Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Westgate, FL
September 18, 2024 8:06 AM EDT (12:06 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 7:06 AM Sunset 7:21 PM Moonrise 6:53 PM Moonset 6:34 AM |
AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 401 Am Edt Wed Sep 18 2024
Today - S winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: N 2 ft at 7 seconds and ne 2 ft at 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then a chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Tonight - SE winds around 5 kt, becoming S after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: ne 2 ft at 8 seconds and S 1 foot at 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters smooth. Tstms likely in the evening. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms after midnight.
Thu - SW winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: sw 1 foot at 3 seconds and N 1 foot at 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters smooth. A chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then showers and tstms likely in the afternoon.
Thu night - S winds around 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: sw 1 foot at 3 seconds and N 1 foot at 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters smooth. Showers and tstms likely.
Fri - NW winds around 5 kt, becoming ne in the late morning and afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 1 foot at 3 seconds and N 1 foot at 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters smooth. Showers and tstms likely.
Fri night - E winds around 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: E 1 foot at 3 seconds and N 1 foot at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters smooth. Showers likely in the evening. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers after midnight.
Sat through Sun - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 401 Am Edt Wed Sep 18 2024
Synopsis -
light surface winds are expected to prevail through the rest of this week across our local waters. Northerly swell will also continue to wane today across the northern atlantic waters. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms will develop each day and could lead to locally higher winds and waves.
gulf stream hazards: none
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of sep 17, 2024 - .
6 nautical miles south southeast of fowey rocks. 7 nautical miles east of port everglades. 3 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
light surface winds are expected to prevail through the rest of this week across our local waters. Northerly swell will also continue to wane today across the northern atlantic waters. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms will develop each day and could lead to locally higher winds and waves.
gulf stream hazards: none
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of sep 17, 2024 - .
6 nautical miles south southeast of fowey rocks. 7 nautical miles east of port everglades. 3 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 181159 AFDMFL
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 759 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 249 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024
The mid-level low currently present over the southeastern United States will gradually lift northeastward today which will veer 500mb flow across the region to a westerly direction. The elongation of existing troughing over the eastern United States will keep 500mb temperatures in the -6C to -7C range today with forecasted daily afternoon lapse rates in the 5.5 to 6.0 C/km range. At the surface, we will remain situated to the south of the weak yet quite persistent stationary boundary still draped across Central Florida. The CAMs (Convection Allowing Models) have been fickle in this regime as they vastly under-modeled the amount of mid-level dry air yesterday. While the spatial extent of convection today may vary depending on what model solution you take a look out, the presence of ample mid- level dry air presents an interesting variable in the forecast. On one end, too much mid-level dry air may mix down during the afternoon hours suppressing widespread coverage. However, at the same time, mid- level dry air could result in some robust wet microbursts with any strong to severe storm that is able to develop. Forecasted DCAPE values of 1000-1200 J/kg support the potential of isolated strong to marginally severe if a tall enough storm is able to materialize. The lack of wind-shear will once again set the stage for multicellular clusters with boundary collisions zig-zagging across portions of the area. The prevailing weak surface winds and the 500mb westerly flow aloft will keep the highest changes of afternoon storms favoring the eastern half of the region.
Westerly to north westerly mid-level flow on Thursday will once again favor the greatest rain chances over the eastern half of South Florida. Localized ascent along boundaries such as the sea- breeze and outflow boundaries may result in some locally strong to marginally severe storms. High temperatures today and on Thursday will reach the upper 80s to low 90s across the region with cooler temperatures realized in and around shower and thunderstorm activity.
Temperatures today and tomorrow will reach the upper 80s to low 90s across the region with heat indices once again in the 104-107 degree Fahrenheit range. With a potential delayed onset of convection initiation due to mid-level dry air once again today, a Heat Advisory will be in effect for Miami and Broward counties from 10am to 6pm today.
LONG TERM
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 249 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024
By the end of the work week and into the upcoming weekend, upper level troughing will continue to dig southward into the eastern Gulf of Mexico and over South Florida, maintaining west-north westerly flow over the region aloft. Meanwhile a persistent plume of deep tropical moisture remains in place over the region as a diffuse stationary frontal boundary meanders through this period.
The presence of cooler upper level temperatures (-6 to -7C @ 500 mb) and a pocket of divergence aloft may act to enhance convective coverage and intensity at times, though most convective will be driven by localized convergence maxima owing to mesoscale processes (sea-breeze and outflow boundary collisions). Expect bouts of periodic heavy rainfall to continue, particularly in the afternoon when instability and low-level convergence is maximized.
Heavy rainfall that persists for a prolonged duration over urban areas may result in the usual localized flooding concerns.
By Sunday and into early next week, a dominant/expansive ridge of high pressure will emanate from the TX/Mexico region and increase geopotential heights across South Florida. This may be commensurate with a wedge of drier air advecting towards the region through this same period (simultaneously), though there exists uncertainty regarding the southward extent of this drier air-mass. For now, it appears that strong upper ridging coupled with a lack of moisture should allow for rainfall totals that are below climatological norms through this period.
Temperatures through this period will hover around seasonal norms through this period. Afternoon high temperatures should reach the upper 80s to low 90, while dew points reach the mid to upper 70s through the early part of the weekend. Heat Advisories may be necessary during portions of this period, although that will be contingent on the rainfall and cloud coverage for any given afternoon. Towards the end of the weekend and into early next week, dew-points may drop a few degrees, although less cloud coverage and rainfall could allow for more oppressive temperatures through this period.
As of the 2am Tropical Weather Outlook, the National Hurricane Center now identifies an area of low pressure in the western Caribbean Sea with a 20% chance of tropical development over the next seven days. Readers are reminded that a lot can change in the 7-10 day time-frame, especially with the genesis and evolution of tropical systems. While the general pattern for tropical development appears to be favorable, it remains far too early to identify a potential track. In simplest terms, while deterministic model solutions will vary from run to run, it is very important to take them with several grains of salt. Ensemble model plots (EPS and GEFS) may provide a slightly clearer picture of what may unfold, however it is still quite early. Regardless of what transpires, this is an important reminder that we are in the midst of the peak of hurricane season. Although the climatological peak of the Atlantic hurricane season is on September 10th, the stretch of late September into the first half of October is the climatological peak for hurricane landfalls in South Florida.
Remain weather aware, check hurricane supplies, and most importantly, be sure to receive information from reliable sources such as the National Hurricane Center, NWS Miami, and local and national broadcast media sources.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 757 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024
Light winds will increase out of the SE early this afternoon across the east coast terminals. Scattered to numerous showers and storms will develop as the day progresses. These storms could bring sub-VFR conditions to the east coast terminals, mainly during the afternoon/early evening, and short fused AMDs will be likely. At KAPF, morning convection lingers and winds will increase out of the SW this afternoon as a Gulf breeze develops.
MARINE
Issued at 249 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024
Generally light winds will prevail across the area through most of this week as a weak surface boundary remains just to the north of the area. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible each day through the period and could lead to locally higher winds and seas.
BEACHES
Issued at 249 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024
Minor to moderate coastal flooding will continue during periods of high tide due to astronomically higher tides associated with the full moon phase. Elevated tides will continue on both coasts of South Florida through the end of the work-week.
Upcoming High Tide Times:
Naples: 1:46 PM Wed, 1:52 AM Thu, 2:38 PM Thu Lake Worth: 8:38 AM Wed, 9:01 PM Wed, 9:31 AM Thu Port Everglades: 8:58 AM Wed, 9:19 PM Wed, 9:50 AM Thu Virginia Key: 9:45 AM Wed, 10:04 PM Wed, 10:36 AM Thu
Decreasing northerly swell will result in a high risk of rip currents for the Palm Beaches coast once again today with a moderate risk of rip currents elsewhere on the east coast of South Florida.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 93 77 92 75 / 70 50 70 60 West Kendall 92 75 90 73 / 70 50 70 50 Opa-Locka 93 76 92 75 / 70 50 70 50 Homestead 91 75 89 75 / 70 50 70 60 Fort Lauderdale 92 76 91 75 / 70 50 70 60 N Ft Lauderdale 92 76 92 75 / 70 50 70 60 Pembroke Pines 93 76 92 75 / 70 50 70 50 West Palm Beach 92 75 91 75 / 70 50 70 50 Boca Raton 92 75 90 75 / 70 50 70 60 Naples 91 77 90 76 / 60 40 50 30
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT Friday for FLZ069-075-168- 172>174.
Heat Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for FLZ071>074-172>174.
High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ168.
AM...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 759 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 249 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024
The mid-level low currently present over the southeastern United States will gradually lift northeastward today which will veer 500mb flow across the region to a westerly direction. The elongation of existing troughing over the eastern United States will keep 500mb temperatures in the -6C to -7C range today with forecasted daily afternoon lapse rates in the 5.5 to 6.0 C/km range. At the surface, we will remain situated to the south of the weak yet quite persistent stationary boundary still draped across Central Florida. The CAMs (Convection Allowing Models) have been fickle in this regime as they vastly under-modeled the amount of mid-level dry air yesterday. While the spatial extent of convection today may vary depending on what model solution you take a look out, the presence of ample mid- level dry air presents an interesting variable in the forecast. On one end, too much mid-level dry air may mix down during the afternoon hours suppressing widespread coverage. However, at the same time, mid- level dry air could result in some robust wet microbursts with any strong to severe storm that is able to develop. Forecasted DCAPE values of 1000-1200 J/kg support the potential of isolated strong to marginally severe if a tall enough storm is able to materialize. The lack of wind-shear will once again set the stage for multicellular clusters with boundary collisions zig-zagging across portions of the area. The prevailing weak surface winds and the 500mb westerly flow aloft will keep the highest changes of afternoon storms favoring the eastern half of the region.
Westerly to north westerly mid-level flow on Thursday will once again favor the greatest rain chances over the eastern half of South Florida. Localized ascent along boundaries such as the sea- breeze and outflow boundaries may result in some locally strong to marginally severe storms. High temperatures today and on Thursday will reach the upper 80s to low 90s across the region with cooler temperatures realized in and around shower and thunderstorm activity.
Temperatures today and tomorrow will reach the upper 80s to low 90s across the region with heat indices once again in the 104-107 degree Fahrenheit range. With a potential delayed onset of convection initiation due to mid-level dry air once again today, a Heat Advisory will be in effect for Miami and Broward counties from 10am to 6pm today.
LONG TERM
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 249 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024
By the end of the work week and into the upcoming weekend, upper level troughing will continue to dig southward into the eastern Gulf of Mexico and over South Florida, maintaining west-north westerly flow over the region aloft. Meanwhile a persistent plume of deep tropical moisture remains in place over the region as a diffuse stationary frontal boundary meanders through this period.
The presence of cooler upper level temperatures (-6 to -7C @ 500 mb) and a pocket of divergence aloft may act to enhance convective coverage and intensity at times, though most convective will be driven by localized convergence maxima owing to mesoscale processes (sea-breeze and outflow boundary collisions). Expect bouts of periodic heavy rainfall to continue, particularly in the afternoon when instability and low-level convergence is maximized.
Heavy rainfall that persists for a prolonged duration over urban areas may result in the usual localized flooding concerns.
By Sunday and into early next week, a dominant/expansive ridge of high pressure will emanate from the TX/Mexico region and increase geopotential heights across South Florida. This may be commensurate with a wedge of drier air advecting towards the region through this same period (simultaneously), though there exists uncertainty regarding the southward extent of this drier air-mass. For now, it appears that strong upper ridging coupled with a lack of moisture should allow for rainfall totals that are below climatological norms through this period.
Temperatures through this period will hover around seasonal norms through this period. Afternoon high temperatures should reach the upper 80s to low 90, while dew points reach the mid to upper 70s through the early part of the weekend. Heat Advisories may be necessary during portions of this period, although that will be contingent on the rainfall and cloud coverage for any given afternoon. Towards the end of the weekend and into early next week, dew-points may drop a few degrees, although less cloud coverage and rainfall could allow for more oppressive temperatures through this period.
As of the 2am Tropical Weather Outlook, the National Hurricane Center now identifies an area of low pressure in the western Caribbean Sea with a 20% chance of tropical development over the next seven days. Readers are reminded that a lot can change in the 7-10 day time-frame, especially with the genesis and evolution of tropical systems. While the general pattern for tropical development appears to be favorable, it remains far too early to identify a potential track. In simplest terms, while deterministic model solutions will vary from run to run, it is very important to take them with several grains of salt. Ensemble model plots (EPS and GEFS) may provide a slightly clearer picture of what may unfold, however it is still quite early. Regardless of what transpires, this is an important reminder that we are in the midst of the peak of hurricane season. Although the climatological peak of the Atlantic hurricane season is on September 10th, the stretch of late September into the first half of October is the climatological peak for hurricane landfalls in South Florida.
Remain weather aware, check hurricane supplies, and most importantly, be sure to receive information from reliable sources such as the National Hurricane Center, NWS Miami, and local and national broadcast media sources.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 757 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024
Light winds will increase out of the SE early this afternoon across the east coast terminals. Scattered to numerous showers and storms will develop as the day progresses. These storms could bring sub-VFR conditions to the east coast terminals, mainly during the afternoon/early evening, and short fused AMDs will be likely. At KAPF, morning convection lingers and winds will increase out of the SW this afternoon as a Gulf breeze develops.
MARINE
Issued at 249 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024
Generally light winds will prevail across the area through most of this week as a weak surface boundary remains just to the north of the area. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible each day through the period and could lead to locally higher winds and seas.
BEACHES
Issued at 249 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024
Minor to moderate coastal flooding will continue during periods of high tide due to astronomically higher tides associated with the full moon phase. Elevated tides will continue on both coasts of South Florida through the end of the work-week.
Upcoming High Tide Times:
Naples: 1:46 PM Wed, 1:52 AM Thu, 2:38 PM Thu Lake Worth: 8:38 AM Wed, 9:01 PM Wed, 9:31 AM Thu Port Everglades: 8:58 AM Wed, 9:19 PM Wed, 9:50 AM Thu Virginia Key: 9:45 AM Wed, 10:04 PM Wed, 10:36 AM Thu
Decreasing northerly swell will result in a high risk of rip currents for the Palm Beaches coast once again today with a moderate risk of rip currents elsewhere on the east coast of South Florida.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 93 77 92 75 / 70 50 70 60 West Kendall 92 75 90 73 / 70 50 70 50 Opa-Locka 93 76 92 75 / 70 50 70 50 Homestead 91 75 89 75 / 70 50 70 60 Fort Lauderdale 92 76 91 75 / 70 50 70 60 N Ft Lauderdale 92 76 92 75 / 70 50 70 60 Pembroke Pines 93 76 92 75 / 70 50 70 50 West Palm Beach 92 75 91 75 / 70 50 70 50 Boca Raton 92 75 90 75 / 70 50 70 60 Naples 91 77 90 76 / 60 40 50 30
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT Friday for FLZ069-075-168- 172>174.
Heat Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for FLZ071>074-172>174.
High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ168.
AM...None.
GM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL | 8 mi | 49 min | W 4.1G | 80°F | 87°F | 29.95 | ||
| PEGF1 | 44 mi | 49 min | S 2.9G | 29.92 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KPBI
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KPBI
toggle option: (graph/table)
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KPBI
Wind History graph: PBI
(wind in knots)Palm Beach
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:00 AM EDT -0.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:07 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 07:33 AM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 09:06 AM EDT 4.00 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:27 PM EDT -0.02 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:20 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 07:53 PM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 09:26 PM EDT 3.90 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:00 AM EDT -0.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:07 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 07:33 AM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 09:06 AM EDT 4.00 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:27 PM EDT -0.02 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:20 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 07:53 PM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 09:26 PM EDT 3.90 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Palm Beach, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.7 |
| 1 am |
| 0.8 |
| 2 am |
| 0.2 |
| 3 am |
| -0.1 |
| 4 am |
| 0.2 |
| 5 am |
| 0.9 |
| 6 am |
| 1.9 |
| 7 am |
| 2.9 |
| 8 am |
| 3.7 |
| 9 am |
| 4 |
| 10 am |
| 3.8 |
| 11 am |
| 3.2 |
| 12 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 3 pm |
| 0 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.5 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.3 |
Lake Worth Pier
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:25 AM EDT -0.08 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:07 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 07:33 AM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 08:40 AM EDT 3.99 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:53 PM EDT -0.07 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:20 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 07:53 PM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 09:01 PM EDT 3.84 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:25 AM EDT -0.08 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:07 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 07:33 AM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 08:40 AM EDT 3.99 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:53 PM EDT -0.07 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:20 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 07:53 PM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 09:01 PM EDT 3.84 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Lake Worth Pier, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.2 |
| 1 am |
| 0.4 |
| 2 am |
| -0 |
| 3 am |
| 0 |
| 4 am |
| 0.5 |
| 5 am |
| 1.4 |
| 6 am |
| 2.4 |
| 7 am |
| 3.3 |
| 8 am |
| 3.9 |
| 9 am |
| 4 |
| 10 am |
| 3.5 |
| 11 am |
| 2.7 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 3 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 1 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.9 |
Miami, FL,
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