Tuesday, November12, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ocean Breeze Park, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:37AMSunset 5:32PM Tuesday November 12, 2019 4:21 AM EST (09:21 UTC) Moonrise 5:55PMMoonset 6:33AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 324 Am Est Tue Nov 12 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from late tonight through Wednesday evening...
Today..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Scattered showers.
Tonight..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Scattered showers.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 7 to 10 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots becoming east 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 7 to 10 feet. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Thursday..East winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 9 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Numerous showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Friday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Chance of showers.
Saturday..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 324 Am Est Tue Nov 12 2019
Synopsis..Favorable boating conditions today with light west winds and scattered showers before a cold front sweeps across the local atlantic waters tonight. Behind the front, strong north to northeast winds and building seas will produce dangerous boating conditions through Thursday.
Gulf stream hazards..North to northeast winds increase to 25 to 30 knots with gusts to gale force by late evening, and seas building to 9 to 12 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday, november 10th. 42 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 32 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 18 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 11 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ocean Breeze Park, FL
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location: 27.25, -80.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 120907
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
405 am est Tue nov 12 2019

Discussion
Strong cold front will sweep across central florida tonight...

Very hazardous seas and surf expected on Wednesday...

today... Main influence of the atlantic ridge axis has completely
pulled away from florida per rap analysis. Light, variable winds
early this morning become southwest to west by late morning. The
offshore flow will cause afternoon temperatures to climb up to the
mid 80s areawide. Even as MAX temps remain below record high values,
they'll still be around 5 degrees above normal for mid november.

Increasing moisture ahead of approaching cold front to be confined
mostly along the coast and over local atlantic waters through the
afternoon, with the rest of the area remaining mostly dry. By late
afternoon winds begin to veer northwest and showers will be possible
along and north of i-4.

Tonight... A surge of north winds pushes into our area this evening,
associated with the leading edge of an advancing cold front. Breezy
conditions develop tonight with sustained winds at 15-20 mph and
higher gusts. Higher winds along the coast where gusts could be as
high as 35-40mph. Shower activity to increase overnight, showers
likely in volusia and northern brevard counties and scattered
showers elsewhere, except for far western lake county and areas
along the kissimmee river where little to no rain is expected.

Cold air moving in is expected to produce the coldest temps of the
season, so far, along and north of the i-4 corridor. Morning lows on
Wednesday will be in the low to mid 50s north of i-4, in the upper
50s to low 60s across the rest of the area, except in the mid to
upper 60s along the immediate coast from melbourne south to jupiter.

The combination of cold air and windy conditions will make for a
crisp, autumnal start to Wednesday from kissimmee to daytona north.

Wednesday-Friday... Tail of mid level trough moves rapidly offshore
early Wed followed by a brief period of zonal flow Wed night. The
flow aloft will back thu-thu night as amplification occurs upstream.

Phasing of southern and northern stream shortwave troughs will take
place across the deep south by mid-day fri, with the resultant h50
low pivoting into (ecm) or across (gfs) ga nofl by 12z sat.

At the surface, the strong post-frontal n-ne surge will be in full
swing wed, veering to east and slackening through Wed night as a
transient inverted trough develops near the ecfl coast. Broad
lowering of pressures occurs from the gomex across fl to offshore
the SE us seaboard Thu through Fri as weak surface wave slides e
into fl then "jumps" into the developing baroclinic zone offshore
ga and the carolinas by Fri night. Coastal shower threat wed-wed
night, followed by increasing clouds and rain chances, especially
thu night-fri.

Below normal maxes Wed (u60s north u70s south) with large range in
mins (u50s nw-l70s se) Wed night. Warmer Thu (u70s-l80s) with mild
mins in the 60s. For fri, maxes ~70f north to ~80f south, turning
cooler again Fri night (50s to near 60f) in brisk NW flow behind the
developing coastal gale storm.

Weekend... Mid-upper low near or just offshore nofl Sat morning will
lift slowly NE along-offshore the SE seaboard sun, then out to sea
sun night. System will become vertically stacked as the mid-upper
low captures the deepening coastal storm as it too lifts slowly ne
and out to sea. This produces a prolonged period of nw-n flow with
minimal to nil rain chances (confined to near the coast) with dry
wx and below normal temps (70s 50s with l60s along the coast).

Monday-Tuesday... Yet another amplifying northern stream trough
appears poised to impact the SE CONUS fl early next week, although
not surprisingly, global model differences become more significant
out at that time frame. There is broad agreement in lowering of
pressures near fl, along with increasing rain chances by tue.

Temps look to remain slightly below normal to start off next week.

Aviation
Patchy shallow mist fog has been rolling over a few airfields this
morning producing lifr ifr visibility reductions but not low
ceilings for short periods of time. Have included tempo groups and
mifg at impacted terminals. Any lingering fog will dissipate after
sunrise withVFR conditions to prevail through at least Tuesday
night. This morning mostly dry before isolated to scattered showers
develop mostly along the coast, even then the chances are low so
have not included vcsh at any of the coastal terminals. By late
afternoon into the evening a cold front will approach the area,
expect an increase in shower chance from kism kmco-ktix northward. A
surge of north winds on the leading edge of the front begin pushing
into our area after 13 00z.

Marine
Today... One more day of favorable boating conditions before a cold
front moves through the area tonight. Expect west winds around 10
knots and seas 3-4 feet through sunset. Rain chances are higher
today with scattered showers forecast over the waters.

Tonight... A surge of north winds sustained at 20-25 knots move into
the volusia waters after sunset as seas quickly build to 7-9 feet
nearshore and up to 12 feet offshore overnight. Hazardous boating
conditions will continue moving south overnight, reaching jupiter
inlet by early Wednesday morning. A gale warning has been issued
from flagler beach to the CAPE where sustained winds are forecast
near 30 knots with frequent gusts over 35 knots. Elsewhere, expect
sustained 20-25 knots with gusts to 30-34 knots.

Wednesday-Saturday... Strong SCA near gale conditions continue
through the day on wed, before winds veer and weaken starting wed
night as a weak inverted coastal trough develops. Winds quickly veer
to SE and then SW ahead of the developing low near fl Thu night-fri,
then shift to NW and increase significantly from late Fri thru sat.

Sca headlines will very likely be needed once again by that time.

Fire weather
While rh values will remain well above critical levels. High
dispersion is forecast the next two afternoons, with very
strong gusty surface and transport layer winds expected wed.

Hydrology
The saint johns river at astor is currently in minor flood stage
with the river level around 2.65 feet. An approaching cold front is
expected to bring a surge of north winds that will back water up the
saint johns river basin, likely resulting in additional rises of the
river level at astor. There is a chance that the river level might
reach moderate flood stage at astor, which is 3.00 feet. This could
occur if winds are strong enough and if higher than normal tides
prevent discharge at the mouth of the saint johns river. Please see
the river flood statements issued by our office for more information
on the river forecast at astor.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 84 57 69 63 30 60 20 30
mco 85 57 70 63 10 30 10 10
mlb 85 66 74 69 20 40 40 30
vrb 85 66 76 69 20 40 50 40
lee 84 52 69 60 30 20 0 10
sfb 85 56 69 62 20 40 10 10
orl 85 56 69 63 10 30 10 10
fpr 85 67 77 70 20 30 50 40

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Gale warning from 7 pm this evening to 10 am est Wednesday for
flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 0-20 nm-
flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm.

Small craft advisory from 10 pm this evening to 7 pm est
Wednesday for volusia-brevard county line to sebastian
inlet 0-20 nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian
inlet 20-60 nm.

Small craft advisory from 1 am to 7 pm est Wednesday for
sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 0-20 nm-sebastian inlet to
jupiter inlet 20-60 nm.

Short term aviation... Rodriguez
long term... .Cristaldi


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 21 mi52 min 78°F3 ft
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 45 mi52 min W 2.9 G 5.1 72°F 81°F1015.3 hPa
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 75 mi82 min E 7 G 8 76°F 1014.8 hPa (-1.6)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL5 mi27 minN 0 mi70°F66°F88%1014.9 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL19 mi29 minN 010.00 miOvercast67°F64°F91%1014.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUA

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE6E4E6E5E7E7E10E10E10--E9E8SE84CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoNE7NE7NE6NE7NE7NE10NE9NE9NE9E10E9E9E8NE8NE5NE10E6E10E9E10E8E8E7E4
2 days agoN5N11
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Tide / Current Tables for Jensen Beach, Indian River, Florida
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Jensen Beach
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:37 AM EST     0.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:33 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:38 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:37 AM EST     Full Moon
Tue -- 10:30 AM EST     1.45 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:05 PM EST     0.55 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:30 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 05:54 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:32 PM EST     1.36 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.10.90.60.40.30.30.40.711.31.41.41.31.210.80.60.50.60.811.21.31.3

Tide / Current Tables for South Fork, St. Lucie River, Florida
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South Fork
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:05 AM EST     0.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:33 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:38 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:37 AM EST     Full Moon
Tue -- 10:45 AM EST     1.32 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:31 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 05:33 PM EST     0.55 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:54 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:47 PM EST     1.23 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.10.90.70.50.30.30.30.50.81.11.31.31.31.110.80.60.60.60.70.91.11.21.2

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.