Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Seminole Manor, FL

LONG TERM
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 108 AM EDT Fri Jun 13 2025

The status quo of surface and mid-level ridging will prevail during the second half of the weekend into the first half of next week.
Interestingly, the most recent run of NASA's Dust Aerosol Optical Thickness model shows an earlier departure of the current plume over South Florida during the day on Monday. In large part due to the strengthening and expansion of surface ridging across the region, forcing the plume of Saharan Dust further west into the gulf. There will still be copious amounts of dry air aloft during the early to mid week period but perhaps the duration of dust specifically was previously overdone. Given the continued lack of synoptic flow aloft, a similar weather regime will play out with shower activity along the east coast during the overnight and morning hours via a southeasterly breeze and any shower or thunderstorm activity focusing across inland areas and southwestern Florida during the afternoon/evening hours along boundary collisions if an updraft is able to break through the capping inversion created by the Saharan Air Layer. Temperatures will trend higher during this period, especially across inland areas that are away from the moderating influences of the ocean.

The latest deterministic GFS and European models both hint at the potential of an inverted trough/TUTT propagating westward across or near the Greater Antilles during the middle portion of next week.
While it remains to be seen if this feature will actually materialize (and track close enough to South Florida to influence our local weather), it could help finally erode persistent mid-level ridging established across the region and bring cooler temperatures aloft that may support more robust convection both nocturnal and diurnal.

Temperatures will remain in the low 90s across most of the region with the exception of upper 80s along the east coast each afternoon and perhaps a corridor of middle 90s across inland southwestern Florida. A carbon copy each night of overnight lows with southeasterly flow keeping temps in the upper 70s to low 80s across the east coast metro and temperatures in the low to mid 70s elsewhere.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 113 AM EDT Fri Jun 13 2025

Light southeasterly flow continues overnight with a few showers that may impact eastern sites. Brief bouts of MVFR or sub-MVFR cigs are possible with this quick moving activity. Breezier southeast flow after sunrise and SHRA/TS chances will shift west with VCTS for APF for the afternoon.

MARINE
Issued at 108 AM EDT Fri Jun 13 2025

Moderate southeasterly winds during the day expected through the weekend as high pressure continues to sit over the western Atlantic.
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms remain possible each day, which may result in locally hazardous winds and seas. Outside of convection, seas over the next several days generally 2 ft or less.

BEACHES
Issued at 108 AM EDT Fri Jun 13 2025

Rip current risks will remain elevated along the Atlantic coast as onshore winds remains with us into the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 89 81 90 80 / 50 30 50 20 West Kendall 90 77 90 77 / 50 20 50 20 Opa-Locka 91 80 92 80 / 60 20 40 20 Homestead 89 79 89 79 / 50 30 50 20 Fort Lauderdale 88 80 89 80 / 60 20 40 20 N Ft Lauderdale 89 80 89 80 / 60 20 40 10 Pembroke Pines 92 81 93 82 / 60 20 40 20 West Palm Beach 89 79 90 79 / 60 10 40 10 Boca Raton 90 79 90 79 / 60 20 40 10 Naples 91 76 90 75 / 70 50 80 50

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.