Sunday, May31, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Montura, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:31AMSunset 8:15PM Sunday May 31, 2020 4:53 PM EDT (20:53 UTC) Moonrise 1:56PMMoonset 1:51AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ610 Lake Okeechobee- 323 Pm Edt Sun May 31 2020
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Monday..East northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Lake waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers. Chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..East winds around 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of showers.
Tuesday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers through the night.
Wednesday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers with Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of showers in the evening. Chance of Thunderstorms through the night. Showers likely after midnight.
Friday..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers with Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 323 Pm Edt Sun May 31 2020
Synopsis.. Surface high pressure will keep the easterly or southeasterly flow across the region today. Favorable boating conditions expected through Monday morning. A backdoor cold front is expected to push southwest toward the region by Monday evening. Behind the front, a northeasterly flow is expected to set up. At this time cautionary headlines are expected for the atlantic, however, sca conditions will be possible. Conditions are forecast to improve by Wednesday with favorable boating conditions expected through the remainder of the forecast period.
Gulf stream hazards..None the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 30, 2020 at 1200 utc... 5 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 9 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 6 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 9 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Montura, FL
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location: 26.4, -81     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 311846 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 244 PM EDT Sun May 31 2020

Short Term (Tonight through Monday Night). An upper level high will continue across the region. This will help keep mid levels a bit warm and will suppress convection development overall. Despite the weak high aloft, still expect some convection to develop with the stronger surface convergence (i.e. sea/gulf/lake breeze collision) across the interior and Gulf coast. CAMs have been performing very well lately with convection development (timing and coverage). They suggest convection should begin to develop across the Everglades around 18z and continue through around sunset. Considering the overall pattern hasn't changed much it is challenging to disagree with this solution.

Surface flow will begin to increase on Monday as a cold front begins to slide southward. Continued POPs across the interior and southwest Coast, however, QPF signal isn't as strong as previous forecasts. We will maintain POPs Monday through Monday night, but overall the best rainfall will be across the Gulf and perhaps the FL straits. In the increasing easterly flow wouldn't be surprised at a few Atlantic showers Monday night to finish off the short term.

Long Term.

Tuesday and Wednesday .

Upper troughing will locate from the Northeast States into the Canadian Maritimes as downstream ridging elongates over the Southeast States and Bahamas. Persistent low pressure will continue across the southern Gulf of Mexico and Bay of Campeche, as the remnants of Pacific Tropical Storm Amanda merge into this larger scale gyre. At the surface, a weak cold front will become increasing diffuse while pushing into South Florida. Atlantic subtropical ridging will establish to our northeast resulting in a tightening pressure gradient and breezy easterly wind regime. This will also set up a moisture gradient across the area, where the greatest precipitable water values (around 2 inches) stretch from far southeast Florida towards areas west of Lake Okeechobee and the Gulf coast. This suggests that the greatest rain and thunderstorm coverage should gradually transition from portions of the east coast during the morning towards the Gulf Coast and western interior regions during the afternoon and evening. A few stronger storms are possible, with the primary hazards being lightning, gusty winds, and torrential rainfall. Localized flooding is possible, especially for the western interior and Gulf coast areas.

Thursday through Sunday .

A consensus of the forecast models suggest that a large cyclonic circulation should lift north into the Gulf of Mexico and western Caribbean Sea during this time. Considerable differences remain regarding the strength and placement of this feature, leading to uncertainty in this low predictability scenario. There is a general consensus that deep moisture should increase across South Florida with precipitable water values nearing or exceeding 2 inches at times. While confidence is low, periods of heavy rainfall may evolve over some portion of our area by late week into the weekend. This is potentially problematic given the (very wet) antecedent conditions. Forecast changes are likely during this period so stay tuned for updates.

Marine. Favorable marine conditions expected to start the workweek, however, this will quickly change as a backdoor cold front begins to move southwest toward the region late Monday and early Tuesday. Cautionary headlines are expected, but small craft conditions are also possible, especially for the Atlantic. Some improvement is expected by midweek as pressure gradient relaxes as high pressure dominates the western Atlantic. Scattered showers and T'storms are expected off and on through the period. The stronger storms may contain gusty winds and locally higher seas.

Aviation (18z Aviation). VFR conditions will prevail for the south Florida terminals. There may be a rogue shower or two on the Atlantic coast, however, the better rain chances will be across interior south Florida this afternoon. APF is the exception. Today looks a bit drier than previous days around or near APF, however, late afternoon or early evening TSRA still can't be ruled out. Went with VCs for now. Convection clears overnight and winds lighten.

Beach Forecast. Southeast flow will continue this afternoon through the overnight. The rip current potential will overall be low for south Florida Beaches. Easterly winds will increase as we begin a new workweek with a gradual increase in rip current frequency.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 75 86 75 83 / 20 50 40 40 Fort Lauderdale 77 86 77 83 / 10 40 40 40 Miami 76 88 76 85 / 10 40 40 40 Naples 75 89 73 87 / 20 50 40 50

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.

Marine . 28/Frye Aviation . 28/Frye Beach Forecast . 28/Frye Short Term . 28/Frye Long Term . 34/SPM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 47 mi53 min WNW 7 G 8 86°F 88°F1016.1 hPa (-1.7)
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 49 mi113 min 91°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 49 mi53 min WNW 9.9 G 11 89°F 87°F1015.3 hPa (-1.8)
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 49 mi113 min 88°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL41 mi60 minSW 810.00 miFair87°F73°F65%1014.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRSW

Wind History from RSW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW11S7W4NW7SE4CalmSE6CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmNE3NE3NE4CalmN3S3CalmNW5CalmS4SW8SW8
1 day agoW11NW4NE7NW4CalmE6SE8SE3SE4CalmCalmE4E3CalmCalmNE3E3S5S6S6Calm4W65
2 days agoE14N4N5N9N5NE10NE12E4CalmE3E5NE6E7SE4E4E6SE8E11SE655SE5E8SW3

Tide / Current Tables for Everglades City, Barron River, Florida
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Everglades City
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:52 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:07 AM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:04 AM EDT     2.74 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:57 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:06 PM EDT     0.53 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:08 PM EDT     2.46 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.91.51.10.70.40.30.40.81.42.12.52.72.62.41.91.410.70.50.71.11.72.22.5

Tide / Current Tables for Naples, Naples Bay, north end, Florida
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Naples
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:38 AM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:54 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:24 AM EDT     2.67 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:59 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:37 PM EDT     0.90 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:28 PM EDT     2.40 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.10.80.50.50.71.11.622.42.62.62.421.61.20.90.91.11.41.82.22.42.42.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.