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Marine Weather and Tides Lake Sarasota, FL Version 3.4

NOTICE 8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it. 8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue. 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 7:19AM

Sunset 6:00PM

Sunday January 17, 2021 4:20 AM EST (09:20 UTC)

Moonrise 10:36AM

Moonset 10:27PM

Illumination 16%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Sarasota, FL

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Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 170712 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 212 AM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

DISCUSSION. Colder air has arrived overnight as building high pressure helps to drive in cooler/drier air. This morning, lows will bottom out near the freezing mark across Levy county, low mid 30s across the remainder of the Nature Coast, with 40s elsewhere across West Central and Southwest FL. A Frost Advisory remains in effect for inland Levy county through 10am. Patchy frost is possible across elsewhere from Hernando county northward. Elsewhere across West Central FL, our temperatures at sunrise will be dependent in part by the cloud cover that is ongoing. The stratus deck we see can be explained from the 00Z RAOB from our office sampled of a very dry/warm air above 850mb. Beneath this inversion is a moist layer, hence the persistent overcast layer around 4-4.5 thousand feet. Not everyone is experiencing these clouds of course, and cloud free locations can expect to see cooler morning temps and warmer afternoon highs. Nevertheless, high temperatures have been kept a couple degrees below most guidance to account for what these lower clouds may have on daytime surface heating..

High pressure builds into the area . Meanwhile another shortwave trough will dig south across the Tennessee Valley tonight into tomorrow morning. This will reinforce the cool/dry air across the region with PWATs remaining less than 0.5 inches and temps below normal through Tuesday. Expect the coolest weather to come Tuesday morning as lows dip into the 30s north of I-4 and low/mid 40s everywhere else. Unfortunately (or fortunately depending on what your preference is), weak ridging will prevail by mid week, and temperatures will steadily climb to well above average with highs in the mid/upper 70s. The addition of low-level moisture will eventually result in lows only getting down to the mid/upper 50s through the weekend. On the plus side, the rain free conditions are expected through next Sunday.

Most recent long range deterministic guidance shows dry cold front moving through out of the north on Saturday. At the moment this does not look to be much of a colder airmass . However, slightly drier air will filter into the air and drop dewpoints back into the 50s.

AVIATION. (Valid 06Z) Relatively light westerly winds 7 knots or less are expected through the period. Prevailing VFR BKN/OVC stratus deck between 035-050 will hang around all terminals. Periods of MVFR ceilings cannot be ruled out especially later in the TAF period, but confidence in this precludes any mention of lower flight categories at this time.

MARINE. Winds continue to weaken overnight as the pressure gradient slackens. However, seas are slower to decrease with less than ideal conditions persisting today. High pressure builds into our north by Tuesday with winds shifting out of the east. Winds will be elevated, but will likely not warrant any headlines through late week.

FIRE WEATHER. Main concern today will be low afternoon dispersions. RH values are expected to drop below 35% across the Nature Coast tomorrow, and below critical levels across much West Central and Southwest FL on Tuesday. Winds, will be low enough to preclude any Red Flag conditions, however. No rain is forecast across the area for the next 5 days with cool and dry conditions persisting through mid week before a gradual warming trend into the weekend.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 61 53 66 44 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 66 55 70 46 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 62 49 67 42 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 63 54 67 44 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 61 46 64 36 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 62 55 64 48 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk through this evening for Coastal Charlotte- Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Frost Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for Inland Levy.

Gulf waters . None.

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER . 42/Norman DECISION SUPPORT . 18/Fleming

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
VENF1 - Venice, FL	18 mi	80 min	WNW 8 G 8.9	61°F	62°F		1016.5 hPa (-1.0)	48°F
PMAF1	26 mi	50 min		59°F	61°F		1016.4 hPa
MTBF1	28 mi	50 min	N 5.1 G 7	59°F			1016.2 hPa	45°F
GCTF1	34 mi	50 min		59°F				44°F
CLBF1	35 mi	86 min	NW 1 G 1.9	60°F			1015.9 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL	35 mi	50 min	NW 1.9 G 5.1	59°F	62°F		1016.6 hPa
42098	38 mi	24 min			62°F	5 ft
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL	40 mi	50 min	WNW 8 G 8.9	60°F	62°F		1016.5 hPa
EBEF1	43 mi	50 min		58°F	63°F		1016 hPa
SKCF1	43 mi	56 min	WNW 5.8 G 7.8
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL	43 mi	62 min	NNW 1.9 G 2.9

Wind History for C-Cut, FL

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Last 24hr

1 day ago

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL	14 mi	27 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Overcast	60°F	46°F	60%	1015.7 hPa
Venice Municipal Airport, FL	18 mi	25 min	WNW 7	6.00 mi	Overcast with Haze	61°F	46°F	59%	1016.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSRQ

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Sarasota, Sarasota Bay, Florida (2)

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Tide / Current Tables for Sarasota, Sarasota Bay, Florida

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Ground Weather Radar Station

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Gulf Stream Current

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