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Marine Weather and Tides Montura, FL Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:31AM

Sunset 8:15PM

Sunday May 31, 2020 4:53 PM EDT (20:53 UTC)

Moonrise 1:56PM

Moonset 1:51AM

Illumination 73%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Montura, FL

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Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL

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FXUS62 KMFL 311846 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 244 PM EDT Sun May 31 2020

Short Term (Tonight through Monday Night). An upper level high will continue across the region. This will help keep mid levels a bit warm and will suppress convection development overall. Despite the weak high aloft, still expect some convection to develop with the stronger surface convergence (i.e. sea/gulf/lake breeze collision) across the interior and Gulf coast. CAMs have been performing very well lately with convection development (timing and coverage). They suggest convection should begin to develop across the Everglades around 18z and continue through around sunset. Considering the overall pattern hasn't changed much it is challenging to disagree with this solution.

Surface flow will begin to increase on Monday as a cold front begins to slide southward. Continued POPs across the interior and southwest Coast, however, QPF signal isn't as strong as previous forecasts. We will maintain POPs Monday through Monday night, but overall the best rainfall will be across the Gulf and perhaps the FL straits. In the increasing easterly flow wouldn't be surprised at a few Atlantic showers Monday night to finish off the short term.

Long Term.

Tuesday and Wednesday .

Upper troughing will locate from the Northeast States into the Canadian Maritimes as downstream ridging elongates over the Southeast States and Bahamas. Persistent low pressure will continue across the southern Gulf of Mexico and Bay of Campeche, as the remnants of Pacific Tropical Storm Amanda merge into this larger scale gyre. At the surface, a weak cold front will become increasing diffuse while pushing into South Florida. Atlantic subtropical ridging will establish to our northeast resulting in a tightening pressure gradient and breezy easterly wind regime. This will also set up a moisture gradient across the area, where the greatest precipitable water values (around 2 inches) stretch from far southeast Florida towards areas west of Lake Okeechobee and the Gulf coast. This suggests that the greatest rain and thunderstorm coverage should gradually transition from portions of the east coast during the morning towards the Gulf Coast and western interior regions during the afternoon and evening. A few stronger storms are possible, with the primary hazards being lightning, gusty winds, and torrential rainfall. Localized flooding is possible, especially for the western interior and Gulf coast areas.

Thursday through Sunday .

A consensus of the forecast models suggest that a large cyclonic circulation should lift north into the Gulf of Mexico and western Caribbean Sea during this time. Considerable differences remain regarding the strength and placement of this feature, leading to uncertainty in this low predictability scenario. There is a general consensus that deep moisture should increase across South Florida with precipitable water values nearing or exceeding 2 inches at times. While confidence is low, periods of heavy rainfall may evolve over some portion of our area by late week into the weekend. This is potentially problematic given the (very wet) antecedent conditions. Forecast changes are likely during this period so stay tuned for updates.

Marine. Favorable marine conditions expected to start the workweek, however, this will quickly change as a backdoor cold front begins to move southwest toward the region late Monday and early Tuesday. Cautionary headlines are expected, but small craft conditions are also possible, especially for the Atlantic. Some improvement is expected by midweek as pressure gradient relaxes as high pressure dominates the western Atlantic. Scattered showers and T'storms are expected off and on through the period. The stronger storms may contain gusty winds and locally higher seas.

Aviation (18z Aviation). VFR conditions will prevail for the south Florida terminals. There may be a rogue shower or two on the Atlantic coast, however, the better rain chances will be across interior south Florida this afternoon. APF is the exception. Today looks a bit drier than previous days around or near APF, however, late afternoon or early evening TSRA still can't be ruled out. Went with VCs for now. Convection clears overnight and winds lighten.

Beach Forecast. Southeast flow will continue this afternoon through the overnight. The rip current potential will overall be low for south Florida Beaches. Easterly winds will increase as we begin a new workweek with a gradual increase in rip current frequency.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 75 86 75 83 / 20 50 40 40 Fort Lauderdale 77 86 77 83 / 10 40 40 40 Miami 76 88 76 85 / 10 40 40 40 Naples 75 89 73 87 / 20 50 40 50

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.

Marine . 28/Frye Aviation . 28/Frye Beach Forecast . 28/Frye Short Term . 28/Frye Long Term . 34/SPM

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL	47 mi	53 min	WNW 7 G 8	86°F	88°F		1016.1 hPa (-1.7)
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL	49 mi	113 min			91°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL	49 mi	53 min	WNW 9.9 G 11	89°F	87°F		1015.3 hPa (-1.8)
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL	49 mi	113 min			88°F

Wind History for Naples, FL

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL	41 mi	60 min	SW 8	10.00 mi	Fair	87°F	73°F	65%	1014.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRSW

Wind History from RSW (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Everglades City, Barron River, Florida

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Tide / Current Tables for Naples, Naples Bay, north end, Florida

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (16,3,4,5)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL

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