much of the area for Tuesday and Wednesday.

Cape values also drop to around 1000 j kg over much of the area,
with the exception of the lake region, which is still around 2000
j kg. Wednesday shows a more consistent CAPE value of around 1600
j kg in the afternoon. Tuesday should see a downward trend of
coverage, which GOES into Wednesday, with only a chance of showers
and thunderstorms across the area. The GFS and ECMWF show the low
is slowly moving away from the area, still sitting off the
carolina coast on Wednesday. There is a possibility that the area
could see a dry slot behind this system. Both models are hinting
at this solution, but with slightly different timing, and
coverage. So confidence is fairly low at this time that this will
occur.

By the latter half of the week, a strong 500mb trough will be
traversing southern canada and the great lakes region. This trough
should pick up the low and quickly move it away from the carolina
coast, and bring a cold front as far south as north florida, maybe
even north central florida by Thursday morning. This, of course
would keep south florida in the warm sector and keep convection in
the forecast for the remainder of the week. This will increase
pops for Thursday.

However, the bermuda high should begin to strengthen and
retrograde back towards the area, pushing the front back to the
north on Friday, and allowing a south southeasterly flow to set
up. This would help to lower the pops a tick along the east coast,
but would increase the for the western lake region. Saturday is
still very questionable. The wind pattern does look to turn more
easterly, which would mean lower pops for the atlantic coast, and
an increase for the gulf coast. However, there is a large amount
of uncertainty with the weather for the weekend as a tropical
system may approach the area. The models are currently showing
that the moisture from dorian may move into the area. It is very
uncertain if this will be in the form of an organized system, or a
simple wave of tropical moisture. It is also possible that the
system misses the area entirely. For this reason, have kept pops
right around 50 percent for the weekend. As the system gets closer
and the models get a better handle on its life cycle, the
forecast certainty should increase.

Marine...

showers and thunderstorms continue to be in the forecast through
the week. The wind is forecast to become southwesterly today. By
Tuesday, the wind should shift more westerly for the middle of the
week. Seas are forecast to run 1 to 3 feet, with some possible
building in the gulf stream off palm beach county mid week due to
a weak swell. Even then, the models are only calling for 4 foot
seas for the middle of the week, before dropping back to the 1 to
3 foot range.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 90 77 91 77 70 30 70 30
fort lauderdale 90 78 90 78 60 30 60 20
miami 91 78 92 78 50 20 50 10
naples 89 79 88 78 40 20 40 20

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 88 alm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 10 mi50 min S 12 G 14 86°F 87°F1014.2 hPa (+0.0)
PEGF1 14 mi56 min SSW 7 G 9.9 90°F 1014.4 hPa
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 15 mi182 min SSW 4.1 G 8 87°F 1014.5 hPa77°F
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 20 mi50 min SSW 9.9 G 11 87°F 86°F1014.9 hPa (+0.0)
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 46 mi50 min 88°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 48 mi50 min 87°F
THRF1 48 mi110 min 86°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 49 mi110 min 85°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL8 mi57 minW 610.00 miLight Rain86°F75°F72%1014.7 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL8 mi57 minW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy89°F75°F65%1014.7 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL10 mi57 minW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy92°F75°F58%1014.7 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL13 mi57 minSSW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy91°F75°F59%1013.9 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL22 mi57 minSW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy91°F75°F59%1014.5 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL22 mi57 minSW 510.00 miPartly Cloudy86°F78°F77%1014.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOPF

Wind History from OPF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE8S6S7S8S5S5S6S5S6S5S4SW5S5SW4SW4S5CalmS4S3SW6SW6SW8SW8W8
1 day agoNE10E11NE7NE8E7E6E5NE7E4NE3CalmCalmS3SE5SE7E3S4SW3SW6S6S4S9SW5S8
2 days agoSE7E9E11
G18
E8NE7E7NE8NE8NE7NE5NE5NE4NE4N3NE4NE3N4N4N4N4N5N7NE5N6

Tide / Current Tables for Indian Creek Golf Club, ICWW, Florida
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Indian Creek Golf Club
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Sun -- 01:48 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:19 AM EDT     2.08 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:00 PM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:46 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:18 PM EDT     2.22 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.81.21.61.92.121.81.510.60.40.20.40.71.21.622.22.21.91.61.20.8

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
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Sun -- 01:41 AM EDT     1.45 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 01:48 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:24 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:46 AM EDT     -1.21 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 11:51 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 02:24 PM EDT     1.75 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 03:46 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:23 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:08 PM EDT     -0.95 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.51.31.41.210.4-0.5-1.1-1.2-1.1-1-0.60.11.11.71.71.61.20.4-0.5-0.9-1-0.9-0.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.