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GMZ873 Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 To 60 Nm- 840 Pm Est Fri Dec 8 2023
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Saturday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet.
Sunday..South winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers in the afternoon.
Sunday night..West winds 20 to 25 knots, becoming north 25 to 30 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet, building to 6 to 9 feet, occasionally to 11 feet after midnight. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..North winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet, occasionally to 11 feet.
Monday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 840 Pm Est Fri Dec 8 2023
Synopsis.. High pressure to move further into the western atlantic keeping southeast winds over the E gulf waters tonight through Saturday. A strong cold front will move through the area Sunday into Sunday night with southwest winds and seas increasing ahead of a line of showers and Thunderstorms. Strong high pressure will quickly build into the region with very strong nw winds and hazardous elevated seas Sunday night through Monday. Small craft should remain in port until conditions improve Tuesday.

FXUS62 KTBW 090733 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 233 AM EST Sat Dec 9 2023

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Early morning IR satellite and radar imagery are showing upper level clouds and showers over Florida associated with a weak shortwave trough passing through the southeastern US while a deep longwave trough builds into the Central Plains and Mississippi River Valley.
This longwave trough will continue to dig into the southeastern CONUS through the rest of the weekend, dragging a cold front into the Florida Peninsula late Sunday and into Sunday night. Ahead of this front, southeasterly flow will allow for temperatures and dew points to build today and into early Sunday, with highs topping out in the low to mid 80s this afternoon. With the building surface moisture, some patchy fog will be possible Sunday morning, although wind speeds will be too high for widespread fog. Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms are then forecast to develop along and ahead of the front Sunday afternoon and evening. With moderate low level shear and lapse rates, a few strong or damaging storms cannot be completely ruled out, with the highest chances over the Nature Coast where dynamics are more favorable.

Behind the front, cooler and drier air will fill in Monday and Tuesday, with morning lows dropping into the upper 30s and low 40s over the Nature Coast and mid 40s to low 50s to the south.
Temperatures will moderate again Tuesday through the rest of the week as High pressure builds in to the north of Florida. During the second half of the week, the frontal boundary will back up into southern Florida as a warm front, allowing for slight chances of showers each day, mainly south of Interstate 4.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Mainly VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours. The possible exception will be a chance for some patchy shallow fog around sunrise this morning, but chances are too low to mention in the TAFs at this time.

MARINE
Southerly and southeasterly winds will continue today and tonight as high pressure holds east of Florida, with wind speeds remaining around 15 knots of less. An approaching cold front will bring thunderstorms into the waters Sunday and Sunday night, with winds increasing ahead of the front Sunday, then turning to northwesterly behind the front late Sunday and Sunday night. Winds and seas will build to Small Craft Advisory levels late Sunday before subsiding slightly on Monday, although winds will continue approach Advisory levels at times through the middle of next week.

FIRE WEATHER
No humidity concerns. A few patches of fog will be possible each of the next couple of mornings.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 81 67 79 53 / 0 0 60 60 FMY 83 65 82 60 / 0 0 20 40 GIF 81 64 82 51 / 10 0 40 60 SRQ 82 64 79 52 / 0 0 50 50 BKV 83 62 81 46 / 10 10 60 60 SPG 78 67 76 54 / 0 0 60 60

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Egmont Key
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Sat -- 03:23 AM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:49 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:23 AM EST     1.27 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:20 PM EST     1.03 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:07 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:10 PM EST     1.95 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Egmont Key, Egmont Channel, Tampa Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Tampa Bay Entrance
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Sat -- 02:54 AM EST     -2.15 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 03:49 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:14 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 09:56 AM EST     1.08 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 01:11 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:57 PM EST     -0.36 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 03:07 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 04:49 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:39 PM EST     1.19 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 11:20 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Tampa Bay Entrance, Florida Current, knots

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