Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for West Palm Beach, FL

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Monday)
Issued at 1234 PM EDT Sun Oct 13 2024

The axis of a SW-NE oriented trough was analyzed over the Atlantic waters between the east coast and the Bahamas, and extending southwestward into the Florida Straits this afternoon.
This feature is progged to organize/tighten into a (weak) low tonight, and then shift eastward into the Atlantic on Monday as troughing moves into the eastern US. The best low-lvl convergence associated with this trough axis has largely shifted offshore, so think the heavy rain threat has mostly ended for the area. CAMs have depicted some scattered (more diurnal in nature) convection this afternoon over southeastern portions of the area, but given stubborn stratus don't expect anything too widespread or significant.

Low-lvl winds will shift more northerly on Monday as the low shifts eastward and drier air will filter in from the north. This will result in reduced rain chances, with only isolated showers possible over the southern third or so of the area, where lingering moisture will still be in place. Highs will generally be in the mid 80s, and dewpoints may even come down a bit later in the day (particularly over northern areas), making for a fairly seasonable mid-October day.

LONG TERM
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 209 PM EDT Sun Oct 13 2024

The beginning of the climatological dry season arrives right on cue this week as refreshing cooler and dryer air will filter into the region for the middle portion of the week. An upper level trough digging across the eastern US and strong surface high pressure building in to our north will help push a cold front south across the area, with some disagreement on how far south the front advances before stalling late in the week, but it will likely be in the vicinity of the Florida Straits by Thursday. Mostly dry conditions expected Tuesday through at least mid day Thursday. The frontal boundary will then start to drift north late in the week into next weekend increasing rain chances across the area.

Tuesday will be the warmest day of the long term period with highs in the upper 80s. Highs Wednesday through Friday will be in the lower 80s. Overnight lows will be in the 60s/70s Tuesday through Friday, with the coolest temps expected around the lake region.
Overnight low moderate into the low/mid 70s next weekend.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 122 AM EDT Mon Oct 14 2024

VFR should prevail during the next 24 hours at all terminals. Winds will shift generally from the north after 14Z at around 10 kt, then becoming light and vrb after 00Z.

MARINE
Issued at 1234 PM EDT Sun Oct 13 2024

Seas should drop down into the 2 to 3 ft range today and remain low through the first half of the week, with gentle to moderate NErly winds trending more northerly on Monday as weak low pressure moves eastward into the western Atlantic. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible today, resulting in brief periods of enhanced winds and seas, before drier conditions move in on Monday.

BEACHES
Issued at 1234 PM EDT Sun Oct 13 2024

An elevated risk of rip currents for the east coast will persist today, before decreasing in the early week period as the onshore component of the winds decreases.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 88 72 87 72 / 20 0 10 10 West Kendall 88 69 87 69 / 20 0 10 10 Opa-Locka 88 70 88 71 / 20 0 10 10 Homestead 88 72 87 71 / 20 10 10 10 Fort Lauderdale 86 71 86 72 / 20 0 0 10 N Ft Lauderdale 88 71 87 72 / 10 0 0 10 Pembroke Pines 90 71 89 71 / 20 0 0 10 West Palm Beach 88 69 87 70 / 10 0 0 0 Boca Raton 88 69 87 70 / 10 0 0 10 Naples 87 69 86 70 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ168.

AM...None.
GM...None.