Saturday, July4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Sea Ranch Lakes, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 8:18PM Saturday July 4, 2020 2:04 AM EDT (06:04 UTC) Moonrise 7:07PMMoonset 4:51AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 927 Pm Edt Fri Jul 3 2020
Rest of tonight..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Saturday..South southwest winds 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers through the night. Slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..South southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms through the night.
Monday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers. Chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday through Wednesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 927 Pm Edt Fri Jul 3 2020
Synopsis.. Favorable marine conditions are expected through the upcoming weekend and into early next week. Only exception will be within isolated showers and Thunderstorms that develop. In the strongest storms, locally higher seas, cloud-to-water lightning, small hail, heavy rainfall, and perhaps even waterspouts may be possible. Shower and storm coverage will begin to increase later this weekend and into early next week.
Gulf stream hazards.. Isolated Thunderstorms may produce lightning, gusty winds, small hail, and perhaps waterspouts. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jul 02, 2020 at 1200 utc... 8 nautical miles east southeast of fowey rocks. 11 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 9 nautical miles east of lake worth. 13 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sea Ranch Lakes, FL
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location: 26.2, -80.13     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 040537 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 137 AM EDT Sat Jul 4 2020

Aviation. VFR prevails at all terminals through around 16-17Z when sea breezes begin to develop along both coastlines. With a weak/light wind flow continuing today, the Atlantic sea breeze boundary should become again the focal point for showers and thunderstorms, especially between 20Z-24Z. Winds remain light and variable this morning, then mainly SSE over the Atlantic terminals and SSW over APF with the sea breeze pushing inland during the afternoon hours.

Prev Discussion . /issued 154 PM EDT Fri Jul 3 2020/

Short Term .

This afternoon through Saturday .

A pretty stagnant pattern will remain in place across South Florida as weak, high pressure and a quasi-stationary front draped across the southeast CONUS work together to keep light, southerly flow in place. This will continue to allow for efficient daytime heating across the peninsula and convection to be mainly sea breeze driven with the development of both Atlantic and Gulf breezes each afternoon. Although, coverage should remain focused mainly across the east coast metro with the Atlantic seabreeze struggling to push inland. Thus, late afternoon to early evening isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible each day with outflow boundaries contributing to locally enhanced lifting until convection finally dissipates. Main concerns with any stronger storms that develop are gusty winds, frequent lightning, small hail, and localized flooding from heavy rainfall.

Temperatures each afternoon will continue to run a few degrees above average in the lower to mid 90s across South Florida. Heat indices will also climb into the 102 to 108 each afternoon, but just shy of advisory criteria.

Long Term .

Saturday Night through Monday .

A pinwheeling upper low over the northern Gulf of Mexico should provide a broad swath of southwesterly flow and deep moisture advection from the eastern Gulf through Florida. Weak troughing associated with the upper low should remain well to our north across the southern Gulf Coastal states. A series of low amplitude perturbations are forecast to ride the mean steering flow across the Gulf of Mexico and Florida resulting in an uptick in shower and thunderstorm coverage across our area in the presence of low level forcing provided via inland advancing sea breeze boundaries. Given the light west/southwest low-level wind regime the greatest shower/storm coverage should shift from interior areas towards the east coast and Lake regions during the afternoon. While large-scale kinematics are meager, plentiful thermodynamic support is present, suggesting the usual thunderstorm hazards will exist including frequent lightning, gusty winds, small hail, and heavy rainfall. Can't rule out the possibility of locally damaging downburst winds and/or flooding with any of the more robust updraft cores considering the supportive environment and likely slow storm motions. Ultimately the mesoscale details will give a better hint on exactly where these threats are most likely to evolve with time. Warm temperatures will again prevail with readings climbing well into the 90s away from the coasts and heat indices in the 100 to 108 degree range area-wide.

Tuesday through Friday .

The upper low is forecast to gradually lift into the South Atlantic States as deep ridging at least partially establishes from the Bahamas through the southeast Gulf of Mexico. Overall the wind fields will remain rather week through this period with a gradual easterly component developing through the low levels. Deep moisture declines somewhat early in the period, but the latest model solutions suggest deep layer saturation becomes likely by late week. Therefore the usual diurnal shower/storm pattern is anticipated early in the weak, favoring the greatest coverage over the interior and Gulf Coast, with the focus likely expanding to all areas towards the end of the week. The easterly flow should bring slight cooling to the immediate Atlantic coast, but overall warm temperatures well into the 90s are likely to continue for the extended forecast period.

Marine . There is a slight chance for showers and thunderstorms each afternoon, which will bring brief periods of rough seas and gusty winds. Otherwise generally benign marine conditions are expected through the weekend.

Beach Forecast . A low risk of rip currents is forecast along all South Florida beaches into the weekend.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 93 77 93 77 / 50 20 70 10 Fort Lauderdale 92 80 92 79 / 50 20 70 10 Miami 92 79 92 79 / 50 20 60 10 Naples 92 77 92 78 / 30 30 50 20

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PEGF1 8 mi52 min 85°F 1013.8 hPa
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 29 mi46 min WSW 5.1 G 8.9 84°F 85°F1012.9 hPa
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 32 mi46 min WSW 6 G 8 85°F 90°F1014.5 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 42 mi64 min W 9.9 G 11 86°F 87°F1014.5 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL2 mi71 minW 510.00 miFair82°F73°F77%1014.1 hPa
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL3 mi71 minWSW 710.00 miFair82°F73°F77%1013.9 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL9 mi71 minWSW 610.00 miPartly Cloudy85°F73°F70%1013.7 hPa
Boca Raton, Boca Raton Airport, FL13 mi3.3 hrsSW 410.00 miA Few Clouds84°F75°F74%1014.2 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL15 mi71 minSW 410.00 miFair0°F0°F%1014.7 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL22 mi71 minWSW 5 miFair82°F73°F74%1014.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFXE

Wind History from FXE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS3SW5SW3W4W3W3W5W6W3W6CalmSE8SE11SE9SE11SW12S8S6S8SW5S4SW7W5W5
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW33Calm35SE9SE9SE12SE12NE6SE8SW11SW10S3S4SW4CalmCalmS3
2 days ago------------------------S7SE12
G19
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Tide / Current Tables for Lauderdale-by-the-Sea, Anglin Fishing Pier, Florida
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Lauderdale-by-the-Sea
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:00 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:50 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:55 AM EDT     2.81 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:15 PM EDT     -0.60 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:40 PM EDT     3.08 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.200.20.71.42.12.62.82.621.20.4-0.3-0.6-0.500.81.72.533.12.72.1

Tide / Current Tables for Andrews Avenue bridge, New River, Fort Lauderdale, Florida
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Andrews Avenue bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:04 AM EDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:51 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:44 AM EDT     2.25 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:19 PM EDT     -0.50 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:29 PM EDT     2.47 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.10.60.200.20.61.21.82.22.221.50.90.3-0.2-0.5-0.400.71.42.12.42.42.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.