Sunrise 6:37 AM   Sunset 8:25 PM Moonrise 3:12 AM   Moonset 5:41 PM

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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1001 Pm Edt Tue Jul 2 2024
Rest of tonight - E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Wave detail: se 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms late in the evening, then a chance of showers and tstms after midnight. Wed - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Wave detail: E se 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Wed night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Wave detail: E se 1 foot at 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms through the night. Thu - E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: E 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of tstms in the afternoon. Thu night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Wave detail: E se 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers in the evening. A slight chance of tstms through the night. A slight chance of showers after midnight. Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt becoming W sw in the evening. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Wave detail: E se 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers in the morning. A chance of tstms. Showers likely in the afternoon. Fri night - NE winds around 5 kt becoming E se late in the evening. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. Sat - SE winds around 5 kt becoming W in the evening. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of showers in the morning. A chance of tstms. Showers likely in the afternoon. Sat night - E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. Sun - S se winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of tstms in the afternoon. Sun night - S se winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.

GMZ600 924 Pm Cdt Tue Jul 2 2024
Synopsis - A light to occasionally moderate southeasterly to southerly flow will continue over the marine area today. A mainly light southerly to southwesterly flow pattern is then expected through the remainder of the week.

FXUS62 KTBW 022358 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 758 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 210 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

A weak frontal boundary remains stretched from west to east from the northeast Gulf of Mexico to Georgia. This boundary will remain to the north and weaken over the next 24 hours as broad surface high pressure south of Bermuda ridges westward across the central part of Florida and into the central Gulf of Mexico. This ridge of high pressure will be the dominant weather factor through mid-week keeping a predominant southeast wind flow over the region. Abundant moisture with PWAT values between 1.8 - 2.3 inches will persist through the forecast period. Scattered showers and storms will be possible today and tomorrow, developing over the southeast part of Florida and traversing northwestward each afternoon/evening as well as some west coast sea breeze developments. Nocturnal land breeze showers and storms can also be expected over the eastern gulf waters during the overnight hours. Daytime highs will top out in the low to mid 90's with heat indices reaching 100-107 degrees. Overnight lows will remain in the 70's.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 210 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

Throughout the next 3-7 days, high pressure to our north will begin to move southeast and become centered to the east-northeast of the state, dominating the overall weather pattern and establishing a predominantly east-southeast flow across our CWA This synoptic setup, combined with adequate moisture aloft, will be favorable for typical summertime scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon hours throughout most of the week. As we approach the weekend, a drier air mass will move across some northern and central parts of the state, which could slightly hinder thunderstorm development during that timeframe. Moisture is expected to return towards the latter half of the weekend though, and this will remain along with the established east-southeast flow to continue to support the development of scattered afternoon showers and storms heading into early next week.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 755 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

Most of the shower activity has diminished this evening with only an hour or two of VCTS needed at a few sites. Seabreeze storms will once again pop up tomorrow mainly in the late afternoon and evening hours. Winds will generally remain below 10 knots with VFR conditions outside of thunderstorms.

MARINE
Issued at 210 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

High pressure ridging through the center part of the state is producing a light south to southeast flow today, becoming more east- southeast on Wednesday and continuing through the rest of the week.
Winds will be light, not exceeding 15 knots with wave heights 2 feet or less throughout the period. Scattered showers and storms can be expected daily through the week.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 210 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

A typical summertime pattern continues over the area with abundant moisture, warm temperatures and light winds. Scattered showers and isolated storms expected each day through the end of the week and into the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 78 92 78 93 / 50 70 60 60 FMY 77 94 77 95 / 30 70 30 60 GIF 77 95 76 95 / 30 70 40 60 SRQ 78 92 77 94 / 40 70 50 60 BKV 75 93 75 95 / 50 70 50 60 SPG 80 92 82 94 / 50 70 60 60

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 1 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 2

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Little Hickory Island
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Tue -- 01:33 AM EDT     1.52 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:27 AM EDT     1.52 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:25 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:59 AM EDT     2.93 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:35 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:19 PM EDT     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Little Hickory Island, Florida, Tide feet

Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:20 AM EDT     0.10 knots Min Flood
Tue -- 03:25 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:31 AM EDT     1.00 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 10:58 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 03:39 PM EDT     -1.78 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:36 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:36 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:33 PM EDT     1.13 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current, knots

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