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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 1000 Am Est Thu Nov 30 2023
Rest of today..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Tonight..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Fri..E se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Fri night..E se winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Sat and Sat night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Sun..S se winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers late in the evening.
Mon..S sw winds 5 to 10 kt becoming nw in the evening. Seas 1 foot. Intracoastal waters a light chop.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1000 Am Est Thu Nov 30 2023
Synopsis..
winds will shift to an easterly direction today and southeasterly on Friday into the weekend. Seas will remain 2-4 feet across atlantic waters and 1-3 feet across gulf waters.
gulf stream hazards: none.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of nov 30, 2023 at 12 utc...
the approximate location of the gulf stream is currently unavailable.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 301324 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 824 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

New UPDATE

UPDATE
Issued at 824 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

Peninsular drainage flow over the last several hours has resulted in another refreshing and comfortable start to the day. However, the cool start will not last for long as mesoanalysis and surface observations over the last hour now indicate a re-coupling of winds along the immediate east coast of South Florida. With easterly flow picking up, moisture and warm air advection has resulted in abrupt temperature rises being observed along coastal sites as the light offshore drainage flow is replaced with ocean-modified onshore winds. This trend will continue over the next few hours as surface mixing is enhanced with insolation and diurnal heating, which will allow for easterly flow to prevail entire the whole region. There is enough dry air in the vertical column (and stout capping inversions at various levels on the morning sounding) to suppress any type of convection outside of some small fair-weather cumulus clouds. The precipitable water value of 0.94 inches on the 12z MFL Upper Sounding is near the 25 percentile for the date.

SHORT TERM
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 125 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

The surface high centered off the GA/SC coast will advect eastward into the Atlantic early today, causing winds to shift out of an easterly direction. Simultaneously, we will start to see a gradual increase in moisture as a mid-to-upper level ridge amplifies in the Caribbean and starts to push northward from the Caribbean. PWATs are expected to rise back above 1.0" on today and over 1.5" on Friday. With the region still being dominated by high pressure, both Thursday and Friday will remain predominantly dry but will see increasing cloud cover beginning today and the chance for a couple of isolated showers mainly along the east coast. Temperatures will begin to rise today as warm air advection occurs with the ridge and will hit the low 80s today before rising further into the mid 80s on Friday.

LONG TERM
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 125 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

A mid level ridge centered over the Carribean Sea will gradually push northward into the upcoming weekend. At the surface, high pressure will continue to push further into the western Atlantic as a cold front pushes through the Southeastern portion of the country as well as Northern and Central Florida. Many areas will remain dry across South Florida on Friday and Saturday, however, winds will gradually shift and become more southeasterly through the first half of the weekend, before becoming south southwesterly on Sunday. This will allow for moisture advection to take place during this time frame along with a moderating trend in temperatures. With just enough lower level moisture in place, an isolated shower cannot be ruled out over the east coast on Saturday. High temperatures will rise into the lower to mid 80s along the east coast through the weekend to the upper 80s across interior portions of Southwest Florida.

The latest global and ensemble guidance is starting to show signs of agreement for the second half of the weekend and into early next week with bringing a weakening cold front through South Florida later on Monday or Monday night. This front will not have a lot of moisture to work with, however, it could spark off some isolated shower activity later on Sunday and during the day on Monday out ahead of it. As it passes through, winds will shift to the west northwest filtering in a cooler and drier air mass towards the middle of the week. Uncertainty in timing and exact details still remain high as this is towards the end of the forecast period. If the movement of this frontal boundary trends towards the slower side of things, the warmer temperatures will hang on longer into the week. This will continue to be monitored as the week progresses.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 621 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

VFR conditions throughout the TAF period with easterly winds picking up after sunrise. Light easterly flow will prevail once again after sunset later today.

MARINE
Issued at 125 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

Winds will shift to an easterly direction on Thursday and southeasterly by Friday and the weekend. Seas of 2-4ft are expected in the Atlantic and 1-2ft in the Gulf to end the week and enter the weekend. A few isolated showers will be possible as well as moisture increases, but no consistent rain showers are expected.

BEACHES
Issued at 125 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

A moderate risk of rip currents will continue into the end of this week for the Atlantic beaches, with a high risk possible on Friday and over the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 79 71 83 74 / 0 10 10 0 West Kendall 79 68 84 72 / 0 10 10 0 Opa-Locka 80 70 84 74 / 0 10 10 0 Homestead 79 71 83 74 / 0 10 10 0 Fort Lauderdale 79 71 83 74 / 0 10 10 0 N Ft Lauderdale 79 71 83 74 / 0 10 10 0 Pembroke Pines 80 69 84 73 / 0 10 10 0 West Palm Beach 78 69 83 73 / 0 10 10 10 Boca Raton 79 71 84 74 / 0 10 10 10 Naples 81 64 84 70 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.

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Bakers Haulover Inlet (inside)
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:14 AM EST     0.16 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:49 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:58 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 11:24 AM EST     2.52 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:28 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:50 PM EST     0.60 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:26 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:25 PM EST     2.23 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bakers Haulover Inlet (inside), Florida, Tide feet

Dumfoundling Bay
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:49 AM EST     0.17 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:49 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:58 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 11:47 AM EST     2.55 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:28 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:25 PM EST     0.64 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:26 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:48 PM EST     2.26 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Dumfoundling Bay, Florida, Tide feet

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