Friday, December13, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Port Salerno, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:00AMSunset 5:30PM Friday December 13, 2019 9:06 PM EST (02:06 UTC) Moonrise 7:02PMMoonset 8:17AM Illumination 94% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 416 Pm Est Fri Dec 13 2019
.small craft should exercise caution...
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers. Slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Monday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers.
Tuesday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Showers likely.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 416 Pm Est Fri Dec 13 2019
Synopsis..A developing area of low pressure over the gulf of mexico will strengthen rapidly as it lifts into the mid atlantic region. This system will drag a new cool front across florida that will force winds to veer to the west and northwest over the weekend. High pressure behind the front will quickly push offshore, allowing winds to veer onshore by Monday.
Gulf stream hazards..Southeast to south winds up to 20 knots, with seas 8 to 10 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Wednesday, december 11th. 44 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 28 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 21 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 12 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Port Salerno, FL
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location: 27.15, -80.2     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 132115 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 415 PM EST Fri Dec 13 2019

DISCUSSION. Tonight/Saturday . A weak sfc low as formed near the mouth of the MS River with its asscd short wave trof extending up the MS Valley. These will be fed by the ascending left exit regions of two jet streaks, a 130KT streak digging over the Srn Plains and at 70KT streak lifting over the ern GOMex. The low will deepen rapidly as the orientation of is supporting mid lvl trof transitions from positive to negative. The low is expected to lift into the Mid Atlc by daybreak, but will be strong enough to generate the necessary torque that will crank a new cold front into FL.

Fropa expected to reach the I-4 Corridor by daybreak, sweeping thru the rest of central FL by early Sat aftn, then into the FL Straits by Sat evng. Models are showing moderate to strong H85-H50 omega/vorticity and H30-H20 upr lvl divergence, H50 temps dropping as low as -13C and H70-H50 lapse rates btwn 6.5-7.0C/KM. Even so, thunder potential with the storm will be limited by the timing of its passage, both diurnal (early AM during the nocturnal heating min) and annual (about a week from the winter solstice). Svr tsras not out of the realm of possibility, especially over the Treasure Coast/Lake-O region where sfc heating will be greatest, but risk will be marginal to slight.

PoPs tonight likely (60-70pct) along and north of I-4, decreasing to slgt chc (20pct) over the Treasure Coast/Lake-O region. Chc PoPs areawide (30pct N of I-4/50pct Treasure Coast/Lake-O) on Sat, but ending rapidly behind the front. Will limit tsras to slgt chc with the fropa, but any storms that do manage to punch thru the inertia will have the potential to become strong to svr. High cloud cover and light S/SW flow will keep min temps tonight in the M/U60s. Max temps Sat in the L/M70s along and north of I-4 (post fropa) and in the L80s along the Treasure Coast/Lake-O.

Sat night-Sun night (previous modified) . An area of high pressure will build over southern GA and the FL peninsula on Sat night and move towards the Atlantic on Sunday. With its rapid movement eastward the winds will go around the clock quick as well. North winds on Sat evening, will become east by Sun afternoon. Drier and cooler air will also filter in towards the peninsula but it won't be enough to drop temperatures below normal. Highs on Sunday will climb to the mid 70s from Brevard and Osceola northward and upper 70s for Treasure Coast. Temperatures will be noticeably cooler Sat night with lows in the upper 40s across interior Volusia/northern Lake and low to mid 50s elsewhere, except lower 60s beachside south of the Cape. These temps are actually close to seasonal norms for mid December.

Mon-Thu (previous) . The next mid level short wave carves out a larger trough across the central-eastern CONUS this period. Both GFS and ECMWF models push another strong cold front into Florida by Tue night, preceded by a band of showers. Above normal temps in the lower 80s Mon and Tue with a chance for showers Tue aftn/night depending on timing of the next front. Turning noticeably cooler Wed-Thu with highs in the upper 60s/lower 70s with lows mid to upper 40s Volusia and the interior counties and low to mid 50s Brevard-Martin counties.

AVIATION. Thru 15/18Z. Sfc Winds: Thru 14/00Z . S/SW 7-11KTS Btwn 14/00Z-13/21Z. bcmg S/SW 3-6KTS Btwn 14/09Z-14/12Z. bcmg SW 8-12KTS. Btwn 14/12Z-14/15Z . N of KISM-KTIX bcmg W/NW bcmg W/NW 10-14KTS with ocnl sfc G18-22KTS . S of KISM-KTIX bcmg W/SW 10-14KTS with fqnt sfc G18-22KTS.

Vsbys/WX/Cigs: Thru 14/00Z . slgt chc IFR tsras Btwn 14/04Z-14/08Z. W of KISM-KEVB chc MVFR shras. Btwn 14/08Z-14/12Z W of KISM-KEVB MVFR shras lkly/slgt chc IFR tsras . E of KISM-KEVB chc MVFR shras/slgt chc IFR tsras . E of KMLB-KOBE slgt chc IFR tsras. Btwn 14/12Z-14/16Z . chc MVFR shras/slgt chc IFR tsras all sites. Btwn 14/16Z-14/20Z S of KISM-KTIX chc MVFR shras/slgt chc IFR tsras.

MARINE. Tonight . A 6FT NE swell train continues to impact the lcl Atlc . nearshore buoys measuring 4-6FT seas . offshore 5-7FT. Light to gentle southerly breeze should dampen these out enough by late aftn to allow the SCA to expire, but may have to make a late decision to extend the offshore leg into the evng hrs. Overnight, a cold front will sweep into the FL Peninsula, with winds veering to SW, increasing to a moderate to fresh breeze nearshore and fresh to strong offshore in the predawn hrs. Seas 3-5FT nearshore and 4-6FT offshore, building to 4-6FT nearshore and 5-7FT offshore Chc of shras in the Gulf Stream thru midnight. then a chance of shras/slgt chc of tsras as the front approaches.

Saturday . Rough/Hazardous conditions as the front pushes rapidly thru the lcl Atlc. Moderate to fresh W/SW breeze nearshore and fresh to strong offshore thru midday . bcmg moderate to fresh W/NW areawide by late aftn. Seas 4-6FT nearshore, building to 6-7FT offshore . up to 8FT in the Gulf Stream. Chc of shras/slgt chc of tsras ahead of the front, ending with its passage.

Sat night-Sun night . As a high pressure just north of east central FL develops on Sat and moves quickly to the east, winds will shift from northwest to east during this period. These will start at around 15 kt on Sat night from the NW, around 10 kt from the north by Sun morning and 5-10 kt late on Sun afternoon and increasing to 10-15 kt Sun night from the east. No weather is expected. For seas, these will start on Sat night 4-6 ft offshore and 3-4 ft nearshore, subsiding to 3-5 ft on Sun.

Mon-Tue (previous) . High pressure quickly pushes seaward into the western Atlc with a trailing ridge axis that pushes down the FL peninsula ahead of the next cold front. As a result, winds will veer out of the southeast and increase to 10 to 15 knots Monday and south to southwest Tue. Seas 3-5 feet.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 65 73 51 72 / 60 30 0 0 MCO 66 76 53 74 / 50 30 0 0 MLB 69 77 56 75 / 20 50 0 0 VRB 69 78 55 76 / 20 50 0 0 LEE 64 73 51 74 / 70 30 0 0 SFB 65 76 51 73 / 60 30 0 0 ORL 66 76 52 73 / 60 30 0 0 FPR 68 78 56 76 / 20 50 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Saturday for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.



Bragaw/Negron/Watson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 28 mi36 min 73°F4 ft
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 38 mi48 min SW 8 G 8.9 75°F 78°F1013 hPa
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 71 mi66 min SSW 9.9 G 12 77°F 1012.4 hPa (+0.7)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL2 mi76 minN 07.00 miThunderstorm in Vicinity73°F66°F78%1011.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUA

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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SE12SE10W7W7SW6W6W5W5CalmCalm4
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2 days agoSE6S4S5CalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmW23SW5SW4N6E8E6E7E5E5E5E5NE7NE7

Tide / Current Tables for Port Salerno, Manatee Pocket, Florida
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Port Salerno
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Fri -- 04:12 AM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:01 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:17 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 10:02 AM EST     1.22 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:45 PM EST     0.28 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:28 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:01 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 10:03 PM EST     1.11 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.40.2-0-0.1-0.10.20.50.91.11.21.210.80.60.40.30.30.40.60.811.11.1

Tide / Current Tables for Jensen Beach, Indian River, Florida
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Jensen Beach
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:30 AM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:01 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:17 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 11:28 AM EST     1.37 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:28 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:03 PM EST     0.28 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:01 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:29 PM EST     1.26 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.10.90.60.30-0.1-0.10.10.40.81.21.31.41.210.80.50.30.30.40.60.81.11.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.