Sunrise 6:38 AM   Sunset 8:32 PM Moonrise 3:12 AM   Moonset 5:48 PM

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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 841 Pm Edt Tue Jul 2 2024
Tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast late this evening and overnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms. Wednesday - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest around 5 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms. Isolated showers in the morning, then numerous showers in the afternoon. Wednesday night - Southwest winds around 5 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms. Numerous showers, mainly in the evening. Thursday - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Thursday night - Northwest winds around 5 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight. Friday - Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming northwest around 5 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Friday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Saturday - Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming west in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Saturday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight. Sunday - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 841 Pm Edt Tue Jul 2 2024
Synopsis - High pressure ridging through the center part of the state is producing a light south to southeast flow today, becoming more east- southeast on Wednesday and continuing through the rest of the week. Winds will be light, not exceeding 15 knots with wave heights 2 feet or less throughout the period. Scattered showers and storms can be expected daily through the week.

FXUS62 KTBW 022358 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 758 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 210 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

A weak frontal boundary remains stretched from west to east from the northeast Gulf of Mexico to Georgia. This boundary will remain to the north and weaken over the next 24 hours as broad surface high pressure south of Bermuda ridges westward across the central part of Florida and into the central Gulf of Mexico. This ridge of high pressure will be the dominant weather factor through mid-week keeping a predominant southeast wind flow over the region. Abundant moisture with PWAT values between 1.8 - 2.3 inches will persist through the forecast period. Scattered showers and storms will be possible today and tomorrow, developing over the southeast part of Florida and traversing northwestward each afternoon/evening as well as some west coast sea breeze developments. Nocturnal land breeze showers and storms can also be expected over the eastern gulf waters during the overnight hours. Daytime highs will top out in the low to mid 90's with heat indices reaching 100-107 degrees. Overnight lows will remain in the 70's.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 210 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

Throughout the next 3-7 days, high pressure to our north will begin to move southeast and become centered to the east-northeast of the state, dominating the overall weather pattern and establishing a predominantly east-southeast flow across our CWA This synoptic setup, combined with adequate moisture aloft, will be favorable for typical summertime scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon hours throughout most of the week. As we approach the weekend, a drier air mass will move across some northern and central parts of the state, which could slightly hinder thunderstorm development during that timeframe. Moisture is expected to return towards the latter half of the weekend though, and this will remain along with the established east-southeast flow to continue to support the development of scattered afternoon showers and storms heading into early next week.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 755 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

Most of the shower activity has diminished this evening with only an hour or two of VCTS needed at a few sites. Seabreeze storms will once again pop up tomorrow mainly in the late afternoon and evening hours. Winds will generally remain below 10 knots with VFR conditions outside of thunderstorms.

MARINE
Issued at 210 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

High pressure ridging through the center part of the state is producing a light south to southeast flow today, becoming more east- southeast on Wednesday and continuing through the rest of the week.
Winds will be light, not exceeding 15 knots with wave heights 2 feet or less throughout the period. Scattered showers and storms can be expected daily through the week.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 210 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

A typical summertime pattern continues over the area with abundant moisture, warm temperatures and light winds. Scattered showers and isolated storms expected each day through the end of the week and into the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 78 92 78 93 / 50 70 60 60 FMY 77 94 77 95 / 30 70 30 60 GIF 77 95 76 95 / 30 70 40 60 SRQ 78 92 77 94 / 40 70 50 60 BKV 75 93 75 95 / 50 70 50 60 SPG 80 92 82 94 / 50 70 60 60

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 1 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 2

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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St. Petersburg
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Tue -- 03:25 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:08 AM EDT     2.71 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:42 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:38 PM EDT     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

St. Petersburg, Florida (2) (expired 1995-12-31), Tide feet

Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa)
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:57 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 03:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:21 AM EDT     -0.13 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:46 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:18 AM EDT     0.84 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 12:15 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:33 PM EDT     -1.51 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:42 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:06 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa), Florida Current, knots

Full Color Weather Map

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Tampa Bay Area, FL,