Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Manasota Key, FL

DISCUSSION
Issued at 211 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026 The surface ridge axis remains across north Florida today, with a light southeast flow continuing across the local area. This will allow the west coast sea breeze to develop and start to push inland, reaching near or just east of the I-75 corridor. This will be where the best rain chances reside through the rest of the afternoon and evening before the circulation collapses and activity drifts back westward after dark. A very similar pattern is forecast for tomorrow.

For Friday into the weekend, the ridge axis shifts south, leading to a more westerly flow across the forecast area. This will put us back into the pattern of early morning showers and storms over the Gulf that shift onshore and then eventually inland and over to the east coast by the afternoon and evening hours. This pattern then holds into next week.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 211 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026 Scattered storms will linger near area terminals through the afternoon and into the evening before diminishing. A quiet overnight is expected, then a similar setup is forecast for tomorrow.

MARINE
Issued at 211 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026 High pressure north of the area will keep southeast flow in place in the morning before the sea breeze turns winds onshore in the afternoon. The best rain chances will be after dark as storms over land shift back westward toward the Gulf. Winds become west to southwest for Friday into the weekend, with the best rain chances overnight and into the morning hours.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 211 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026 No fire weather concerns over the next several days as relative humidity values remain above critical levels. No significant fog is expected.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 77 90 78 90 / 30 60 20 40 FMY 75 92 76 92 / 40 40 30 60 GIF 74 92 75 93 / 50 60 30 70 SRQ 75 90 77 90 / 40 50 10 30 BKV 72 93 74 92 / 30 60 20 30 SPG 77 91 79 91 / 30 50 10 30

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 6 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 1

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.