Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Port Charlotte, FL

DISCUSSION
Issued at 220 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

Broad upper ridging over the gulf extends northeastward over Florida and along the eastern seaboard. This persistent ridge will become more west-east oriented over the weekend and into next week and will shift slightly eastward. On the surface, high pressure ridging across Florida remains the dominant weather feature through the weekend and first half of next week. This will lead to rain-free conditions and above average temperatures across west central and southwest Florida for a majority of the forecast period. The only weather concern will be the heat each afternoon with daytime highs topping out in the upper 80's along the coast, to the mid 90's over the interior. Heat indices will reach 100-105 degrees as well each afternoon. By next Wednesday, the upper ridge and surface high pressure shifts southward as upper troughing and a frontal boundary moves through the southeast U.S. This front will bring a slight chance of showers to the area Wednesday evening through Thursday afternoon. This will also bring some relief to the oppressive heat bringing temperatures down a few degrees closer to average, as well as some lower humidity, for the latter part of next week.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 716 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025 VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals for the next 24 hours with skies generally SKC to FEW250 tonight and Saturday.

MARINE
Issued at 220 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

High pressure ridging across the Florida peninsula and into the eastern gulf will remain the dominant weather feature through the weekend and into next week. Winds will remain around 10 knots or less, seas 2 feet or less and rain-free conditions expected each day.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 220 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

High pressure remains over the area with rain-free conditions and hot weather expected through the weekend and into next week.
Humidity values will drop to near critical levels over the interior each of the next couple afternoons, but light winds will preclude the need for a Red Flag Warning. Patchy high dispersion indices are forecast for Saturday afternoon, mainly over the Nature Coast.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 92 76 92 76 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 94 74 92 75 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 97 70 96 71 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 89 74 90 74 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 93 66 92 67 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 89 77 89 77 / 0 0 0 0

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 4 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 4

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.