Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lake Buena Vista, FL

DISCUSSION
Issued at 239 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

Current-Tonight... Hot today with temperatures observed in the upper 80s and low 90s across much of east central Florida. Satellite and radar imagery have shown the development of the east and west coast sea breezes early this afternoon with isolated to scattered showers and lighting storms beginning to bubble up on each side of the state. Light southwest flow will slightly favor the west coast breeze with a collision expected near Orlando again this afternoon and evening. Light flow throughout the low and mid levels and deep low level moisture will maintain a threat for localized flooding of urban or low lying areas with slow moving storms. In addition, a few taller storms will be capable of frequent lightning strikes and localized wind gusts of 35-45 mph in downbursts. Activity should gradually diminish after sunset with dry conditions then forecast overnight. Mild and muggy conditions continue overnight with lows mostly in the mid to upper 70s.

Sunday-Friday... Little change to the local weather pattern is expected through the upcoming week as high pressure holds control at the surface and aloft. The surface ridge axis is forecast to remain south of the area into mid week before gradually drifting northward Thursday into Friday. Modeled PWATs between 1.9-2.2" will range above climatological normals through about Tuesday or Wednesday before trends suggest slight drying toward more seasonable moisture values (PWAT ~1.5-1.8"). Offshore flow will maintain the greatest focus of scattered sea breeze showers and storms across the eastern half of the peninsula, especially from Orlando eastward. A warm, moist air column will continue to promote a heavy rainfall threat each afternoon and evening, and localized flooding of urban or low lying areas remains possible in slow moving or stationary storms, particularly early in the week. A strong storm environment should be generally limited by warm temperatures aloft and weak shear profiles. However, surface instability and steep low level lapse rates will still allow for quick updrafts producing tall storms.
These tall storms will be capable of frequent lightning strikes and isolated wet downburst gusts to near 50 mph.

A period of hot and humid conditions is expected to persist into the coming week. Highs near to above normal will range the low 90s along the coast and low to mid 90s across the interior. Mild and muggy conditions will persist into the evening and overnight with low temperatures ranging the mid to upper 70s for many locations. A Moderate HeatRisk will continue to build through the coming week, and a Major HeatRisk from Brevard northward early this week should expand southward through the Treasure Coast Thursday and Friday. For more info about HeatRisk and heat safety tips, visit Heat.gov.

MARINE
Issued at 239 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

A surface ridge axis will remain south of the local waters through mid next week, maintaining a period of prevailing offshore flow.
Winds shift south to southeast each afternoon as the sea breeze develops, increasing 10-15 kts in the evenings as flow veers offshore again. Seas of 2-3 ft will persist. Mostly dry in the mornings and early afternoons with rounds of scattered offshore moving lightning storms forecast late in the afternoon and evenings.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 120 AM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Light southwesterly winds persist areawide with mostly dry conditions through this morning. The east coast sea breeze develops along the coast after 17Z, with winds at the coastal terminals becoming more south-southeasterly. Increasing coverage of showers and storms is anticipated near the terminals through the afternoon hours, with coverage peaking in the late afternoon as the sea breeze collision occurs. VIS and CIG reductions near the interior terminals and coastal terminals will be possible, but it is too early to narrow down timing for TEMPOs. Will continue to monitor. Activity diminishes areawide by 03Z tomorrow, with light southwest winds developing once again at all ECFL terminals.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 93 76 92 76 / 50 30 50 20 MCO 93 76 93 76 / 40 20 30 10 MLB 91 77 93 77 / 60 50 50 40 VRB 92 75 93 75 / 60 40 50 40 LEE 93 78 92 78 / 30 10 30 10 SFB 95 77 94 77 / 50 20 40 10 ORL 93 77 93 77 / 40 20 30 10 FPR 91 75 92 74 / 60 40 50 30

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.