Sunrise 6:32 AM   Sunset 8:21 PM Moonrise 3:06 AM   Moonset 5:36 PM

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AMZ610 Lake Okeechobee- 1001 Pm Edt Tue Jul 2 2024
Rest of tonight - SE winds 5 kt. Lake waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and tstms late in the evening. Wed - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Lake waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of tstms in the afternoon. Wed night - E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Lake waters a light chop. Thu - E winds around 5 kt. Lake waters smooth. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon. Thu night - SE winds 5 kt. Lake waters smooth. Fri - SE winds 5 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Lake waters smooth. Showers likely with a chance of tstms in the afternoon. Fri night - E se winds 5 kt becoming S after midnight. Lake waters smooth. Sat - S se winds 5 kt becoming se in the afternoon. Lake waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of tstms in the afternoon. Sat night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Lake waters a light chop. Sun - S se winds 5 kt. Lake waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of tstms in the afternoon. Sun night - S winds 5 kt. Lake waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1001 Pm Edt Tue Jul 2 2024
Synopsis -
gentle to moderate southeasterly winds will continue across local waters overnight, becoming more easterly and breezy Wednesday morning, prevailing through the end of the week. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms will develop over the local waters each days. Winds and waves could be locally higher in and around showers and storms.
gulf stream hazards: none.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jun 27, 2024 at 12 utc - .
1 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 9 nautical miles east of port everglades. 7 nautical miles southeast of lake worth. 13 nautical miles southeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 022339 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 739 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

New UPDATE, AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 730 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue this evening mainly across the interior portions of South Florida. As the evening progresses, convection will gradually diminsh due to the loss of diurnal heating. While most of the land areas will remain dry overnight, additional shower and thunderstorm development cannot be ruled out over the local waters as well as the east coast during this time frame. Low temperatures will remain on the warm side as they will range from the mid 70s across the Lake Okeechobee region to the lower 80s across the east coast metro areas.

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1226 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

Upper-level (H500) ridging will gradually expand further over the southeastern CONUS, allowing for an easterly to southeasterly mean steering flow to prevail across South Florida. Boundary layer (SFC-850 mb) winds from the southeast will remain consistent, leading to the greatest convective coverage over the interior and southwestern portions of the CWFA. However, convection may drift closer to the east coast, particularly where a westward augmentation in the steering flow materializes.

The synoptic pattern is expected to remain intact through Thursday with little deviation over the region. A few subtle low- level inverted troughs could bring a surge of moisture, leading to intermittent rounds of showers and thunderstorms developing at atypical hours, not following the typical diurnal cycle. These could cause nuisance rainfall and potentially localized flooding.

Afternoon high temperatures will generally range from the upper 80s along the immediate east coast to the low 90s, with convective debris limiting higher temperatures. Overnight lows will range from the low 70s to around 80 degrees.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 250 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

The broad mid-level ridge will persist as the dominant synoptic feature over South Florida for most of the week. At the surface, South Florida will lie on the periphery of a high-pressure area centered in the western Atlantic. This will maintain an east to southeasterly wind flow through the mid and latter portions of the week. Enough moisture will continue to advect into the region, with model soundings indicating moderately favorable precipitable water (PWAT) values. Consequently, showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop each afternoon and evening as sea breezes move inland and interact. The prevailing east to southeasterly wind flow will cause most convective activity to initiate near the east coast metro areas in the early afternoon, gradually shifting towards the interior and west coast later in the afternoon and into the early evening. The primary hazard will be the potential for localized flooding due to heavy downpours, as storm motion will remain slow.

Temperatures throughout the week will remain warm, with high temperatures reaching the lower 90s across most areas. Heat index values may range between 105 and 110 during the late morning and afternoon hours. However, these values are unlikely to persist long enough to meet advisory criteria due to the higher chances of showers and thunderstorms. Continuous monitoring will be necessary as the week progresses.

Some tropical moisture will advect around the southern periphery of the Bermuda High and approach South Florida this weekend, slightly increasing rain chances across the area. The typical diurnal summertime storm pattern will persist, with most convection concentrating along the sea breezes in the afternoon and evening, while overnight storms will predominantly occur over the local waters. The increased cloud cover and higher rain chances will moderate temperatures, keeping them closer to normal and mitigating any extreme heat, providing a sense of relief.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 730 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

Mainly VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period.
Showers and storms over the interior will diminish as the evening progresses and winds become light and variable. These winds will increase out of the east late Wednesday morning. Scattered showers and storms may develop near the east coast terminals early Wednesday afternoon, however, convection will push well to the west as the afternoon progresses. At KAPF, winds may shift to the WNW in the afternoon as a Gulf breeze develops.

MARINE
Issued at 1226 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

Light to moderate ESE flow and low seas will prevail through much of the week. Scattered storms over the Gulf Stream are expected each morning, eventually developing over the Gulf waters in the

BEACHES
Issued at 1226 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

The risk of rip currents will increase heading into Wed/Thu time

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 81 91 80 91 / 20 40 10 40 West Kendall 78 91 78 92 / 20 40 10 50 Opa-Locka 80 91 80 92 / 20 40 10 40 Homestead 81 90 80 90 / 20 40 10 40 Fort Lauderdale 81 89 80 89 / 20 40 10 40 N Ft Lauderdale 81 90 81 90 / 20 40 10 40 Pembroke Pines 80 93 80 93 / 20 40 10 40 West Palm Beach 80 91 80 91 / 20 40 10 40 Boca Raton 81 91 80 91 / 20 40 10 40 Naples 78 93 77 94 / 30 70 20 60

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.

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Southwest Fork (spillway)
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:32 AM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:16 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:55 AM EDT     1.93 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:52 PM EDT     -0.38 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:50 PM EDT     2.11 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Southwest Fork (spillway), Loxahatchee River, Florida, Tide feet

Donald Ross Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:37 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:16 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:23 AM EDT     2.27 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:57 PM EDT     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:18 PM EDT     2.49 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Donald Ross Bridge, ICWW, Loxahatchee River, Florida, Tide feet

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