Thursday, October1, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
North River Shores, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 7:08PM Thursday October 1, 2020 11:07 AM EDT (15:07 UTC) Moonrise 6:23PMMoonset 5:55AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 1007 Am Edt Thu Oct 1 2020
This afternoon..North to northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely. Chance of Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southeast after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Numerous showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1007 Am Edt Thu Oct 1 2020
Synopsis..A weak front will remain nearly stationary across south florida into late week. Deep moisture will continue across the southern waters, keeping higher rain chances and potential for isolated Thunderstorms near to south of melbourne. By the weekend, the front lifts northward increasing rain chances across the rest of the region.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Tuesday, september 29th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 27 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North River Shores, FL
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location: 27.24, -80.31     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 011359 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 957 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2020

DISCUSSION.

. Flood Watch Remains in Effect for Coastal Martin and St Lucie Counties Through Tonight .

Current-Tonight . Some heavy rainfall across the Treasure Coast late last night and early this morning. This resulted from a likely combination of a stalled frontal boundary to the south, deep moisture, coastal convergence, diffluence aloft, and good ol' fashion shallow, efficient precipitation producing showers and isolated lightning storms. Many neighborhoods have seen flooding, especially around Hobe Sound in coastal Martin County. Residents will need to stay alert as any additional rainfall will immediately become runoff as these areas remain saturated. Local radar shows this activity remains fairly persistent with additional convection over the local waters and near the coast.

Mesoscale models suggest additional convection this afternoon resulting from the sea breeze boundary, deep moisture, and additional boundary collisions from previous activity. While some of this activity may advance into the interior, as far north as Osceola County, it appears confined closer to the coast from the Cape southward. With that said, may have to extend current PoP configuration further north. Northward across ECFL should still continue to see a pleasant day.

Highs generally in the L-M80s. Lows tonight will range from the L-M 60s for Lake/Volusia southward toward Okeechobee County while the Space/Treasure coasts realize U60s to L70s.

AVIATION. Light N/NNE/NE winds today and generally VFR, except the Treasure Coast which is plagued by higher moisture with SCT convection periodically around. MVFR conds in/around showers and ISOLD lightning storms. Will monitor as convective threat, according to local/short range models, may advance northward toward KMLB and potentially KTIX. Much of any additional activity today will result from deep moisture and sea breeze/mesoscale outflow boundaries along the Space/Treasure coasts from earlier showers/storms.

MARINE. Today-tonight . The nearly stalled frontal boundary near the southern waters combined with deep moisture will continue to initiate scattered showers and isolated storms. Threats include locally heavy downpours, cloud to water lightning, and gusty winds to near 30 kts. Activity could spread further northward towards Melbourne with sea breeze initiation, surface heating, and additional mesoscale boundary collisions. N/NNE winds generally 10-15 kts, though convection near the coast and across our southern waters could promote variable winds at times due to the disruption. Seas generally 3-4 ft.

HYDROLOGY. The St Johns river at Astor is forecast to remain near Moderate Flood Stage for the next couple of days before slowly declining later this week into Minor Flood Stage. Water levels along the Middle Saint Johns River Basin are also forecast to remain elevated the rest of this week at Deland, Sanford and Lake Harney. Refer to daily Flood Statements from NWS Melbourne for the latest river levels and forecasts.

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . Flood Watch through late tonight for Martin-St. Lucie.

AM . None.

Sedlock/Leahy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 22 mi41 min 83°F3 ft
SIPF1 44 mi37 min 80°F 79°F1016 hPa
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 46 mi49 min NNE 6 G 8.9 82°F 84°F1014.1 hPa76°F
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 79 mi67 min E 6 G 8 82°F 1014.8 hPa (+1.1)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL6 mi80 minNW 67.00 miShowers in Vicinity79°F73°F84%1015.2 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL18 mi74 minNNW 510.00 miOvercast77°F75°F96%1014.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUA

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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NE5NE5N7N5E5W4N3CalmE5N6N6NW6
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2 days agoS8S8E6W7CalmW8S5CalmCalmCalmS5CalmW3S3SE4SE3S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS5

Tide / Current Tables for North Fork, St. Lucie River, Florida
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North Fork
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:06 AM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:55 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:13 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:36 AM EDT     1.34 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:06 PM EDT     Full Moon
Thu -- 06:24 PM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:49 PM EDT     1.32 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.210.80.60.50.40.50.70.91.21.31.31.21.10.90.70.60.50.50.60.91.11.3

Tide / Current Tables for South Fork, St. Lucie River, Florida
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South Fork
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:10 AM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:54 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:13 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:40 AM EDT     1.27 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:06 PM EDT     Full Moon
Thu -- 06:28 PM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:53 PM EDT     1.26 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.110.80.60.50.40.50.60.91.11.21.31.21.10.90.70.60.50.50.60.811.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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