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GMZ232 Expires:202312081000;;074822 Fzus54 Kcrp 072124 Cwfcrp
coastal waters forecast for texas national weather service corpus christi tx 324 pm cst Thu dec 7 2023
middle texas coastal waters from baffin bay to matagorda ship channel out to 60 nautical miles. Seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves...along with occasional height of the average highest 10 percent of the waves.
gmz231-232-081000- baffin bay and upper laguna madre-corpus christi and nueces bays- 324 pm cst Thu dec 7 2023
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Friday..South winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Friday night..South winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Saturday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Patchy fog in the morning.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots, becoming north 25 to 30 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters rough to occasionally very rough. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Sunday..North winds 20 to 25 knots, diminishing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters choppy to rough.
Sunday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northeast around 5 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Monday night..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy.
Tuesday..Southeast winds around 10 knots, increasing to around 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Tuesday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ200 324 Pm Cst Thu Dec 7 2023
Synopsis for the middle texas coastal waters..
light to moderate southeasterly flow will increase to more moderate and turn to the south tonight and Friday. Moderate to strong southerly flow could develop on Friday. The moderate to strong southerly flow will weaken to weak to moderate Saturday just ahead of an approaching cold front. The strong cold front will push through the waters Saturday evening into Saturday night. Very strong northerly flow of 30-35 knots will follow in the wake of the front causing gale conditions through at least early Sunday morning, then decrease to 20-25 knots Sunday afternoon. Isolated to scattered showers and Thunderstorms will be possible Saturday afternoon through Saturday night. Winds then quickly diminish, become weak and shifting southeasterly late Sunday night into Monday morning. Southeasterly flow slightly strengthens to weak to moderate Monday night through Tuesday then generally moderate Tuesday night into Wednesday.

FXUS64 KCRP 072139 AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 339 PM CST Thu Dec 7 2023

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 337 PM CST Thu Dec 7 2023

Key Messages:

- Above-normal temperatures through the end of the workweek

- Patchy to areas of fog tonight and tomorrow night

As the mid to upper-level shortwave continues to move across the area, cloudy conditions are expected to continue across the region.
Clouds should begin to dissipate and move out of the area late tomorrow morning resulting in partly cloudy skies tomorrow afternoon. With less cloud cover tomorrow and onshore flow strengthening ahead of our next cold front, above-normal temperatures are expected with most of South Texas reaching the lower to mid 80s.
There is a low to medium chance of patchy to areas of fog late tonight across the western Brush Country and tomorrow night across most of South Texas due to sufficient low-level moisture and light winds.

LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 337 PM CST Thu Dec 7 2023

Key Messages:

- Strong cold front Saturday evening brings a medium chance for sustained winds around 30 mph over the Coastal Bend overnight

- Low chance (20-30$) of showers and thunderstorms Saturday evening along the front, then again the middle of next week

- Medium chance (30-60%) for freezing temperatures early Monday morning for low-lying drainage areas from McMullen to Refugio County

Saturday's highs will be about 10 degrees above normal, ranging from the upper 70s to mid 80s. These temperatures will get absolutely obliterated as a strong cold front pushes through Saturday evening (trended later), bringing colder and much drier air in its wake.
Northerly winds will be strong in wake with gale force conditions over the waters and near Wind Advisory criteria (sustained 30 mph)
over the Coastal Bend overnight into early Sunday morning. Included a low 20-30% chance of showers and even lower chances of thunderstorms during a 6-hr window with FROPA from 6PM Saturday to midnight. It'll be very quick with greatest chances and coverage over the waters. Highs on Sunday drop to the low to mid 60s on Sunday.

Although weak onshore flow returns Sunday night, there's going to be a delay in dewpoints and moisture recovering. Sunday night will be the coldest night across South Texas with clear skies, light winds, and dewpoints in the 20s inland causing efficient radiational cooling. Currently have mid 30s over the inland Coastal Plains and Brush Country, to the mid 40s along the coast. However, low-lying drainage areas could see freezing temperatures. In fact, NBM shows a medium chance (30-60%) of freezing minimum temperatures from McMullen to Refugio County.

Rain-free conditions continue through Tuesday with PWAT values below normal and temperatures warmer with highs on Tuesday in the low 70s and lows Tuesday night generally in the 50s. Low to medium (20-40%)
rain chances return at the end of the long term, during the middle of next week as PWAT values climb to near 1.50" in association with Pacific moisture of a mid-level low or trough traversing from the Pacific across Mexico into South Texas.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1130 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2023

VFR conditions are expected today with MVFR/IFR conditions creeping in tonight into early tomorrow morning. Winds will be gusty this afternoon with winds decreasing tonight before increasing once again tomorrow afternoon.

MARINE
Issued at 337 PM CST Thu Dec 7 2023

Light to moderate southeasterly flow will increase to more moderate and turn to the south tonight and Friday. Moderate to strong southerly flow could develop on Friday. The moderate to strong southerly flow will weaken to weak to moderate Saturday just ahead of an approaching cold front. The strong cold front will push through the waters Saturday evening into Saturday night.
Very strong northerly flow of 30-35 knots will follow in the wake of the front causing Gale conditions through at least early Sunday morning, then decrease to 20-25 knots Sunday afternoon.
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible Saturday afternoon through Saturday night. Winds then quickly diminish, become weak and shifting southeasterly late Sunday night into Monday morning. Southeasterly flow slightly strengthens to weak to moderate Monday night through Tuesday then generally moderate Tuesday night into Wednesday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 75 66 82 66 / 10 0 0 0 Victoria 73 63 78 66 / 10 0 10 0 Laredo 75 63 83 63 / 10 0 0 0 Alice 76 63 84 63 / 10 0 0 0 Rockport 72 64 76 66 / 10 0 0 0 Cotulla 75 61 84 60 / 10 0 0 0 Kingsville 76 64 84 66 / 10 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 73 68 77 68 / 10 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.

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Aransas Channel
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Thu -- 01:59 AM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:42 AM CST     0.65 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:06 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:11 AM CST     1.00 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:04 PM CST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:27 PM CST     0.76 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:32 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 09:51 PM CST     1.13 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Aransas Channel, Texas, Tide feet

Aransas Pass
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Thu -- 01:59 AM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:15 AM CST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:19 AM CST     -0.54 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 07:06 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:40 AM CST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:04 PM CST     Moonset
Thu -- 02:17 PM CST     0.38 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:32 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:26 PM CST     0.17 knots Min Flood
Thu -- 10:17 PM CST     0.29 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Aransas Pass, Texas Current, knots

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