Sunday, December8, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Manasota Key, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 5:36PM Sunday December 8, 2019 3:33 AM EST (08:33 UTC) Moonrise 3:25PMMoonset 3:37AM Illumination 87% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ836 Charlotte Harbor And Pine Island Sound- 824 Pm Est Sat Dec 7 2019
Tonight..Northeast winds around 5 knots becoming east. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Sunday..East winds around 5 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Sunday night..East winds around 5 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Monday..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming south in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Monday night..South winds around 5 knots then becoming southeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Tuesday..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming south in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..South winds around 5 knots then becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Wednesday..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming east around 5 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. A slight chance of showers.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Thursday..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 824 Pm Est Sat Dec 7 2019
Synopsis..Weak high pressure will dominate the coastal waters into early next week. A cold front will move into the northern waters on Wednesday, and into the south-central waters Wednesday night where it will eventually stall out through Thursday. As the front move into the area increasing winds and seas are expected, with a period of cautionary or advisory level conditions likely by late Wednesday into Thursday with some rough boating conditions developing for small craft operators.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manasota Key, FL
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location: 26.94, -82.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 080808 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 308 AM EST Sun Dec 8 2019

DISCUSSION. High amplitude U/L pattern over much of North America with a sharp ridge along the west coast of the U.S./Canada will induce a deep trough downstream . with cold arctic air being pulled south over the upper Mississippi Valley and midwest. A southern stream disturbance will push across the southern plains on Tuesday . the Lower Mississippi Valley on Wednesday . and will then be sheared out as it moves across the southeast U.S. Wednesday night and Thursday.

Significant pattern change mid/late week as the west coast ridge breaks down and strong quasi-zonal flow develops. A southern stream disturbance will push across the southern plains on Thursday . and the Lower Mississippi Valley on Friday. Southern stream disturbance will come in phase with the northern stream late in the week carving out a deep progressive U/L trough from the Great Lakes to the Gulf of Mexico. The trough axis will rotate and lift northeast off the eastern seaboard over the weekend with quasi-zonal flow across the CONUS in its wake.

Surface high pressure will hold over west central and southwest Florida through Tuesday. The first southern stream disturbance will move across the southeast on Wednesday with a chance of showers developing Wednesday and persisting into Thursday. Associated cold front will stall across north Florida with cooler air only advecting across northern portions of the nature coast . with the remainder of west central and southwest Florida remaining in the warm sector. Second S/W disturbance will move across the southeast U.S. and Florida Friday and Friday night. Overall dynamics will be stronger than the initial disturbance with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms expected Friday and Friday night. Shower activity will end from north to south as a cold front moves across the region. Cooler drier air will advect across the region in the wake of the front over the weekend . however temperatures will only drop back to near climatic normals.

AVIATION. Patchy MVFR vsbys early this morning due to fog. Otherwise predominately VFR conditions expected today with areas of broken mid level clouds 090-120.

MARINE. No hazards expected through midweek with relatively light winds and seas. Lead cold front will stall across the northern waters Wednesday night and Thursday with SCEC or SCA conditions possible over portions of the northern waters behind the frontal boundary. SCEC conditions possible over most of the waters late in the week and early Saturday associated with the second cold front.

FIRE WEATHER. No fire weather hazards are expected for the next several days as relative humidity values are expected to remain above critical levels.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 77 62 78 64 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 81 61 80 65 / 0 0 0 10 GIF 78 59 81 63 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 78 61 79 63 / 0 0 0 10 BKV 78 58 80 59 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 76 63 77 65 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. Gulf waters . None.

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER . 13/Oglesby UPPER AIR . 99 DECISION SUPPORT . 18/Fleming


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VENF1 - Venice, FL 11 mi33 min ENE 7 G 9.9 60°F 68°F1020.4 hPa (-0.6)54°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 32 mi51 min ENE 2.9 G 6 66°F 70°F1019.9 hPa
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 34 mi63 min E 16 G 19 73°F1020.6 hPa
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 45 mi99 min E 5.1 G 8 68°F 1020.6 hPa

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Venice Municipal Airport, FL10 mi38 minENE 710.00 miFair59°F53°F82%1020.7 hPa
Punta Gorda, Charlotte County Airport, FL19 mi40 minNE 510.00 miA Few Clouds55°F54°F96%1020.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVNC

Wind History from VNC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmNE4NE5NE5E5NE7NE9E8NE7NE4CalmW7NW5NW4NE5CalmCalmCalmNE7E8E6NE8NE8E7
1 day agoNE5NE6NE6E5E5E6E6CalmW5W4W5W6NW8NW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE6E4NE4NE4
2 days agoE3CalmNE4E4E3NE8NE10NE8
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5N9NW7NE6N5NE4NE6NE4E4NE5NE5E5NE6NE6E6

Tide / Current Tables for Englewood, Lemon Bay, Florida
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Englewood
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:37 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 05:05 AM EST     0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:06 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:24 AM EST     1.00 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:24 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:23 PM EST     0.66 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 10:04 PM EST     1.41 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.10.90.60.40.20.10.20.30.50.70.9110.90.80.70.70.70.811.21.31.41.4

Tide / Current Tables for Boca Grande Pass, Charlotte Harbor, Florida Current
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Boca Grande Pass
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:38 AM EST     -2.12 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 03:36 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 05:55 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:05 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:17 AM EST     1.92 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 01:14 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 03:02 PM EST     -0.61 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 03:24 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:47 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 08:13 PM EST     1.83 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 11:17 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.8-1.5-2-2.1-1.7-0.90.111.61.91.81.40.80.2-0.4-0.6-0.40.10.91.51.81.71.10.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.