Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Orangetree, FL

UPDATE
Issued at 653 PM EST Thu Feb 12 2026

Bumped up the areal extent of fog overnight into early morning into the western portions of the east coast metro, and also extended fog into the Gulf waters. Guidance is fairly bullish on dense fog early in the morning over SW FL and the Gulf marine waters. Will monitor closely overnight to see if any headlines will be needed.

SHORT TERM
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 232 AM EST Thu Feb 12 2026

A slight pattern change approaches today as a disturbance over the Mississippi Valley slowly pushes a front south along the Florida peninsula today. This will help push the surface high currently in place over the western Atlantic further eastward, and surface winds will shift from the northwest as a prefrontal boundary moves across the area. The front is forecast to stall out somewhere over central Florida later today, and eventually wash-out as we head into the weekend. The front's presence will support a slight uptick in rain chances across northernmost portions of CWA near Lake Okeechobee late this evening, but chances remain in in the 20-30% at best given fairly meager moisture near the surface and dry air still occupying the upper levels. Chances quickly petter out as the front washes out on Friday, with only low-end chances for a few isolated showers over the local Atlantic waters.

Guidance continues to show a medium chance of patchy fog developing across the interior of the CWA early this morning. This, in combination with any lingering smoke from fires, could result in reduced visibilities; commuters are advised to exercise caution and keep additional distance between vehicles during the morning commute.

Temperatures through the period will continue to warm up, with highs each afternoon in the high 70s and lower 80s, while overnight lows could dip into the mid 50s across the interior and lower 60s along the East Coast.

LONG TERM
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 232 AM EST Thu Feb 12 2026

As we approach the weekend, a much deeper synoptic scale trough is anticipated to develop and strengthen in the lee of the Rockies before it sweeps into the Eastern Seaboard. This complex will drag another front across out region late weekend into early next week.
This will provide more of a large scale forcing mechanism that may be enough to promote rainfall across much of the region. Some of the model guidance remains in disagreement regarding the timing of this solution, with the ENS (ensemble ECMWF) presenting a more progressive approach, while the GEFS (ensemble GFS) maintains a slower evolution. The forecast reflects a middle ground of both, with the front reaching our area late Sunday into Monday. It's worth noting that the PoPs have gradually trended upward with each forecast cycle over the last couple of nights, which is helping increase our confidence regarding this scenario.

Behind the front, surface high will build over the Eastern Seaboard and the Florida peninsula, maintaining benign conditions through the rest of the week.

Daily high temperatures will continue to reach the upper 70s to low 80s across the region each day. Similarly, overnight lows each night will stabilize to being in the 50s across SW Florida and low 60s for the east coast metro.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 517 PM EST Thu Feb 12 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the period. Light and variable flow overnight will become northeasterly by late Friday morning. Patchy fog is possible across inland South Florida and Southwest Florida which may impact APF and TMB.

MARINE
Issued at 232 AM EST Thu Feb 12 2026

A weak frontal boundary will approach the Florida peninsula today, and stall out as it weakens further on Friday. Winds will shift out of the northwest as a result, then out of the northeast on Friday. A few isolated showers could pop up with the frontal approach. Seas will range from 2-4 ft across the local Atlantic waters, and 2 ft or less across the Gulf.

BEACHES
Issued at 232 AM EST Thu Feb 12 2026

A moderate risk of rip currents will persist along Palm Beach county beaches today as swell gradually lessens.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 61 79 64 77 / 0 0 10 10 West Kendall 56 81 59 78 / 0 0 10 10 Opa-Locka 60 81 63 78 / 0 0 10 10 Homestead 59 80 63 78 / 0 0 10 10 Fort Lauderdale 61 78 65 76 / 10 10 10 10 N Ft Lauderdale 62 78 65 76 / 10 0 10 10 Pembroke Pines 60 81 63 78 / 0 0 10 10 West Palm Beach 60 78 64 76 / 30 10 10 10 Boca Raton 60 78 64 77 / 20 10 10 10 Naples 59 75 59 79 / 0 0 0 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.