Doctor Phillips, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Doctor Phillips, FL


October 2, 2023 11:31 PM EDT (03:31 UTC)
Sunrise 7:18AM   Sunset 7:12PM   Moonrise  8:29PM   Moonset 9:43AM 

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 908 Pm Edt Mon Oct 2 2023
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday afternoon...
Tonight..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots, diminishing to 15 to 20 knots late in the night. Seas 7 to 9 feet with occasional seas to 11 feet. A dominant period 8 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet. A dominant period 8 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 7 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 7 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. A slight chance of showers.
Friday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet.
Friday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet.
Saturday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 908 Pm Edt Mon Oct 2 2023
Synopsis..Hazardous boating conditions will continue into midweek as brisk northeasterly winds and elevated seas remain over the open atlantic. Drier air filtering in will decrease shower coverage with isolated to scattered showers and storms forecast. Another frontal boundary is forecast to enter the region late week with north winds.

Gulf stream hazards..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots and seas up to 7 to 9 feet into Wednesday.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Saturday, september 30th.
46 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 34 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 27 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 18 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 11 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Doctor Phillips, FL
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Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 030136 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 936 PM EDT Mon Oct 2 2023

New UPDATE, MARINE, AVIATION, DISCUSSION, CLIMATE, HYDROLOGY

UPDATE
Issued at 902 PM EDT Mon Oct 2 2023

Currently-Tonight... KMLB radar imagery shows isolated to scattered showers across the local Atlantic waters, as well as across Volusia and Martin counties near the coast. Onshore northeasterly flow continues across east central Florida as high pressure builds over the northeastern CONUS. Meanwhile, drier air has filtered in across the region behind a frontal boundary with PWAT values down to around 1." Haze has also formed and reduced visibilities across the Peninsula to around 5SM, especially near the coast. Reduced visibilities are expected to continue at least through the overnight hours but may linger into the daytime hours.
The smoke is from a distant fire all the way in Quebec, Canada to the south of the Hudson Bay.

Isolated showers remain in the forecast through the overnight hours over the local Atlantic waters with a slight chance that they move onshore (~15-20%), before diminishing farther inland.
Winds will stay breezy from the northeast, especially near the coast with gusts up to around 20mph. Overnight low temperatures are on track to reach the low to mid 70s.

MARINE
Issued at 902 PM EDT Mon Oct 2 2023

Currently-Tonight... Hazardous boating conditions continue through the period. Drier air will filter in with isolated onshore moving showers forecast over the local Atlantic waters through the overnight. Northeast winds around 20 to 25kts will build seas to 6 to 9 ft.

Tue-Fri (previous discussion)... Hazardous boating conditions will remain in place thru at least mid-week as NERLY winds remain elevated and slow to diminish and seas continue to build 5-7 ft near shore and 6-9 ft over the open Atlc. Small Craft Advisories remain in place areawide into late Wed afternoon. Even then, at least a short period for Cautionary Statements will be necessary for slowly subsiding seas. Wind speeds will continue to diminish Thu/Fri as the pgrad weakens, with seas slower to subside.
Scattered onshore moving rain showers will remain in the forecast thru mid-week.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 902 PM EDT Mon Oct 2 2023

VFR conditions forecast through the period. Slight reductions to visibility (~5SM) through at least the overnight hours, potentially extending into the daytime due to haze. The smoke is from a fire in Quebec Canada to the south of the Hudson Bay.
Northeast winds around 8-12kts will gust up to 20kts near the coast overnight with gusts up to 25kts by the afternoon. VCSH returns by the afternoon at all sites except for KLEE.

DISCUSSION

Tue-Tue Night (previous discussion)...Surface high pressure centered across the eastern CONUS with lower pressure across the FL Straits will combine to continue a fairly tight pressure gradient across ECFL. NERLY winds will will increase to around 15 mph by mid- morning, higher along the coast, with higher gusts expected making for a breezy day, once again. Wind speeds will stay elevated during the evening, gradually falling back to 5-10 mph (inland) overnight. Initial PWATs flirting with near to just over 1 inch will gradually increase somewhat by late day as some avbl moisture moves into the area from the east. The onshore steering flow will push mainly ISOLD showery precip onto the coast, best chances in the afternoon/early evening, possibly continuing into the night - especially along the coast. Afternoon temperatures will remain near-normal, with highs in the L80s for the immediate coast and M80s (perhaps a few U80s) further inland.
The deep onshore flow will keep overnight mins slightly above normal, in the M70s at the coast and U60s to L70s interior.

Continued high astronomical tides and breezy onshore flow will combine to produce a coastal flooding threat during the high tide cycles along ALL central Florida Atlc coasts, especially during the morning high tides. A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect through the morning high tide cycle.

Wed-Mon...Surface high pressure remains fixated across the eastern U.S. into Thu, then weakens and is forced seaward with the approach of a cold front and accompanying upper trough. This weakening surface boundary will push across the peninsula this weekend. High pressure behind this latest front will move into the region late into the weekend and early next week. Will keep ISOLD/SCT shower chances in the forecast thru the extended, generally 20-40pct, highest Wed (50pct). Isolated lightning storm chances will also accompany precip chances. Will also keep a PoP along the coast at night due to the continued onshore flow thru Thu night. Drier air will move back into the area this weekend behind the front. Breezy conditions will continue into Wed before diminishing thru the remainder of the extended.

Highs Wed will mirror those on Tue, then increase slightly into the M-U80s (pre-frontal) Thu-Sat, backing down into the L-M80s for Sun- Mon. Overnight lows in the U60s to L70s (M70s barrier islands), then a majority of ECFL may fall into the 60s for lows Sat/Sun overnight periods, with the immediate Space/Treasure coasts remaining in the L70s.

CLIMATE
Issued at 223 PM EDT Mon Oct 2 2023

Below are the finalized Average Temperature and Total Rainfall values for September 2023, including departure from normal and rankings (if in top 10), for the primary climates sites across east central Florida.

After one of the hottest August's on record, temperatures trended closer to normal for September, with monthly average temperature values generally within a degree of normal. Despite this shift closer to more normal values, average temperature's for year-to-date through the end of September were still the warmest or 2nd warmest on record for all primary climate sites.

Rainfall amounts for September over much of the area were below normal until the last several days of the month. A stalled frontal boundary then moved in and kept a very moist airmass in place, leading to successive days of heavy rainfall across the region. This rainfall from the 25th through the 30th boosted precipitation totals to end up near to above normal for September.

September 2023 Average Temperature:

Site: Avg. Temp: Ranking (Top 10):

Daytona Beach 80.3 (+0.2) - Leesburg 80.6 (-0.8) - Sanford 81.0 (-0.4) - Orlando 82.3 (+1.3) - Melbourne 81.0 (+0.4) - Vero Beach 81.3 (+0.4) - Ft. Pierce 80.7 (+0.4) -

September 2023 Total Rainfall:

Site: Rainfall: Ranking (Top 10):

Daytona Beach 9.17" (+2.02") - Leesburg 5.70" (+0.49") - Sanford 8.64" (+2.40") - Orlando 7.28" (+0.91") - Melbourne 9.19" (+1.56") - Vero Beach 7.73" (+0.69") - Ft. Pierce 8.71" (+2.44") -

2023 Year-to-Date Average Temperature:

Site Jan-Sep Avg. Temp Ranking

Daytona Beach 75.5 degrees Warmest (Prev: 74.6 in 2022)
Leesburg 76.3 degrees 2nd Warmest (Rec: 76.5 in 2020)
Sanford 76.6 degrees Warmest (Ties 2020)
Orlando 77.4 degrees Warmest (Prev: 77.1 in 2020)
Melbourne 76.7 degrees Warmest (Prev: 76.6 in 2019/2020)
Vero Beach 76.8 degrees Warmest (Prev: 76.6 in 2020)
Fort Pierce 76.3 degrees Warmest (Prev: 76.1 in 2020)

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 336 AM EDT Mon Oct 2 2023

Heavy rainfall that has already fallen over or upstream from Astor, combined with elevated northeast winds and high astronomical tides will continue additional rises along the Saint Johns River at Astor.
With the river level at 3.0 feet, additional rises within Moderate Flood Stage are likely early this week as breezy northeast winds continue.

In addition, runoff from successive days of heavy rainfall, combined with breezy northeast winds and above normal tides will lead to gradual rises along the St. Johns River above Lake Harney and Sanford, with river levels forecast to reach Action Stage of 6.0 feet above Lake Harney and 4.2 feet at Sanford later this week.


PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 74 83 74 82 / 20 20 20 40 MCO 71 87 73 86 / 10 10 10 20 MLB 76 86 75 85 / 10 20 40 40 VRB 76 87 74 86 / 20 10 40 40 LEE 70 86 70 86 / 20 10 0 10 SFB 71 86 72 86 / 20 20 20 30 ORL 72 86 73 86 / 10 10 10 20 FPR 76 86 74 86 / 20 10 40 40

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 PM EDT Tuesday for FLZ141-154-159- 164-347-447-647-747.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT Wednesday for AMZ550-552-555- 570-572-575.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 48 mi43 min NE 8G12 78°F 87°F29.98

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Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KISM KISSIMMEE GATEWAY,FL 10 sm35 minNE 056 smOvercast Haze 77°F70°F78%30.03
KMCO ORLANDO INTL,FL 10 sm38 minNNE 137 smMostly Cloudy75°F70°F83%30.02
KORL EXECUTIVE,FL 13 sm38 minNE 15G247 smMostly Cloudy75°F70°F83%30.03

Wind History from ISM
(wind in knots)


Tide / Current for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
   
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Titusville
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Mon -- 01:42 AM EDT     4.44 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:17 AM EDT     4.46 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:40 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:22 PM EDT     4.40 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:59 PM EDT     4.47 feet High Tide
Mon -- 09:25 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Titusville, Indian River, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
4.4
1
am
4.4
2
am
4.4
3
am
4.4
4
am
4.4
5
am
4.5
6
am
4.5
7
am
4.5
8
am
4.4
9
am
4.4
10
am
4.4
11
am
4.4
12
pm
4.4
1
pm
4.4
2
pm
4.4
3
pm
4.4
4
pm
4.4
5
pm
4.4
6
pm
4.4
7
pm
4.5
8
pm
4.5
9
pm
4.5
10
pm
4.5
11
pm
4.5



Tide / Current for Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida
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Canaveral Harbor Entrance
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Mon -- 03:57 AM EDT     -0.46 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:32 AM EDT     4.68 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:39 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:48 PM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:25 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:45 PM EDT     3.51 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
2.8
1
am
1.8
2
am
0.7
3
am
-0.2
4
am
-0.5
5
am
-0.1
6
am
0.6
7
am
1.6
8
am
2.8
9
am
3.9
10
am
4.6
11
am
4.6
12
pm
4.1
1
pm
3.2
2
pm
2.1
3
pm
1
4
pm
0.3
5
pm
0.1
6
pm
0.4
7
pm
1
8
pm
1.8
9
pm
2.7
10
pm
3.4
11
pm
3.5




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Melbourne, FL,



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