Friday, January28, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
North River Shores, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:07AMSunset 6:00PM Friday January 28, 2022 5:36 PM EST (22:36 UTC) Moonrise 3:39AMMoonset 2:15PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 341 Pm Est Fri Jan 28 2022
.small craft advisory in effect until midnight est tonight...
.gale warning in effect from midnight est tonight through Saturday afternoon...
Tonight..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 25 to 30 knots, with frequent gusts to gale force. Seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas to 10 feet. A dominant period 9 seconds. Very rough on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday..Northwest winds 25 to 30 knots diminishing to 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Frequent gusts to gale force. Seas 7 to 9 feet with occasional seas to 11 feet. A dominant period 9 seconds. Very rough on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 7 to 9 feet with occasional seas to 11 feet. A dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 7 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday night..Northwest winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Monday..North winds 10 knots becoming northeast in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Monday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet.
Tuesday..East winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet.
Tuesday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 341 Pm Est Fri Jan 28 2022
Synopsis..Hazardous boating conditions will continue across the waters through this evening, further deteoriating tonight. Gale conditions will develop after midnight and continue through Saturday as an coastal storm rapdily intensifies offshore of the southeast u.s. And moves northeast, sending a strong cold front through the waters tonight. Winds and seas will gradually subside starting Saturday night as high pressure builds over florida into early next week. However, boating conditions will remain poor to hazardous through Sunday.
Gulf stream hazards..West to northwest winds 20 to 25 knots this evening, rapidly increasing to 25 to 30 knots with frequent gusts above gale force after midnight. Seas 6 to 8 feet building to 9 to 12 feet overnight into early Saturday morning. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Wednesday, january 26th. 43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 31 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 18 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 12 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North River Shores, FL
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location: 27.24, -80.31     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 282119 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 419 PM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

DISCUSSION.

. Turning Much Colder Late Tonight with Widespread Freeze Expected Saturday Night Into Sunday Morning .

. Cold Wind Chills Late Tonight Through Sunday Morning .

. Widespread Frost Possible Monday Morning .

. Hazardous Boating Conditions Will Become Even More Treacherous as Gale Conditions Develop Offshore Tonight Through Saturday .

Current-Tonight . The isolated to scattered light showers that were present this morning have since pushed out into the Atlantic. A broad area of high clouds are streaming across the north with scattered high clouds across the south this afternoon. A fairly broad area of low level clouds, especially across the north, have been present most of the day, and will continue through this afternoon and early evening. The 12Z XMR sounding shows a moist profile through the low levels, with a pretty significant dry mid level layer, and a PW values of 1.23". No mentionable rain chances this afternoon as the low pressure system off the east coast of Florida moves north and northeast this afternoon, limiting the rain chances to over the Atlantic waters. Northwest winds this afternoon will be 10-15mph with higher gusts possible, with the stronger winds occurring along the coast. Mild high temperatures this afternoon before cold air filters into the local area over the weekend. Afternoon highs today will be in the mid to upper 60s across the north and upper 60s to low 70s across the south.

Tonight, A strong cold front will push through the local area as a surface low pressure system off the Florida coast intensifies as it pushes north and northeast towards the New England area overnight. At the same time, the deep upper level trough will continue to push eastwards towards the eastern US. coast overnight night. Locally, winds will be breezy to windy overnight, with northwest winds around 15 mph with gusts 20 mph or higher. Dry air will filter into the area behind the front, producing no mentionable rain chances and clearing skies overnight. Overnight lows will be in the mid to upper 30s, except across the Treasure Coast where lows will be in the low 40s. The cold temperatures along with the breezy to windy conditions tonight will produce wind chill values in the upper 20s to low 30s across east central Florida. A Wind Chill Advisory has been issued for all counties of east central Florida from 4 AM until 10 AM Saturday.

Saturday . The very deep upper level trough near the eastern US coast will push north and east through the day on Saturday. The strong cold front that pushed through overnight is expected to be south of east central Florida by day break. Locally, very cold, dry air will continue to filter into the local area under breezy to windy northwest flow, with wind speeds around 15 mph with gusts around 25 mph possible, especially along the coast. The dry air will continue to limit rain chances Saturday, leading to no mentionable rain chances through the time period. With strong cold air advection, afternoon temperatures will only recover into the upper 40s to low 50s across the north, and low to mid 50s across the south, despite the sunny skies. The cold temperatures coupled with those breezy to windy conditions will produce wind chills in the low to mid 40s across the north and low 50s across the south Saturday afternoon.

Saturday Night-Sunday night . High pressure over the Gulf will shift east through late weekend and eventually over the area into Sunday night. Northwest flow to the east of the high will continue to advect very dry and much colder air into the region Saturday night into Sunday morning. Morning lows will be the coldest of the season and for some locations coldest in several years, with a widespread freeze expected across the area.

Minimum temps will range from the mid 20s across northern Lake and inland Volusia counties where a Hard Freeze Watch remains in effect. Elsewhere across east central FL, a Freeze Watch is in place for lows forecast in the upper 20s to low 30s. These temperatures will be near or potentially break daily record lows for the 30th (see climate section below). Barrier island locations south of the Cape and directly along the coast of Martin County look to stay just above freezing. While winds will not be as gusty, sustained speeds of 5-10 mph will produce wind chill values in the low 20s, with some locations flirting briefly with the upper teens.

Despite sunny skies, highs will continue to be well below normal into Sunday, with temps only reaching into the mid 50s over much of the region. While not as cold into Sunday night, high pressure across the area will produce light winds and will allow temps to drop quickly under favorable radiational cooling conditions. Lows will fall into the 30s, with freezing temperatures again possible across more rural/normally colder locations south of Orlando. Areas/widespread frost will be possible across the area with these colder temps and light winds.

Monday-Thursday . (Previous Discussion) A warming trend commences next week with flow becoming more onshore as an expansive high pressure builds across New England and the Canadian Maritimes. However, the airmass will remain too dry to support any mentionable rain chances through Tuesday before moisture increases enough for a few marine showers to develop and approach the coast Tuesday night into early Wednesday. Models then begin to differ on timing and degree of moisture return well out ahead of the next cold front that looks to approach the area toward late week. The GFS is faster and has more moisture to work with than the ECMWF, so for now have only introduced a 20% shower mention for Wednesday and a 30% for Thursday.

Max temps return to the mid-upper 60s Monday, low 70s Tuesday, and mid-upper 70s for Wednesday and Thursday. Min temps also moderate through the period with low-mid 40s for Monday night, low-mid 50s Tuesday night, and upper 50s to low 60s for Wednesday night.

AVIATION. Generally, VFR conditions this afternoon, however MVFR CIGs have been bouncing around through the morning and afternoon. Skies will clear behind a strong cold front that will pass through the local area tonight. Winds will be breezy to windy overnight and into tomorrow. Northwest winds will increase to around 15 KT overnight and last through tomorrow, with gusts around 25 mph possible. No mentionable rain chances through the TAF period as cold dry air filters into the area behind the cold front.

MARINE. Current-Saturday . Isolated to scattered showers ongoing across the Atlantic waters this afternoon, and will continue through the overnight. Hazardous boating conditions will continue across the waters through this evening, further deteoriating tonight. Winds will increase through the night, with gale conditions developing after midnight and will continue through Saturday as an coastal storm rapdily intensifies offshore of the southeast U.S. and moves northeast, sending a strong cold front through the waters tonight. Seas will build to 8-11 ft in the offshore waters tonight, further increasing to 8-12 ft Saturday afternoon. Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 25 to 30 knots, with frequent gusts to gale force. A small craft advisory remains in effect for all Atlantic waters through tonight. A Gale warning will then replace the small craft advisory after midnight and will continue through the day, with the near shore waters dropping off in the afternoon.

Saturday night-Sunday . Northwest winds up to 15-20 knots Saturday night will gradually diminish with high pressure slowly building in from the west. However, poor to hazardous boating conditions will likely continue through Sunday. As high builds across the waters into Sunday night, winds will continue to decrease through Monday, becoming 5-10 knots.

Monday-Tuesday . Winds relax on Monday with high pressure overhead, allowing seas to subside to 3-5 ft by the afternoon and 2-4 ft into Monday night. Winds veer onshore by Tuesday at around 10-15 kt, and seas continuing around 3-4 ft.

FIRE WEATHER.

Saturday . Breezy to windy conditions expected on Saturday, as W/NW winds around 15 to 20 mph, gusting to 30 mph usher in a much colder and drier airmass into the region. Critically low RH values expected into the afternoon with min RH in the upper 20s to low 30s forecast. The gusty winds and low RH will lead to elevated fire weather concerns. However, ERC values should remain low enough to preclude issuance of a Red Flag Warning.

Sunday-Monday . Very dry airmass will remain in place through the remainder of the weekend into early next week. Even with colder conditions continuing on Sunday, Min RH values will be as low as the mid 20s to low 30s across the region into the afternoon. W/NW winds will not be as strong as Saturday, only around 5 to 10 mph. Min RH values fall again into the mid to upper 30s over much of the interior on Monday, but winds will be rather light with high pressure across the area.

CLIMATE. Daily record low temperatures and years set for Sunday, January 30.

Site Record(year) Forecast low Daytona 26 (1966) 27 Leesburg 25 (1966) 29 Sanford 27 (1966) 28 Orlando 31 (1966) 30 Melbourne 30 (1966) 29 Vero Beach 30 (1978) 28 Ft. Pierce 32 (1966) 28

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 36 50 27 55 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 41 50 30 57 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 39 52 29 56 / 10 10 0 0 VRB 40 55 28 58 / 10 10 0 0 LEE 37 50 29 57 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 39 51 28 56 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 41 50 32 56 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 40 55 28 58 / 10 10 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . Freeze Watch from late Saturday night through Sunday morning for Coastal Volusia-Indian River-Martin-Northern Brevard- Okeechobee-Orange-Osceola-Seminole-Southern Brevard- Southern Lake-St. Lucie.

Wind Chill Advisory from 4 AM to 10 AM EST Saturday for Coastal Volusia-Indian River-Inland Volusia-Martin-Northern Brevard- Northern Lake-Okeechobee-Orange-Osceola-Seminole-Southern Brevard-Southern Lake-St. Lucie.

Hard Freeze Watch from late Saturday night through Sunday morning for Inland Volusia-Northern Lake.

AM . Small Craft Advisory until midnight EST tonight for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20- 60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

Gale Warning from midnight tonight to 1 PM EST Saturday for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm- Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm.

Gale Warning from midnight tonight to 7 PM EST Saturday for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm- Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.



SHORT TERM/AVIATION . Weitlich LONG TERM . Watson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 22 mi41 min 69°F4 ft
SIPF1 44 mi22 min 68°F 67°F1013 hPa
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 79 mi37 min WNW 17G20 69°F 1011.9 hPa (-0.5)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL6 mi41 minW 97.00 miPartly Cloudy73°F55°F53%1012.2 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL18 mi44 minWNW 810.00 miA Few Clouds72°F56°F57%1011.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUA

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for North Fork, St. Lucie River, Florida
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North Fork
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:32 AM EST     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:39 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:26 AM EST     1.03 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:13 PM EST     0.14 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:14 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:59 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:29 PM EST     0.98 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

North Fork, St. Lucie River, Florida, Tide feet
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Tide / Current Tables for South Fork, St. Lucie River, Florida
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South Fork
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:36 AM EST     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:38 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:30 AM EST     0.98 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:14 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 02:17 PM EST     0.14 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:59 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:33 PM EST     0.94 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

South Fork, St. Lucie River, Florida, Tide feet
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