Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Aransas Pass, TX

DISCUSSION
Issued at 1136 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

Our stretch of un-February like weather continues through the rest of this week. While we remain under the influence of primarily a large ridge of high pressure, a short wave does move across the area tonight into tomorrow and will bring a low (20%) chance for showers. The most likely areas to see the showers will be the Victoria Crossroads where short wave energy extends down toward 700mb which is about the top of the layer of moisture. Farther south into the forecast area energy will be limited and have only around 10% chance of showers. We will however likely see fog develop tonight as winds weaken ahead of the aforementioned front. Sea fog should be pretty minimal though with warming water temperatures and weak winds. Fog will be possible each morning the rest of the week. In terms of temperatures this week, we'll have daily highs in the 80s for most of the area - with 70s along the coast. Inland, these temperatures are 10-15 degrees above normal.
Taking a look at record highs, we're unlikely to break any, but will approach late in the week. Records in Laredo are in the low to mid 90s and in the mid to upper 80s in Victoria.

A cold front is expected to push all the way through the area on Saturday, but will not bring temperatures down very far. In fact, the front moves through the Brush country mid-day Saturday bringing in much drier air and could set us up from some downslope warming in the afternoon. Will be something to watch for temps to possibly get warmer than currently forecast. Expect highs to stay in the 70s and 80s through the weekend. There will be a medium (30-60%) chance of showers in the Victoria Crossroads Saturday with a few storms possible, and lower chances farther south and west.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 526 PM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

VFR conditions will remain throughout the next several hours.
Expect low clouds to creep back in as well as VSBY restrictions at all sites overnight tonight. Currently have MVFR to LIFR conditions included beginning around 07-08Z for ALI/CRP/VCT and 11-12Z for COT/LRD. A weak cold front approaches tomorrow, however, winds are not expected to increase beyond being light and variable. A few showers will be possible tonight and tomorrow.
Chances are still low at this time (around 20-25%), so will continue to not include mention of precipitation in TAFs. VCT will have the best potential.

MARINE
Issued at 1136 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

A south to southeast gentle to moderate breeze (BF 3-4) can be expected through Friday with a brief period of fresh (BF 5) winds across the offshore waters this afternoon. Advisory conditions are possible Friday night ahead of a cold front. Patchy light sea fog will be possible at times the remainder of this week, mainly north of Port Aransas. There is a low (15-25%) chance of showers today through Wednesday. A low to medium chance of showers can be expected Friday night and Saturday ahead of our next cold front.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1136 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

Minimum relative humidity values (RH) will remain elevated with 30% or higher across the west to 45% and higher across the east through the week. As we head into this weekend, elevated to potentially critical fire weather could return as RH values are forecast to drop well below 30% with moderate to strong winds and moderate to high Energy Release Component values. However, with this cold front still being several days out, much can change from now to then.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 62 79 61 79 / 10 20 0 0 Victoria 59 78 56 80 / 20 20 0 0 Laredo 61 83 63 85 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 60 81 58 82 / 10 10 0 0 Rockport 61 75 60 75 / 10 20 0 0 Cotulla 59 79 58 84 / 10 10 0 0 Kingsville 60 81 59 82 / 10 10 0 0 Navy Corpus 64 74 62 74 / 10 10 10 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.