Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Palacios, TX

LONG TERM
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 149 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025

For the long term discussion, I could go into detail about how we shift from the SW CONUS / Florida ridge with a trough in the middle pattern, to one that features increased ridging over E CONUS and a general shift of our mid/upper synoptic flow pattern to the southeast. But on the ground, you are unlikely to notice the change. It will remain warm and quite humid. A daily risk of showers and thunderstorms will continue through the end of the week. With those storms will come a risk of locally heavy rainfall along with a few stronger thunderstorms. It's a very rinse a repeat pattern. Some days are likely to be stormier than others, depending on which mesoscale features and processes decide to dominant the weather that particular day. So if you like the rain, great news for you! If not, our profound apologies.

Self

AVIATION
(00Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 550 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025

VFR conditions mostly expected through at least late evening followed by a mix of MVFR stratus (mainly north of the metro area)
later tonight. Will probably see some iso/sct activity begin developing south of I-10 and offshore between 12-15z, followed by an expansion/smattering of shra/tsra further inland in the 16-19z timeframe. One thing we'll have to keep an eye on is the remnants or outflow from tonight's storms in OK and north Tx that may sink into our region during the day Sunday and provide a focusing mechanism and convergent zone for additional afternoon activity.
Some of the storms today were on the heavy/strong side, and would anticipate that possibility again Sunday. 47

MARINE
Issued at 149 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Lingering showers and isolated thunderstorm activity should wane as the afternoon progresses. Winds this afternoon will be relatively light, but should increase from the southeast this evening into tonight. There will be another chance of showers and thunderstorms tomorrow near the coast. There is some uncertainty as to whether or not these storms will hold off until the afternoon or begin in the morning like today.

Despite some changes in the pattern aloft, the general pattern that we will experience at the surface remains generally the same through Tuesday. There will be a daily chance of showers and thunderstorms along with light to moderate onshore flow. The daily rain/thunderstorm chances will continue until the end of the week, while onshore flow and swell is expected to increase by Wednesday and Thursday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 75 89 74 89 / 0 50 10 30 Houston (IAH) 77 90 76 89 / 10 60 10 60 Galveston (GLS) 81 86 80 88 / 10 50 20 60

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.