Sunrise 6:54 AM   Sunset 8:02 PM Moonrise 8:55 PM   Moonset 6:44 AM

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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 353 Pm Edt Thu Apr 25 2024
Tonight - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots late this evening, then becoming northeast after midnight, becoming southeast late. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Friday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Friday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters choppy. Saturday - East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Saturday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. Sunday - East winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters choppy. Sunday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Monday - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Monday night - North winds around 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Tuesday - East winds around 10 knots, becoming northeast in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 353 Pm Edt Thu Apr 25 2024
Synopsis - High pressure remains in control across the gulf waters through the period keeping minimal weather concerns. Easterly winds will become onshore each afternoon remaining below 15 knots with seas of around 2 feet or less through the end of the week. Then, the interaction between the ridge and a disturbance moving north of the area could bring cautionary level winds to the waters for the weekend.

FXUS62 KTBW 251919 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 319 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 318 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Broad upper-level ridging is building in from the west, pushing the surface ridge axis farther to the east. A light background ESE flow continues at the surface, with a westerly flow developing along the coast as the sea breeze propagates inland and moderates temperatures slightly. This largely benign weather is largely a continuation of what we have seen and what we largely will see.

There is very little appreciable change in the forecast for the next seven days, even as the synoptic pattern evolves. The ridge still to the west will continue propagating eastward and should amplify over the weekend directly over the peninsula. This favors a tighter gradient and a slight increase in wind speeds at the surface, potentially leading to elevated fire weather concerns and poor marine conditions late in the weekend and into early next week.
Overall, though, this should have little impact on our weather.

Warm and dry is the theme for the next week, even as the pattern flattens out towards Wednesday. There are some hints later in the forecast for enough low-level moisture and convergence to support a couple storms; but the synoptic pattern suggests strong subsidence, keeping that risk to less than 10%. As such, have opted to keep rain chances at 0% through the entire period. The next appreciable chance for any storms doesn't appear until the first weekend in May.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 318 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

No significant aviation concerns. Sea breeze development is occurring now along the coast, with a westward wind shift through the evening. Easterly flow dominates in the background and will prevail everywhere except the immediate coast during the late afternoon/evening each day.

MARINE
Issued at 318 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

No significant concerns into the weekend as overall light winds keep seas under two feet. As a stronger gradient settles in over the weekend, winds and seas are expected to increase, with poor marine conditions expected to linger into early next week.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 318 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Warm, dry weather continues as RH values continue to dip below critical thresholds each afternoon. However, winds remain light enough to preclude any significant red flag concerns at least until the weekend. While remaining warm and dry, winds are expected to increase Saturday and into Sunday, with some elevated fire weather concerns especially late in the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 67 87 68 86 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 66 87 66 88 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 63 86 65 85 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 65 87 66 89 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 58 87 61 86 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 70 85 71 86 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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St. Petersburg, Tampa Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa)
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Thu -- 02:29 AM EDT     1.12 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:07 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:13 AM EDT     -0.48 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 10:22 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 01:23 PM EDT     1.06 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 03:56 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:45 PM EDT     -1.49 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 08:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:54 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa), Florida Current, knots

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