Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for River Park, FL

DISCUSSION
Issued at 231 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025

Current-Tonight... A weak pulse of low level vorticity combined with daytime heating has allowed isolated showers to develop in vicinity of I-4 early this afternoon. Eastward moving shower activity should stay north of a line form Melbourne to Lake Kissimmee, with no mentionable precip chances to the south. Sounding profiles look to remain capped, and there is low confidence for any lightning development. Temperatures have quickly climbed, already reaching the low to mid 80s area wide, and afternoon highs are forecast to peak in the mid to upper 80s. A High risk of rip currents continues at all local Atlantic Beaches.

Wednesday-Thursday... Mid/ upper level troughing across the southeast is gradually pushed eastward as ridging begins to build across the western Gulf. Model soundings suggest a dry air column through the period and no precip is expected. Increasing temperatures become the main weather story through the mid term.
Afternoon highs climb into the mid to upper 80s Wednesday before spreading the upper 80s to low 90s on Thursday. Any relief from the east coast sea breeze will be largely limited due to light westerly flow. Morning low temperatures in the 60s Wednesday morning warm a few degrees into Thursday morning.

Friday-Monday... Ridging aloft slides eastward before becoming stationary across the central Gulf. This will continue to promote a period of hot and dry conditions through the extended forecast with no mentionable rain chances. Highs in the low to mid 90s on Friday climb to spread the mid to upper 90s Saturday and into early next week. Some climate sites may approach daily record values this weekend. A Moderate Heat Risk is expected to build into the weekend with peak heat index values forecast to reach 100 degrees.
This level of heat affects most individuals sensitive to heat and prolonged sun exposure, especially without adequate hydration or cooling. Muggy morning temperatures are forecast, mostly ranging the upper 60s and low 70s.

MARINE
Issued at 231 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025

Tonight-Saturday... Building high pressure will promote favorable boating conditions through late week. Light west winds around 10 kts or less shift onshore as the sea breeze develops each afternoon.
Seas 2-3 ft. Isolated to scattered showers will be possible through tonight. Otherwise, dry with no mentionable precip through the rest of the week.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 120 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025

Recent rains promoted patchy dense fog and low stratus earlier this morning, which has since burned off around mid-morning.
Overall drier conditions, but residual moisture, surface heating and energy aloft have afforded WDLY SCT (low-topped) shower development across WCFL early this afternoon. Activity will progress eastward and push off of the ECFL coast if it holds together. For TAF purposes, will handle with "Vicinity" wording and TEMPO groups as necessary. Main impacts will be brief downpours. ISOLD MVFR conds could result surrounding convection.
SW/WSW winds 8-12kts will back SE/ESE at the immediate Space/Treasure coasts this afternoon as the sea breeze develops.
Winds quickly drop back to light this evening as diurnal convection also diminishes. Models not picking up, again, on any fog/low stratus overnight, but will monitor if trends dictate otherwise.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 65 87 67 91 / 0 10 0 0 MCO 68 87 68 92 / 0 10 0 0 MLB 68 86 69 89 / 10 10 0 0 VRB 66 86 68 89 / 10 0 0 0 LEE 68 88 68 92 / 0 10 0 0 SFB 67 89 68 94 / 0 10 0 0 ORL 68 89 69 93 / 0 10 0 0 FPR 65 86 67 89 / 10 0 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.