Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Vero Beach, FL
September 23, 2023 10:38 AM EDT (14:38 UTC)
Sunrise 7:09AM Sunset 7:18PM Moonrise 2:17PM Moonset 12:00AM
AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 1006 Am Edt Sat Sep 23 2023
.small craft advisory in effect until 4 pm edt this afternoon...
This afternoon..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas to 10 feet. A dominant period 11 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 7 feet. A dominant period 10 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. A chance of showers. A chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Showers likely. Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Monday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
.small craft advisory in effect until 4 pm edt this afternoon...
This afternoon..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas to 10 feet. A dominant period 11 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 7 feet. A dominant period 10 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. A chance of showers. A chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Showers likely. Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Monday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1006 Am Edt Sat Sep 23 2023
Synopsis..Tropical storm ophelia made landfall along the north carolina coast early this morning. Seas start to subside late this evening, but hazardous boating conditions remain through much of the day. Boating conditions will improve late weekend into early next week as high pressure across the atlantic basin builds weakly across florida, though shower and storm chances will increase.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas up to 8 to 10 feet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Saturday, september 23rd.
51 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 38 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 32 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 22 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 14 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
Synopsis..Tropical storm ophelia made landfall along the north carolina coast early this morning. Seas start to subside late this evening, but hazardous boating conditions remain through much of the day. Boating conditions will improve late weekend into early next week as high pressure across the atlantic basin builds weakly across florida, though shower and storm chances will increase.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas up to 8 to 10 feet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Saturday, september 23rd.
51 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 38 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 32 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 22 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 14 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
(on/off) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KMLB 230845 AFDMLB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 445 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023
New DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, AVIATION, HYDROLOGY
DISCUSSION
Issued at 445 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023
High Risk of Rip Currents Continues at Area Beaches Today
Currently...Dry and more fall-like out there this morning, at least by Florida standards. Dewpoints in the 60s are making it feel more comfortable and this combined with light winds and clear skies are allowing temps to fall into the mid to upper 60s, with some low 60s already occurring NW of I-4. At Orlando International Airport the temperature has fallen to 69 degrees this morning, which is the first time below 70 degrees at this site since June 6th!
Today-Tonight...Northerly flow to the west of TS Ophelia, which is nearing the North Carolina coast early this morning, has ushered in a much drier airmass across central FL. GOES TPW imagery shows PW values of around 1 inch or less from Brevard and Osceola counties northward, and up to 1.3-1.4 inches across the southern Treasure Coast. This drier air will keep rain chances out of the forecast for much of the area today, except across southern portions of Okeechobee County and the Treasure Coast where isolated showers and a storm or two may still be possible this afternoon (Rain chances around 20-30 percent).
High pressure then nudges in north of the area behind landfalling Ophelia today, with winds becoming onshore across the area later today into tonight. Additionally, flow above 850mb becomes more southerly in response to a mid level cut off low developing over the southeast Gulf, which will allow deeper moisture south of the area to slowly shift back northward into tonight. This will increase rain chances, up to 30-50 percent along the Treasure Coast, where low level onshore winds may be able to transport scattered showers onshore, with isolated thunderstorm development also possible.
Skies will be mostly to partly sunny today, with highs reaching the mid to upper 80s. Developing onshore flow tonight will not allow temps to fall quite as low as this morning's min temps, with lows forecast in the upper 60s to low 70s for much of the area, except mid 60s NW of I-4.
Sunday-Tuesday...Rain chances gradually increase on Sunday but generally ramp up Monday and Tuesday. Moisture will be on an upward trend, with 1.6" to 1.8" PW Sunday, increasing to 2.0" and higher into the first half of the week. Low-level winds are modeled to be rather weak, so storm-scale boundary collisions and outflow boundaries will likely dictate storm motions. Rain and storm chances will be maximized during the afternoon and early evening hours, especially along the east coast sea breeze as it advances inland each day. Slightly more upper level wind support moves into place Tuesday and Wednesday for organized convection. However, 500mb temperatures will remain marginal and steady state, between -6C and -8C during this timeframe. As is routinely advertised, storm threats will primarily include gusty winds, lightning strikes, and localized heavy rainfall.
High temperatures are forecast to be near normal values for late September, with lows in the upper 60s/mid 70s Sunday and Monday, warming to the 70s across much of the area Tuesday and Wednesday.
Wednesday-Friday...High pressure over the Bahamas will slide east Wednesday into late week with modest 500mb height falls over the eastern CONUS. The GFS is slightly more aggressive with troughing over the eastern U.S. Thursday and Friday, as compared to the EURO solutions. Either way, it looks to remain a convectively active pattern through the week with a frontal boundary stalled across the Florida Peninsula Wednesday and Thursday. This feature is forecast to move south of the local area Friday as northeasterly winds increase, due to a tightening pressure gradient.
High temperatures will remain near normal through week's end but could hold in the mid to upper 80s each day, due to increased cloud cover and associated rain chances. What will be most noticeable is the increase in humidity all week, making conditions feel very summerlike once again.
MARINE
Issued at 445 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023
Today-Tonight...Winds have diminished to around 5-10 knots over the waters out of the N/NE, and will veer to the E/NE this afternoon and tonight. However, hazardous seas up to 5-7 feet nearshore and up to 7-9 feet offshore linger across the waters this morning. A Small Craft Advisory continues for the entire coastal waters through mid afternoon. Seas will be gradually subsiding through the day, which will allow the SCA over the nearshore waters to drop by 4PM, and for the offshore waters by 8PM this evening. Seas of 4-6 feet across the waters by late this evening will then fall to 3-5 feet by late tonight.
Drier airmass across the area will largely keep rain chances out of the forecast for much of the area, except south of Sebastian Inlet where showers and isolated storms will still be possible, especially this afternoon and into tonight as moisture gradually increases back northward overnight.
Sunday-Wednesday...Onshore winds are forecast daily through the period, reaching 10-12 kt each afternoon. Expect a developing east coast sea breeze with rain chances gradually increasing over the local waters each day, especially Tuesday and Wednesday. Seas generally 2-3 ft, up to 4 ft over the Gulf Stream Sunday and again late Wednesday.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 445 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023
Min RH values will fall as low as the mid to upper 30s along and NW of I-4 this afternoon due to the drier airmass across the area.
However, winds will be relatively light around 5-10 mph, initially out of north this morning and then becoming N/NE this afternoon.
Onshore flow will then gradually lead to an increase of moisture, as well as shower and thunderstorm chances, with Min RH values then forecast to remain above critical levels Sunday and into next week.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 445 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023
Drier airmass across the area will keep conditions VFR for much of the area today into tonight. Low end rain chances linger near to south of KFPR today, and will increase gradually from the south northward overnight as moisture increases. Isolated to scattered showers may be able to develop this afternoon into tonight, especially along the Treasure Coast overnight, with isolated storms also possible. For now only have VCSH in the TAFs for KFPR/KSUA, and VCTS between 18-22Z for KSUA into this afternoon.
Light northerly winds this morning will veer to the E/NE through the afternoon, with speeds up to 8-10 knots.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 445 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023
The Saint Johns River at Astor continues to oscillate around Action Stage of 2.0ft this morning and may continue to linger around this level through this afternoon before gradually falling and remaining below Action Stage tonight into Sunday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 85 68 86 73 / 0 0 10 20 MCO 88 70 90 73 / 0 0 30 20 MLB 86 73 87 74 / 0 20 50 40 VRB 87 71 87 73 / 10 30 60 40 LEE 88 68 90 71 / 0 0 10 10 SFB 88 68 89 71 / 0 0 20 10 ORL 88 71 90 73 / 0 0 20 20 FPR 86 72 86 74 / 20 30 60 40
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for AMZ550- 552-555.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for AMZ570-572- 575.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 445 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023
New DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, AVIATION, HYDROLOGY
DISCUSSION
Issued at 445 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023
High Risk of Rip Currents Continues at Area Beaches Today
Currently...Dry and more fall-like out there this morning, at least by Florida standards. Dewpoints in the 60s are making it feel more comfortable and this combined with light winds and clear skies are allowing temps to fall into the mid to upper 60s, with some low 60s already occurring NW of I-4. At Orlando International Airport the temperature has fallen to 69 degrees this morning, which is the first time below 70 degrees at this site since June 6th!
Today-Tonight...Northerly flow to the west of TS Ophelia, which is nearing the North Carolina coast early this morning, has ushered in a much drier airmass across central FL. GOES TPW imagery shows PW values of around 1 inch or less from Brevard and Osceola counties northward, and up to 1.3-1.4 inches across the southern Treasure Coast. This drier air will keep rain chances out of the forecast for much of the area today, except across southern portions of Okeechobee County and the Treasure Coast where isolated showers and a storm or two may still be possible this afternoon (Rain chances around 20-30 percent).
High pressure then nudges in north of the area behind landfalling Ophelia today, with winds becoming onshore across the area later today into tonight. Additionally, flow above 850mb becomes more southerly in response to a mid level cut off low developing over the southeast Gulf, which will allow deeper moisture south of the area to slowly shift back northward into tonight. This will increase rain chances, up to 30-50 percent along the Treasure Coast, where low level onshore winds may be able to transport scattered showers onshore, with isolated thunderstorm development also possible.
Skies will be mostly to partly sunny today, with highs reaching the mid to upper 80s. Developing onshore flow tonight will not allow temps to fall quite as low as this morning's min temps, with lows forecast in the upper 60s to low 70s for much of the area, except mid 60s NW of I-4.
Sunday-Tuesday...Rain chances gradually increase on Sunday but generally ramp up Monday and Tuesday. Moisture will be on an upward trend, with 1.6" to 1.8" PW Sunday, increasing to 2.0" and higher into the first half of the week. Low-level winds are modeled to be rather weak, so storm-scale boundary collisions and outflow boundaries will likely dictate storm motions. Rain and storm chances will be maximized during the afternoon and early evening hours, especially along the east coast sea breeze as it advances inland each day. Slightly more upper level wind support moves into place Tuesday and Wednesday for organized convection. However, 500mb temperatures will remain marginal and steady state, between -6C and -8C during this timeframe. As is routinely advertised, storm threats will primarily include gusty winds, lightning strikes, and localized heavy rainfall.
High temperatures are forecast to be near normal values for late September, with lows in the upper 60s/mid 70s Sunday and Monday, warming to the 70s across much of the area Tuesday and Wednesday.
Wednesday-Friday...High pressure over the Bahamas will slide east Wednesday into late week with modest 500mb height falls over the eastern CONUS. The GFS is slightly more aggressive with troughing over the eastern U.S. Thursday and Friday, as compared to the EURO solutions. Either way, it looks to remain a convectively active pattern through the week with a frontal boundary stalled across the Florida Peninsula Wednesday and Thursday. This feature is forecast to move south of the local area Friday as northeasterly winds increase, due to a tightening pressure gradient.
High temperatures will remain near normal through week's end but could hold in the mid to upper 80s each day, due to increased cloud cover and associated rain chances. What will be most noticeable is the increase in humidity all week, making conditions feel very summerlike once again.
MARINE
Issued at 445 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023
Today-Tonight...Winds have diminished to around 5-10 knots over the waters out of the N/NE, and will veer to the E/NE this afternoon and tonight. However, hazardous seas up to 5-7 feet nearshore and up to 7-9 feet offshore linger across the waters this morning. A Small Craft Advisory continues for the entire coastal waters through mid afternoon. Seas will be gradually subsiding through the day, which will allow the SCA over the nearshore waters to drop by 4PM, and for the offshore waters by 8PM this evening. Seas of 4-6 feet across the waters by late this evening will then fall to 3-5 feet by late tonight.
Drier airmass across the area will largely keep rain chances out of the forecast for much of the area, except south of Sebastian Inlet where showers and isolated storms will still be possible, especially this afternoon and into tonight as moisture gradually increases back northward overnight.
Sunday-Wednesday...Onshore winds are forecast daily through the period, reaching 10-12 kt each afternoon. Expect a developing east coast sea breeze with rain chances gradually increasing over the local waters each day, especially Tuesday and Wednesday. Seas generally 2-3 ft, up to 4 ft over the Gulf Stream Sunday and again late Wednesday.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 445 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023
Min RH values will fall as low as the mid to upper 30s along and NW of I-4 this afternoon due to the drier airmass across the area.
However, winds will be relatively light around 5-10 mph, initially out of north this morning and then becoming N/NE this afternoon.
Onshore flow will then gradually lead to an increase of moisture, as well as shower and thunderstorm chances, with Min RH values then forecast to remain above critical levels Sunday and into next week.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 445 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023
Drier airmass across the area will keep conditions VFR for much of the area today into tonight. Low end rain chances linger near to south of KFPR today, and will increase gradually from the south northward overnight as moisture increases. Isolated to scattered showers may be able to develop this afternoon into tonight, especially along the Treasure Coast overnight, with isolated storms also possible. For now only have VCSH in the TAFs for KFPR/KSUA, and VCTS between 18-22Z for KSUA into this afternoon.
Light northerly winds this morning will veer to the E/NE through the afternoon, with speeds up to 8-10 knots.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 445 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023
The Saint Johns River at Astor continues to oscillate around Action Stage of 2.0ft this morning and may continue to linger around this level through this afternoon before gradually falling and remaining below Action Stage tonight into Sunday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 85 68 86 73 / 0 0 10 20 MCO 88 70 90 73 / 0 0 30 20 MLB 86 73 87 74 / 0 20 50 40 VRB 87 71 87 73 / 10 30 60 40 LEE 88 68 90 71 / 0 0 10 10 SFB 88 68 89 71 / 0 0 20 10 ORL 88 71 90 73 / 0 0 20 20 FPR 86 72 86 74 / 20 30 60 40
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for AMZ550- 552-555.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for AMZ570-572- 575.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| 41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) | 11 mi | 42 min | 84°F | 6 ft | ||||
| SIPF1 | 14 mi | 38 min | 77°F | 83°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KVRB VERO BEACH RGNL,FL | 3 sm | 45 min | N 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 81°F | 64°F | 58% | 29.94 | |
| KFPR TREASURE COAST INTL,FL | 12 sm | 45 min | NNW 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 81°F | 66°F | 62% | 29.94 |
Wind History from VRB
(wind in knots)Vero Beach (ocean)
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:29 AM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 01:50 AM EDT 3.65 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:10 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 08:20 AM EDT 0.83 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:57 PM EDT 3.83 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:16 PM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 07:16 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 09:05 PM EDT 1.40 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:29 AM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 01:50 AM EDT 3.65 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:10 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 08:20 AM EDT 0.83 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:57 PM EDT 3.83 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:16 PM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 07:16 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 09:05 PM EDT 1.40 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Vero Beach (ocean), Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.2 |
| 1 am |
| 3.5 |
| 2 am |
| 3.6 |
| 3 am |
| 3.4 |
| 4 am |
| 3 |
| 5 am |
| 2.3 |
| 6 am |
| 1.7 |
| 7 am |
| 1.1 |
| 8 am |
| 0.9 |
| 9 am |
| 0.9 |
| 10 am |
| 1.3 |
| 11 am |
| 1.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 7 pm |
| 2 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.9 |
Oslo
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:29 AM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 01:14 AM EDT -0.16 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:34 AM EDT 0.20 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:10 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 01:00 PM EDT -0.43 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:16 PM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 07:16 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 07:58 PM EDT 0.41 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:29 AM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 01:14 AM EDT -0.16 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:34 AM EDT 0.20 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:10 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 01:00 PM EDT -0.43 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:16 PM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 07:16 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 07:58 PM EDT 0.41 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Oslo, Indian River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| -0.1 |
| 1 am |
| -0.2 |
| 2 am |
| -0.1 |
| 3 am |
| -0.1 |
| 4 am |
| 0 |
| 5 am |
| 0.1 |
| 6 am |
| 0.2 |
| 7 am |
| 0.2 |
| 8 am |
| 0.1 |
| 9 am |
| 0 |
| 10 am |
| -0.1 |
| 11 am |
| -0.3 |
| 12 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 1 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 2 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 3 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 4 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.1 |
Melbourne, FL,
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