Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Orlando, FL

DISCUSSION
Issued at 307 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025

Tonight-Thursday...Low pressure well offshore the Mid-Atlantic coast will continue to push eastward into the open Atlantic as high pressure continues to build down across the eastern United States.
Low level winds veer slightly to the N/NE and increase, with breezy conditions developing along the coast each afternoon. Overall airmass remains relatively dry, with PW values around 1-1.2 inches.
However, with elevated wind speeds as well as sufficient moisture in the lower levels, isolated shower development will be possible.
These showers will develop across the waters and will be able to push onshore along the coast from tonight through Thursday, but will have to the potential to move a little farther inland during the afternoon hours, especially on Wednesday. For now have limited rain chances to around 20 percent. Temperatures will remain near to just slightly below normal, with highs in the low to mid 80s and overnight lows in the low to mid 60s across the interior and upper 60s to low 70s along the coast.

A high risk for dangerous rip currents will continue through Thursday.

Friday-Monday...(Modified Previous Discussion) Behind Thursday's front, surface high pressure becomes well-established over the eastern U.S. Friday and Saturday before gradually shifting toward the Atlantic on Sunday into Monday. There remains some differences in the model guidance aloft, regarding to southward extent and strength of a trough that will be pushing eastward across the eastern U.S. into late weekend/early next week. This feature will gradually shift a weakening cold front toward Florida either Sunday night or into Monday.

Prior to the late weekend/early next week front, conditions look to stay mostly dry with onshore flow Friday-Saturday. Winds veer to the south-southeast ahead of the front on Sunday with increasing moisture from late Sunday afternoon through early Monday. Still much uncertainty in overall rain chances for the end of the forecast period, so have leaned toward NBM guidance at this time, with PoPs remaining below mentionable levels Sunday and increasing to around 20 percent on Monday. By early next week, winds swing back around to the north-northeast behind the front. A similar temperature forecast to this week is in the cards with highs in the 80s and morning lows in the 60s to low 70s. The warmest day of the next seven appears to be Sunday, thanks to return flow and plenty of sunshine in between partly cloudy skies. If you are planning to head to the beach, keep in mind that the risk for life-threatening rip currents will remain high Friday and into the weekend.

MARINE
Issued at 307 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025

As high pressure builds down across the eastern U.S. through mid to late week, a weak front will eventually push through the waters late Thursday into Thursday night. N/NE winds increase through tomorrow, up to 15-20 knots across the Volusia waters and 10-15 knots farther south. Winds then increase to around 15-20 knots out of the northeast across much all of the east central FL Atlantic waters late Thursday into Thursday night behind the passing front. Seas will gradually build as well up to 4-6 feet through tonight, and small craft should exercise caution offshore. Hazardous boating conditions will then gradually develop offshore Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday night, as seas build up to 7 feet.
Started a Small Craft Advisory at 2 PM Wednesday for the offshore Volusia waters and then have it gradually expanding southward across the offshore waters through Wednesday evening. Boating conditions then look to remain hazardous across the gulf stream through late week.

Boating conditions become a little more favorable into the weekend.
Winds veer to the east-southeast and diminish, with speeds less than 15 knots, and seas also gradually decrease to 4-5 feet into Saturday afternoon through Sunday.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 140 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025

VFR conditions prevail at East Central Florida terminals through the TAF period. Very low (less than 10%) chance for coastal SHRA, not even enough for VCSH this afternoon and evening. Winds NNE-NE around 10 kts this afternoon become light NNW-NNE and VRB at times overnight. Winds pick up a bit Wednesday, to around 10 kts in the morning and 10-15 kts with gusts to 20-25 kts in the late morning- early afternoon for the coastal terminals, and in the afternoon for KMCO and other inland terminals. Winds at KDAB could tip over 15 kts in the afternoon. Increased winds will support low (around 20%) chance of SHRA at most terminals. KDAB- KTIX could see SHRA as early as 08Z, but for now went with 12Z for VCSH in the TAFs based on HRRR guidance. Similar trend at inland terminals, could see SHRA as early as 16Z, but for this package opted to introduce VCSH at 19Z.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 67 80 68 82 / 20 20 10 10 MCO 66 83 67 84 / 10 10 10 10 MLB 68 82 70 83 / 20 20 20 10 VRB 68 83 70 83 / 20 20 20 20 LEE 64 83 64 84 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 66 82 66 84 / 10 10 10 10 ORL 66 82 66 84 / 10 10 10 10 FPR 67 83 70 83 / 20 20 20 20

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM Wednesday to 4 AM EDT Friday for AMZ570.

Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM Wednesday to 4 AM EDT Friday for AMZ572.

Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM Wednesday to 4 AM EDT Friday for AMZ575.