Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Pine Island Center, FL

DISCUSSION
Upper-level ridging will continue building over the Gulf and then will hold over the region through the weekend and mid-week. At the surface, the Atlantic ridge axis over the peninsula will shift southward a bit late this weekend, with no impacts other than a wind shift to more variable. This overall setup will lead to above-normal high temperatures (mid to upper 90s away from the coast) and low rain chances through much of the next 7 days. There are some early indications that a frontal boundary will try to drop into the region next Thursday, with increasing moisture bringing a small rain chance, but that's really the only thing of note for today's forecast other than the heat.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 706 PM EDT Thu May 15 2025 VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals for the next 24 hours with skies generally SKC to FEW250 tonight...becoming FEW040-050 FEW250 on Friday.

MARINE
High pressure extending across Florida will support generally southwesterly flow north of Tampa Bay, and southerly to southeasterly flow from around Tampa Bay south, turning onshore with the afternoon sea breeze. This pattern will hold through the first half of the weekend, then the high shifts south resulting in more variable flow. No headlines expected.

FIRE WEATHER
Relative humidity values will drop into the upper 30s for parts of the region over the next couple of days, but no Red Flag conditions are expected. Some patchy fog is expected tonight, but no significant visibility restrictions are anticipated.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 75 92 76 92 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 73 93 74 93 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 71 96 72 96 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 72 90 74 89 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 65 92 66 92 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 75 89 76 89 / 0 0 0 0

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 2 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 4

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.