Tuesday, December10, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Cortez, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:08AMSunset 5:37PM Tuesday December 10, 2019 11:14 PM EST (04:14 UTC) Moonrise 4:40PMMoonset 5:30AM Illumination 99% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 826 Pm Est Tue Dec 10 2019
Rest of tonight..Southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. A slight chance of showers until early morning. A chance of showers toward morning. Patchy sea fog after midnight. Areas of fog toward morning.
Wednesday..East winds around 5 knots then becoming north around 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers in the morning, then a slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds around 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. A slight chance of showers early in the evening.
Thursday..Northeast winds around 20 knots diminishing to around 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thursday night..East winds around 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Friday..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Saturday..West winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers in the morning, then a slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 826 Pm Est Tue Dec 10 2019
Synopsis.. A cold front will move into the northern waters on Wednesday, and then into the central waters Wednesday night where it will stall out through Thursday. The potential exists tonight for sea fog, which may eventually extend south to the mouth of tampa bay. SEa fog may persist through Wednesday morning over the cooler northern shelf waters. As the front moves into the area increasing northeast winds and seas are expected, with a period of cautionary or near advisory level conditions possible Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning, especially across the central and northern waters.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cortez, FL
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location: 27.48, -82.69     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 110026 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 726 PM EST Tue Dec 10 2019

UPDATE. The forecast for tonight and tomorrow can be summed up in one word: messy. By far, the biggest concern is for fog. Ahead of an advancing cold front, the air is very close to saturation. Areas of fog are expected to develop across most, if not all, of the region in the overnight hours. The potential does exist for dense fog, but certainty is not high enough yet to mention. This will be assessed overnight and through the early hours of tomorrow.

In addition to the fog, low clouds and rain showers will be intermingled. Ascent along and ahead of the cold front is not particularly good, but good enough to support at least some shallow shower activity. In fact, a few showers are currently underway across portions of the interior. These showers are weak and will likely be brief. Additional showers that form will likely exhibit the same characteristics.

Low clouds will likely hang around for much of the day, and the front will also help to usher in additional unsettled weather lasting into the weekend. Minor tweaks to POPs have been made for the next couple hours, and the forecast has been updated to reflect a higher likelihood for more fog. Otherwise, the forecast remains on track and no additional changes have been made.

AVIATION. Conditions will quickly drop from VFR to MVFR to temporary periods of IFR overnight, but timing is still somewhat uncertain. Ceilings and visibility will remain low through the morning hours, with only a slow and gradual improvement throughout most of the day. Light and variable winds will give way to eventual north winds late in the forecast period.

MARINE. Showers and the potential for sea fog exist tonight across much of the coastal waters as a front approaches. Behind the front, a north wind will begin to increase, bringing winds up to cautionary/advisory criteria by tomorrow night.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 69 78 62 79 / 30 30 10 20 FMY 68 84 66 83 / 20 40 30 30 GIF 67 78 61 78 / 30 30 20 40 SRQ 68 81 64 81 / 30 30 10 20 BKV 62 75 59 77 / 30 30 10 20 SPG 69 76 64 76 / 30 30 10 20

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. Gulf waters . None.

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE . Flannery UPPER AIR . Davis DECISION SUPPORT . Davis


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PMAF1 13 mi57 min 73°F 69°F1019.8 hPa
MTBF1 14 mi63 min S 2.9 G 4.1 70°F 1019.9 hPa68°F
42098 15 mi45 min 70°F2 ft
CLBF1 18 mi81 min S 1.9 G 4.1 73°F 1019.2 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 20 mi57 min SW 1.9 G 4.1 73°F 68°F1020.1 hPa
GCTF1 22 mi63 min 71°F 1019.8 hPa69°F
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 25 mi105 min S 5.8 G 7.8 73°F1019.6 hPa
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 27 mi63 min SSW 4.1 G 6 72°F 69°F1019.9 hPa
VENF1 - Venice, FL 31 mi75 min S 5.1 G 5.1 73°F 70°F1019.8 hPa (+1.0)73°F
MCYF1 33 mi57 min 72°F
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 34 mi63 min SSE 1.9 G 2.9
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 35 mi63 min S 8.9 G 9.9 72°F 71°F1020 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 47 mi81 min SSW 7 G 8 71°F 1020.5 hPa

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL9 mi22 minS 510.00 miA Few Clouds74°F72°F94%1019.3 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL20 mi22 minSW 410.00 miA Few Clouds73°F70°F90%1019.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSRQ

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE6E4E4NE3CalmE4E4E4E4SE9SE10S11S12S14S14
G23
S13S14S11S9S8S7S5SW6S5
1 day agoSE8SE5E4SE4E5E4SE5E5SE6SE8SE10S7S10S12S10SW10SW11S8S6S3CalmCalmCalmE3
2 days agoNE4E5E5E5E5E5E6E5E6E7E10E8SE7SE9W7W8W5W4CalmCalmNE3NE3E5SE8

Tide / Current Tables for Cortez, Sarasota Bay, Florida
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Cortez
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:29 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 05:41 AM EST     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:09 PM EST     1.38 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:37 PM EST     1.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:40 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:52 PM EST     2.17 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.20.80.3-0-0.3-0.3-0.10.30.711.31.41.41.31.21.11.11.31.61.92.12.22.1

Tide / Current Tables for Tampa Bay Entrance, Florida Current
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Tampa Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:03 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:03 AM EST     -2.71 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:30 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:18 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 11:13 AM EST     1.52 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 02:45 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:21 PM EST     -0.38 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 04:40 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:05 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 09:50 PM EST     1.30 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.1-0.9-1.8-2.5-2.7-2.5-2-1.2-0.30.61.21.51.410.4-0.1-0.4-0.3-00.40.91.21.31.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.