Monday, July13, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Clarke Shores, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 8:17PM Monday July 13, 2020 8:06 AM EDT (12:06 UTC) Moonrise 12:20AMMoonset 1:05PM Illumination 44% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 333 Am Edt Mon Jul 13 2020
Today..South southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds increasing to 9 seconds in the afternoon. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Along the coast, south southwest winds around 10 knots. West southwest after midnight. In the gulf stream, south southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 9 seconds becoming 4 seconds after midnight. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms through the night.
Tuesday..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds increasing to 9 seconds in the afternoon. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..South southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 9 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms through the night.
Wednesday and Wednesday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Thursday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers in the evening. Chance of Thunderstorms through the night. Showers likely after midnight.
Friday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 333 Am Edt Mon Jul 13 2020
Synopsis..Southwesterly wind flow will continue across the atlantic and gulf coastal waters for the early portion of the week. Wave heights will generally remain at 3 feet or less across the local waters during this time frame. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms are possible each day. Winds and waves could be locally higher in and around any showers and Thunderstorms.
Gulf stream hazards..Winds and waves could be locally higher in and around showers and Thunderstorms. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jul 11, 2020 at 1200 utc... 6 nautical miles east southeast of fowey rocks. 12 nautical miles southeast of port everglades. 7 nautical miles east of lake worth. 7 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Clarke Shores, FL
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location: 26.65, -80.05     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 131117 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 717 AM EDT Mon Jul 13 2020

Aviation. Light winds with showers over the Gulf coast this morning. Winds will increase out of the southwest with scattered showers and storms this afternoon. Overall coverage will be less than yesterday but still VCTS for all sites and MVFR or IFR conditions in any convection that move over terminals. Activity will diminish later this evening around sunset with light winds overnight.

Prev Discussion. /issued 225 AM EDT Mon Jul 13 2020/

Short Term (Today through Tuesday) . Scattered showers early this morning forming across portions of the west coast and the western interior will continue to develop and slowly move eastward as the morning progresses. A southwesterly flow will continue today as the mid level trough slowly starts to lift out of the region and an area of high pressure begins to build back in. Shower and thunderstorm development will not be as widespread today as some drier air in the mid levels tries to move over the region. The Gulf Coast sea breeze will be pushing inland through the afternoon hours which will allow for additional showers and thunderstorms to develop. These showers and thunderstorms will be concentrated across the interior and then shift to the east coast this afternoon. The strongest thunderstorms could contain heavy downpours, gusty winds, and frequent lightning. High temperatures will remain on the warm side today as they will rise into the lower 90s across the east coast metro areas to the mid 90s across portions of the interior.

Shower and thunderstorm activity will diminish as the evening progresses. Many areas will remain dry during the overnight hours, however, shower development cannot be ruled out across the local waters later during the overnight hours into early Tuesday morning. High pressure will continue to strengthen over the region on Tuesday which will help to weaken the southwesterly flow which may allow for the east coast sea breeze to push farther inland. Shower and thunderstorm development will once again be driven by the east and west coast sea breezes. The greatest chances of showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday will be across the interior sections. High temperatures will once again rise into the lower 90s across the east coast metro areas to the mid 90s across the interior with the heat indices rising into the triple digits across the region.

Long Term (Tuesday Night through Sunday) . The ridge axis of Atlantic surface high pressure will remain close to southern Florida mid-week with a light flow pattern persisting into the later portions of the week as the ridge moves north across the area. We will start out the long term period with a westerly to southwesterly flow that becomes so light that sea breezes during the day and drainage flow at night will come into play to determine wind direction through Wednesday. By Thursday, the ridge axis shifts north of the region allowing a more typical easterly flow pattern to return. This easterly surface wind flow will persist through the rest of the forecast period with some potential for easterly wind surges in the Atlantic which could produce gusty winds.

With the mid-level trough departed, high pressure to the northwest may try to build in over the southeastern United States with a zonal flow pattern over Florida. With this change, eyes turn to easterly disturbances and associated moisture for modulations in rain chances over the coming week. An area of remnant moisture over the Bahamas will be capable of intruding into South Florida at times, bringing enhanced chances of heavy rain along with the deeper moisture. Late in the week, an inverted trough traversing the Caribbean enters the picture with the additional moisture riding along its northern extent over the Greater Antilles. This could provide some additional convective enhancement late in the week into the weekend. Global guidance does seem rather consistent with this wet pattern emerging which begins to increase confidence in the potential for a heavy rainfall event at some points through the 7 day forecast period. This will be worth monitoring as the next week evolves.

Marine . Southwesterly wind flow will continue across the Atlantic and Gulf coastal waters for the early portion of the week. Wave heights will generally remain at 3 feet or less across the local waters during this time frame. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible each day. Winds and waves could be locally higher in and around any showers and thunderstorms.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 92 77 92 77 / 40 20 40 10 Fort Lauderdale 91 79 92 80 / 40 20 40 10 Miami 92 78 93 79 / 40 20 40 10 Naples 90 78 91 77 / 40 20 30 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.

Aviation . 33/Kelly


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 3 mi55 min SW 7 G 8.9 80°F 85°F1013.9 hPa
PEGF1 39 mi49 min 81°F 1014.9 hPa

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Palm Beach - Palm Beach International Airport, FL4 mi74 minSSW 710.00 miPartly Cloudy79°F75°F88%1014.6 hPa
Boca Raton, Boca Raton Airport, FL19 mi74 minSW 610.00 miFair79°F75°F89%1014.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPBI

Wind History from PBI (wind in knots)
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2 days agoW7W11W8W11NW11
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Tide / Current Tables for West Palm Beach Canal, Florida (2)
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West Palm Beach Canal
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:20 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:59 AM EDT     2.18 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:50 AM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:05 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:44 PM EDT     2.13 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:13 PM EDT     0.63 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.91.31.72.12.22.11.81.410.60.40.30.50.91.31.82.12.121.71.410.80.6

Tide / Current Tables for Palm Beach, Florida
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Palm Beach
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:20 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:59 AM EDT     2.38 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:32 AM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:05 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:44 PM EDT     2.31 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:55 PM EDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.92.32.42.31.91.510.60.40.40.611.522.22.32.11.81.410.80.70.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.